Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap (Div II)

Thirsk

2:55

Date 2023-09-18

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,664

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (6)	Lady Ava b William Buick · Ed Dunlop	William Buick · Ed Dunlop	135	p	362	65	72	49	69d	—	—	-7	17.5	5/2 29%
Has shown promise in both turf runs; open to progress now handicapping in headgear
2 (7)	Crack The Kode b Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	134	—	47031	64	70	62	28d	—	—	-1	22.9	5/2 29%
Has improved for the switch to nursery level, winning at Catterick latest; respected
3 (1)	Maries Secret b Connor Murtagh · Adrian Nicholls	Connor Murtagh · Adrian Nicholls	133	—	5383	63	73	52	41d	—	—	-7	13.9	10/3 23%
Ran well over C&D in July and looks open to improvement back here; still of interest
4 (3)	Celestial Flight b Christian Howarth(5) · Ollie Pears	Christian Howarth(5) · Ollie Pears	133	—	5165	63	71	58	45d	—	—	-3	12.7	11/2 15%
Won notable seller at York on second start; not in the same form in nurseries
NR (5)	Justahunch b P J McDonald · Darryll Holland	P J McDonald · Darryll Holland	129	—	4466	59	70	58	28d	—	—	-3	4.4	14 7%
Had possible excuses at Brighton last time; may do better
9 (8)	Goldmine Girl b Sam James · Craig Lidster	Sam James · Craig Lidster	122	—	6620	52	70	56	16d	—	—	-2	6.1	12 8%
Return to grass/sprinting looks a plus; ran well on last turf appearance
6 (4)	Red Iris gr Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	127	—	870	57	67	45	33d	—	—	-1	2.6	28 4%
Possible improver now handicapping and upped to 6f; note market signals
7 (9)	Curious Mrs Fox b Amie Waugh(5) · John Davies	Amie Waugh(5) · John Davies	125	—	076	55	70	-	17d	—	—	-1	2	40 3%
Far from solid on novice form and isn't an obvious improver on breeding
8 (2)	Wichahpi ch Graham Lee · Bryan Smart	Graham Lee · Bryan Smart	123	p	0560	53	64	35	7d	—	—	-1	1.2	50 2%
Has poor form; first-time headgear needs to make a difference

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lady Ava	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Crack The Kode	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Maries Secret	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3	10/3
Celestial Flight	6	5	5	11/2	11/2
Justahunch	14	10	11	10	10
Goldmine Girl	12	11	11	11	12
Red Iris	28	22	22	25	25
Curious Mrs Fox	40	33/1	28	33	28
Wichahpi	50	50	40	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crack The Kode

22.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Lady Ava

17.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Maries Secret

13.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Celestial Flight

12.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Goldmine Girl

6.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

Justahunch

4.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Red Iris

2.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Curious Mrs Fox

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Wichahpi

1.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Ava Top Rated	65	72	49
Crack The Kode	64	70	62
Maries Secret	63	73	52
Celestial Flight	63	71	58
Justahunch	59	70	58
Red Iris	57	67	45
Curious Mrs Fox	55	70	—
Wichahpi	53	64	35
Goldmine Girl	52	70	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lady Ava	69d ago	Fresh
Crack The Kode	28d ago	Fit
Maries Secret	41d ago	Fit
Celestial Flight	45d ago	Fit
Justahunch	28d ago	Fit
Goldmine Girl	16d ago	Fit
Red Iris	33d ago	Fit
Curious Mrs Fox	17d ago	Fit
Wichahpi	7d ago	Quick return

Going: Soft

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