Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Listowel

2:45

Date 2023-09-18

Distance 2m

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9	Aeros Luck b Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	160	h	-65222	-	111	103	19d	—	—	-4	17.2	3 33%
Three seconds in a row, has an edge over Our Girl Sal and Ivy Hall on Bellewstown form
10	Chautuaqua b Daniel King(5) · Adrian Brendan Joyce	Daniel King(5) · Adrian Brendan Joyce	155	h	45442-	105	124	90	172d	—	—	+2	26	11/4 27%
Bumper winner, should go close if fit and ready on first run since Naas second in March
12	Our Girl Sal b Sean Flanagan · Peter Fahey	Sean Flanagan · Peter Fahey	155	—	8-2023	-	111	108	19d	—	—	-13	5.4	7/2 22%
Has been running over further since C&D second in June, 2 1/4l behind Aeros Luck latest
1	Lookondebrightside ch Kevin Sexton · Peter Fahey	Kevin Sexton · Peter Fahey	164	—	982F-5	-	108	88	10d	—	—	-7	2.7	17/2 11%
8l second in this race last year, only two runs since, may have needed Kilbeggan outing
14	Shoot Champagne b/br Ryan Treacy · C Byrnes	Ryan Treacy · C Byrnes	155	—	36	-	-	-	49d	—	—	-4	4.5	9/1 10%
Promising first bumper run at Cork, failed to improve at Galway, still an interesting sort
6	Nevermindestranger b Ben Harvey(3) · D M Christie	Ben Harvey(3) · D M Christie	162	—	1-U883	-	110	62	71d	—	—	+2	9.1	12/1 8%
Point winner, third in a maiden hurdle at Sligo in July, this looks like a stronger race
11	Ivy Hall b Darragh O'Keeffe · John Patrick Ryan	Darragh O'Keeffe · John Patrick Ryan	155	—	SP6434	-	111	74	19d	—	—	-2	3.4	12 8%
Has been running over further, finished behind Aeros Luck and Our Girl Sal at Bellewstown
8	Smokey Putnum b Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	162	—	683-30	-	-	-	100d	—	—	-2	0.9	22 5%
Placed in two of his seven bumper starts, poor run last time, lacks hurdling experience
7	Rewrite The Script b Michael O'Sullivan · Eugene M Osullivan	Michael O'Sullivan · Eugene M Osullivan	162	tb	-60P39	86	96	65	21d	—	—	+8	11.1	40 3%
Official rating of 86 implies he will struggle, outran his odds on penultimate start
NR	Applicationofcash b TBC · S Curling	· S Curling	162	—	PPP-U9	-	96	65	10d	—	—	-8	3.1	66 2%
Nothing in his form in points or maiden hurdles to suggest he can make his presence felt
5	Mount Frisco b Liam Quinlan(5) · John Patrick Ryan	Liam Quinlan(5) · John Patrick Ryan	162	—	-83355	-	101	55	3d	—	—	+1	3	40/1 2%
Twice third at Sligo this summer, in a maiden hurdle and a bumper, but needs to improve
4	Mont Beuvray b Danny Mullins · John Patrick Ryan	Danny Mullins · John Patrick Ryan	162	—	9304F8	-	96	81	19d	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
Safely held by Aeros Luck, Our Girl Sal and Ivy Hall on running at Ballinrobe last time
13	Rathnaleen Zoey b Richard Deegan · Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	Richard Deegan · Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	155	t	803507	80	99	65	10d	—	—	+7	8.9	80 1%
Placed in a handicap at Kilbeggan in July, modest overall form, little apparent chance
15	Pampar Lady b Kieren Buckley(3) · Gavin Cromwell	Kieren Buckley(3) · Gavin Cromwell	153	h	0-46	-	-	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
Three bumpers runs, best when fourth at Roscommon, second-string for Aeros Luck's trainer
3	Flemansflick b G B Noonan(5) · Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	G B Noonan(5) · Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	162	—	0-0	-	49	-	139d	—	—	-1	0.2	500 0%
Huge price when towards the rear in maidens at Tramore and Ballinrobe in the spring

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Aeros Luck	3	3	3	3	3
Chautuaqua	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4
Our Girl Sal	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Lookondebrightside	17/2	15/2	8	8	8
Shoot Champagne	8	9	17/2	9/1	9/1
Nevermindestranger	12	11	9	12	12/1
Ivy Hall	12	12	12	12	12
Smokey Putnum	22	22	22	22	22
Rewrite The Script	40	33	40	33	33
Applicationofcash	66	66	66	66	66
Mount Frisco	40	40	40/1	40/1	33
Mont Beuvray	50	50/1	40	50/1	40/1
Rathnaleen Zoey	80	66	50	66	50
Pampar Lady	66	66/1	50	66/1	66/1
Flemansflick	500	250	250	250	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chautuaqua

OR: 13.8 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Aeros Luck

17.2

OR: 0 Form: 11 Odds: 6.2

3rd

Rewrite The Script

11.1

OR: 9 Form: 1.4 Odds: 0.7

Nevermindestranger

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Rathnaleen Zoey

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.5

Our Girl Sal

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Shoot Champagne

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Ivy Hall

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 1.8 Odds: 1.6

Applicationofcash

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Mount Frisco

OR: 0 Form: 2.4 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Lookondebrightside

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Smokey Putnum

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Mont Beuvray

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Pampar Lady

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Flemansflick

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Chautuaqua Top Rated	105	124	90
Rewrite The Script	86	96	65
Rathnaleen Zoey	80	99	65
Aeros Luck	—	111	103
Our Girl Sal	—	111	108
Lookondebrightside	—	108	88
Shoot Champagne	—	—	—
Nevermindestranger	—	110	62
Ivy Hall	—	111	74
Smokey Putnum	—	—	—
Applicationofcash	—	96	65
Mount Frisco	—	101	55
Mont Beuvray	—	96	81
Pampar Lady	—	—	—
Flemansflick	—	49	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aeros Luck	19d ago	Fit
Chautuaqua	172d ago	Long break
Our Girl Sal	19d ago	Fit
Lookondebrightside	10d ago	Quick return
Shoot Champagne	49d ago	Fresh
Nevermindestranger	71d ago	Fresh
Ivy Hall	19d ago	Fit
Smokey Putnum	100d ago	Long break
Rewrite The Script	21d ago	Fit
Applicationofcash	10d ago	Quick return
Mount Frisco	3d ago	Quick return
Mont Beuvray	19d ago	Fit
Rathnaleen Zoey	10d ago	Quick return
Pampar Lady	21d ago	Fit
Flemansflick	139d ago	Long break

Going: Good To Yielding

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