Betsi Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

8:30

Betsi Handicap

Date 2023-09-21

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (11)	Cryptos Dream b Dylan Hogan · Jack Jones	Dylan Hogan · Jack Jones	133	p	0-0417	51	73	14	24d	—	—	-18	8.1	11/4 27%
Easy turf winner last month; below par one week later but has AW form and is a contender
4 (12)	El Royale gr Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	131	b	542852	49	65	49	7d	—	—	-6	11.5	4/1 20%
Runner-up in two of his last four starts, including over 1m here last week; contender
12 (4)	Trackman b Kieran O'Neill · Simon Pearce	Kieran O'Neill · Simon Pearce	122	—	0-00	45	53	-	98d	—	—	-14	5.7	7/2 22%
Shown nothing on turf but pedigree offers hope for AW & longer trip a plus; check betting
5 (10)	Young Winston b Mollie Phillips(3) · Tony Carroll	Mollie Phillips(3) · Tony Carroll	130	—	649234	48	68	26	31d	—	—	-8	9.6	9/2 18%
Three creditable runs for new yard but has 9l to find with Cryptos Dream on latest start
2 (2)	Egoiste b David Probert · David Menuisier	David Probert · David Menuisier	133	h	-58367	51	69	60	42d	—	—	-10	6.8	9/2 18%
Went close over C&D in May off 3lb higher; latest run excusable; one for the shortlist
9 (1)	James Bradley b David Egan · Charlie Wallis	David Egan · Charlie Wallis	123	—	007458	46	61	34	7d	—	—	-7	2.9	17/2 11%
1m winner here in January but more recent efforts are harder to enthuse over
1 (8)	Iftikhaar b Lewis Edmunds · J R Jenkins	Lewis Edmunds · J R Jenkins	135	—	4-0908	53	67	47	145d	—	—	-4	2.7	12/1 8%
Yet to shine for current yard; down in the weights but others looks stronger
10 (5)	Lady Clemmie b Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	123	b	-97659	46	64	24	21d	—	—	-4	1.6	14/1 7%
Unplaced in all eight starts; hard to know where the requisite improvement is coming from
6 (7)	Lightning Spark ch Luke Morris · David Simcock	Luke Morris · David Simcock	129	—	8906	52	64	18	20d	—	—	-3	1.7	18/1 5%
Offered more on her handicap debut this month (1m4f); still early days and she's a player
7 (3)	Anna Aurelia b Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	129	p	37060	52	63	-	15d	—	—	-1	2	28 4%
Not gone on from debut promise and well beaten in two recent handicaps; headgear on now
11 (9)	Two Plus Two ch Rhys Clutterbuck · Ed De Giles	Rhys Clutterbuck · Ed De Giles	122	b	065028	45	58	18	15d	—	—	+1	4.4	28 4%
Even his placed effort saw him beaten a long way; improvement is required
8 (6)	Our Land ch William Carson · Mark Pattinson	William Carson · Mark Pattinson	127	—	0700	45	47	20	38d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
No improvement for the switch to handicaps/turf last month; hard to recommend

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cryptos Dream	11/4	3	11/4	11/4	11/4
El Royale	4	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2
Trackman	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Young Winston	9/2	4	7/2	4	4
Egoiste	4	9/2	7/2	9/2	9/2
James Bradley	17/2	8/1	8	17/2	17/2
Iftikhaar	12/1	11	10	11	12/1
Lady Clemmie	14/1	12	12	12	12
Lightning Spark	18	16	16	16	18/1
Anna Aurelia	28	25	25	28	28
Two Plus Two	28	25	25	25	25
Our Land	200/1	125/1	100	125/1	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

El Royale

11.5

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Young Winston

9.6

OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Cryptos Dream

8.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.8

11/4

Egoiste

6.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Trackman

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Two Plus Two

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

James Bradley

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Iftikhaar

2.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Anna Aurelia

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

Lightning Spark

1.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Lady Clemmie

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Our Land

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Iftikhaar Top Rated	53	67	47
Lightning Spark	52	64	18
Anna Aurelia	52	63	—
Cryptos Dream	51	73	14
Egoiste	51	69	60
El Royale	49	65	49
Young Winston	48	68	26
James Bradley	46	61	34
Lady Clemmie	46	64	24
Trackman	45	53	—
Two Plus Two	45	58	18
Our Land	45	47	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cryptos Dream	24d ago	Fit
El Royale	7d ago	Quick return
Trackman	98d ago	Long break
Young Winston	31d ago	Fit
Egoiste	42d ago	Fit
James Bradley	7d ago	Quick return
Iftikhaar	145d ago	Long break
Lady Clemmie	21d ago	Fit
Lightning Spark	20d ago	Fit
Anna Aurelia	15d ago	Fit
Two Plus Two	15d ago	Fit
Our Land	38d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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