British EBF Stallions Harry Rosebery Stakes (Listed Race)

Ayr

2:15

Date 2023-09-22

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £20,132

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (4)	Beautiful Diamond gr Clifford Lee · K R Burke	Clifford Lee · K R Burke	126	—	135	100	112	105	29d	—	—	-10	34.6	10/11 52%
Queen Mary third who looked stretched by 6f in the Lowther; softish ground a grey area
3 (2)	Purosangue br P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	131	—	1522	106	112	103	27d	—	—	+5	34.9	15/8 35%
Ran his best race on soft ground when pushing Big Evs close in a Group 3 at Goodwood
NR (1)	Toca Madera b NON-RUNNER · Brian Meehan	NON-RUNNER · Brian Meehan	131	—	31033	102	107	85	50d	—	—	-28	41.7	9/2 18%
Placed in Group 2s the last twice so has strong form claims on this return to 5f
2 (7)	Mon Na Slieve ch Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	131	—	185	92	101	95	27d	—	—	+9	18	17/2 11%
Looks all about speed; behind Purosangue last time and softer ground here is a worry
1 (6)	Bombay Bazaar b Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	131	—	31104	90	99	84	25d	—	—	+13	20.7	14 7%
Limitations have been exposed in two Listed races since going back-to-back at Beverley
NR (3)	Queens Guard b Daniel Tudhope · Michael Bell	Daniel Tudhope · Michael Bell	126	—	41	-	93	79	44d	—	—	+5	11.9	14 7%
Beaten fav on soft-ground debut; won at Yarmouth (good) but needs to improve on that
5 (5)	Alfa Moonstone gr Sam James · Craig Lidster	Sam James · Craig Lidster	126	—	81946	72	86	61	26d	—	—	+7	8.9	150 1%
Last on her nursery debut 26 days ago and has a lot to find in this company

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Beautiful Diamond	5/6	10/11	10/11	5/6	5/6
Purosangue	15/8	13/8	7/4	7/4	7/4
Toca Madera	9/2	5	SP	SP	SP
Mon Na Slieve	9	8	17/2	17/2	9
Bombay Bazaar	12	12	12	12	14
Queens Guard	10	14	12	14	14
Alfa Moonstone	150	100	100	125	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Toca Madera

41.7

OR: 13 Form: 8.7 Odds: 20

9/2

2nd

Purosangue

34.9

OR: 14 Form: 11.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Beautiful Diamond

34.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 15

10/11

Bombay Bazaar

20.7

OR: 10 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.1

Mon Na Slieve

OR: 10.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Queens Guard

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

Alfa Moonstone

8.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Purosangue Top Rated	106	112	103
Toca Madera	102	107	85
Beautiful Diamond	100	112	105
Mon Na Slieve	92	101	95
Bombay Bazaar	90	99	84
Alfa Moonstone	72	86	61
Queens Guard	—	93	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Beautiful Diamond	29d ago	Fit
Purosangue	27d ago	Fit
Toca Madera	50d ago	Fresh
Mon Na Slieve	27d ago	Fit
Bombay Bazaar	25d ago	Fit
Queens Guard	44d ago	Fit
Alfa Moonstone	26d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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