British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Ayr

1:20

Date 2023-09-21

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £7,851

Runners 11

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (8)	Volterra b Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	133	—	4	-	93	76	27d	—	—	-31	15.4	11/10 48%
Promising fourth in the Convivial Maiden at the York Ebor festival; very strong claims
3 (2)	Individualism b Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	133	—	23	-	85	70	39d	—	—	-12	14.5	5/2 29%
Beaten favourite last time but should do better still; close second over C&D on debut
2 (7)	Colorada Dancer b Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	133	—	22	-	89	74	12d	—	—	-6	14.7	3/1 25%
Runner-up in 7f contests at Sandown and Thirsk; one of the main form contenders
4 (1)	Inspiring Speeches ch Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	Paul Mulrennan · Michael Dods	133	—	53	-	69	37	21d	—	—	0	4.1	25 4%
Has shown ability in 6f events, while shaping as if 7f will suit
9 (3)	Capellina ch Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	128	—	4	-	78	-	45d	—	—	-2	0.9	28 4%
Showed some promise over C&D on debut; open to improvement; possibilities
6 (11)	Respectful b Sam James · K R Burke	Sam James · K R Burke	133	—	54	-	69	60	44d	—	—	-3	1	33 3%
6l fourth at Catterick last time; further progress is possible but required
11 (6)	Ready Or Nott b Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	128	—	85	-	70	57	22d	—	—	-2	0.6	50 2%
Needs to improve a lot further
7 (5)	This Years Love b Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	133	—	37	-	58	38	24d	—	—	+1	2.5	80 1%
Handicaps more suitable shortly
1 (9)	Cestrian Spirit ch Graham Lee · Kevin Ryan	Graham Lee · Kevin Ryan	133	—	—	-	27	-	41d	—	—	-1	0.3	150 1%
Inauspicious debut at Haydock, trailing home last of 11
10 (10)	Flow So Gently b Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	128	—	79	-	65	15	21d	—	—	0	0.1	300 0%
Comfortably held in both runs
5 (4)	Papagrey b David Allan · Tim Easterby	David Allan · Tim Easterby	133	—	—	-	47	11	21d	—	—	-1	0.2	200 1%
Achieved little on Carlisle debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Volterra	1	1	11/10	1/1	1
Individualism	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Colorada Dancer	3	11/4	3	3/1	3/1
Inspiring Speeches	25	22	25	22/1	25
Capellina	28	25	25	25	25
Respectful	33	22	25	22	22/1
Ready Or Nott	50	50	50	50	50
This Years Love	80	66	66	66/1	66
Cestrian Spirit	150	100	100	100	100/1
Flow So Gently	300	200	200	200	200
Papagrey	200	150	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Volterra

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15.4

11/10

2nd

Colorada Dancer

14.7

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Individualism

14.5

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 8

5/2

Inspiring Speeches

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

This Years Love

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

Respectful

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Capellina

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ready Or Nott

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Cestrian Spirit

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Papagrey

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Flow So Gently

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Volterra	—	93	76
Individualism	—	85	70
Colorada Dancer	—	89	74
Inspiring Speeches	—	69	37
Capellina	—	78	—
Respectful	—	69	60
Ready Or Nott	—	70	57
This Years Love	—	58	38
Cestrian Spirit	—	27	—
Flow So Gently	—	65	15
Papagrey	—	47	11

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Volterra	27d ago	Fit
Individualism	39d ago	Fit
Colorada Dancer	12d ago	Quick return
Inspiring Speeches	21d ago	Fit
Capellina	45d ago	Fit
Respectful	44d ago	Fit
Ready Or Nott	22d ago	Fit
This Years Love	24d ago	Fit
Cestrian Spirit	41d ago	Fit
Flow So Gently	21d ago	Fit
Papagrey	21d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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