Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Fillies' Nursery Handicap

Ayr

1:15

Date 2023-09-22

Distance 7f50y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £7,851

Runners 6

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (3)	Miss Roberts b Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	135	—	24622	83	88	76	20d	—	—	-4	27.8	7/4 36%
Has gone close in both nurseries; bang there if conditions suit (unraced on slow ground)
6 (4)	Buttercross Flyer b William Pyle(5) · Craig Lidster	William Pyle(5) · Craig Lidster	121	—	522614	69	84	77	9d	—	—	+1	20	10/3 23%
Has to transfer AW improvement back to turf but there has been promise on grass; respected
3 (6)	Lunar Streets br Paul Mulrennan · Ed Dunlop	Paul Mulrennan · Ed Dunlop	128	—	12	76	88	55	21d	—	—	+6	23.5	18/5 22%
Promise over 6f on first two starts & open to improvement now up in trip on nursery debut
2 (1)	Elinor Dashwood b/br Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	133	—	4104	81	85	68	20d	—	—	+4	16.1	7 14%
Haydock 6f maiden winner who is worth a go at this trip and is not ruled out
4 (2)	Never Fear ch Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston	126	—	175	74	80	65	85d	—	—	+5	13.2	10 10%
Underwhelming on both starts since her winning debut but the break may have helped
5 (5)	Roman Secret b Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	122	—	236	70	85	66	25d	—	—	+5	11.2	16 6%
Flopped on AW latest but promise on turf previously; could bounce back on nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Miss Roberts	6/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8
Buttercross Flyer	10/3	10/3	3	16/5	3
Lunar Streets	7/2	7/2	4	18/5	4
Elinor Dashwood	7	6	6	6	7
Never Fear	10	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Roman Secret	16	14	12	14	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miss Roberts

27.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Lunar Streets

23.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 12 Odds: 5

18/5

3rd

Buttercross Flyer

OR: 4.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Elinor Dashwood

16.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

Never Fear

13.2

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

Roman Secret

11.2

OR: 5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Miss Roberts Top Rated	83	88	76
Elinor Dashwood	81	85	68
Lunar Streets	76	88	55
Never Fear	74	80	65
Roman Secret	70	85	66
Buttercross Flyer	69	84	77

Last Run

Going: Good To Soft

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