Thorn Baker Allianz Xenia Bath Summer Stayers' Series Final Handicap

Bath

3:25

Date 2023-09-16

Distance 1m6f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,462

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (5)	Cherry Cola ch Rose Dawes(5) · Sheena West	Rose Dawes(5) · Sheena West	135	—	332421	69	80	73	3d	—	—	+7	26.1	10/3 23%
Beat a 3yo here earlier this week; unwise to underestimate despite the 4lb penalty
1 (6)	Lusaka b Taylor Fisher(3) · John Flint	Taylor Fisher(3) · John Flint	138	p	951151	72	80	70	24d	—	—	+11	28.5	4 25%
Force to be reckoned with in races of this nature on good or quicker ground
9 (4)	Greased Lightning ch Georgia Dobie(3) · Eve Johnson Houghton	Georgia Dobie(3) · Eve Johnson Houghton	126	p	636134	68	82	73	24d	—	—	+3	15.8	11/2 15%
Had a wide trip when 4th to Lusaka here 24 days ago and remains unexposed at this distance
8 (13)	Beggarman ch Billy Loughnane · Hughie Morrison	Billy Loughnane · Hughie Morrison	126	ev	782822	60	83	72	28d	—	—	+5	15.6	13/2 13%
Has only won on the AW but has been threatening to put that right at this venue
6 (14)	Dirham Emirati b Connor Planas(3) · Gary Moore	Connor Planas(3) · Gary Moore	128	tv	004113	62	80	60	28d	—	—	+12	20.5	12/1 8%
Only narrowly failed in his hat-trick bid last time when third to Zillion
10 (1)	Zillion b Callum Hutchinson(3) · Sue Gardner	Callum Hutchinson(3) · Sue Gardner	125	—	6-7411	59	79	70	28d	—	—	-2	4	12 8%
Has won his last two but this is tougher than usual and he enjoys give underfoot
7 (12)	Book Of Tales b Charles Bishop · Charlie Longsdon	Charles Bishop · Charlie Longsdon	127	b	343112	69	81	69	—	—	—	+17	24.8	12 8%
C&D winner having a good season and made winning stable debut over hurdles recently
2 (11)	Russian Rumour b Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	135	p	213529	69	80	75	24d	—	—	+7	12.8	14/1 7%
Possibilities if on a going day and runs many of her better races here
12 (10)	Princess T gr Elisha Whittington(5) · Neil Mulholland	Elisha Whittington(5) · Neil Mulholland	114	tv	-53782	48	81	78	10d	—	—	+3	6.9	25 4%
No match for the winner here ten days ago and this is harder
14 (9)	Ladypacksapunch b James Sullivan · Grace Harris	James Sullivan · Grace Harris	114	—	377564	48	80	69	16d	—	—	-3	1	25 4%
Will do well to make the breakthrough in a stronger handicap than usual
5 (2)	Hidden Depths b Liam Keniry · Neil Mulholland	Liam Keniry · Neil Mulholland	132	tp	/142-3	66	79	65	—	—	—	+4	8	25 4%
Had a decent year over fences and is capable on the Flat off this sort of mark
4 (7)	Masterdream b Millie Wonnacott(5) · Neil Mulholland	Millie Wonnacott(5) · Neil Mulholland	134	tp	0-5318	68	81	67	33d	—	—	+2	5.4	28 4%
Below par on AW latest; won at Ffos Las the time before but this is deeper
11 (8)	Endofastorm b William Cox · Joe Ponting	William Cox · Joe Ponting	118	—	536685	52	79	72	28d	—	—	-1	1.9	40/1 2%
Finished fifth behind Zillion here four weeks ago and that was a Class 6; looks vulnerable
13 (3)	Molliana b Mollie Phillips(3) · Neil Mulholland	Mollie Phillips(3) · Neil Mulholland	114	tp	354197	48	81	69	28d	—	—	+3	5.8	40/1 2%
Often red-hot under both codes in Jersey but held on three visits here since June

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cherry Cola	10/3	3/1	3/1	10/3	3
Lusaka	4	4	4	4	4
Greased Lightning	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Beggarman	7	13/2	7	13/2	7
Dirham Emirati	12	11	12/1	12/1	10
Zillion	12	11/1	11	11/1	12
Book Of Tales	12	12	12	12	11
Russian Rumour	14/1	12/1	14	14	12
Princess T	25	25	25	25	25
Ladypacksapunch	25	25	25	25	25
Hidden Depths	20	22	25	22	22
Masterdream	25	28	25	28	28
Endofastorm	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40
Molliana	40	40/1	40/1	40/1	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lusaka

28.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 18 Odds: 5

2nd

Cherry Cola

26.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Book Of Tales

24.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 17.9 Odds: 2.1

Dirham Emirati

20.5

OR: 3 Form: 15 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Greased Lightning

15.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 7.7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Beggarman

15.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Russian Rumour

12.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.4 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Hidden Depths

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 1

Princess T

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1

Molliana

5.8

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Masterdream

5.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Zillion

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Endofastorm

1.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ladypacksapunch

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lusaka Top Rated	72	80	70
Cherry Cola	69	80	73
Book Of Tales	69	81	69
Russian Rumour	69	80	75
Greased Lightning	68	82	73
Masterdream	68	81	67
Hidden Depths	66	79	65
Dirham Emirati	62	80	60
Beggarman	60	83	72
Zillion	59	79	70
Endofastorm	52	79	72
Princess T	48	81	78
Ladypacksapunch	48	80	69
Molliana	48	81	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cherry Cola	3d ago	Quick return
Lusaka	24d ago	Fit
Greased Lightning	24d ago	Fit
Beggarman	28d ago	Fit
Dirham Emirati	28d ago	Fit
Zillion	28d ago	Fit
Book Of Tales	—	—
Russian Rumour	24d ago	Fit
Princess T	10d ago	Quick return
Ladypacksapunch	16d ago	Fit
Hidden Depths	—	—
Masterdream	33d ago	Fit
Endofastorm	28d ago	Fit
Molliana	28d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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