Grassroots Series Final Sprint Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

3:50

Grassroots Series Final Sprint Handicap

Date 2023-09-26

Distance 6f18y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,462

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (10)	Northern Spirit b Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	123	p	341223	78	100	85	26d	—	—	+6	24.2	7/2 22%
Progressing well this year and conditions will suit; can get much closer to Pinafore today
1 (8)	Pinafore gr Tom Marquand · William Haggas	Tom Marquand · William Haggas	138	p	414516	93	99	90	34d	—	—	+8	24.8	4/1 20%
Looked good here last month before a creditable run at the Ebor meeting; ground a query
7 (2)	Billyjoh gr Frederick Larson(3) · Michael Appleby	Frederick Larson(3) · Michael Appleby	121	—	1355	76	100	69	13d	—	—	+1	15	11/2 15%
Unexposed 3yo who shaped with some promise at Southwell 13 days ago; one for the shortlist
11 (4)	Havana Rum b Franny Norton · Richard Fahey	Franny Norton · Richard Fahey	114	v	752731	69	98	80	14d	—	—	+10	21.7	6 17%
Cosy win at Catterick latest; effectively 7lb higher but unexposed in a visor; chance
3 (9)	Fantasy Master ch David Egan · Darryll Holland	David Egan · Darryll Holland	125	p	726105	78	100	87	38d	—	—	+5	16.3	13/2 13%
Won this race in 2022; better than ever at Doncaster in July; needs serious consideration
2 (1)	Spirit Of Applause b Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	127	—	292540	82	102	95	16d	—	—	+3	11.9	10 10%
Chance on this season's best but he'll need to step up on his last two efforts
NR (5)	Sera Dawn b Rose Dawes(5) · Jack Channon	Rose Dawes(5) · Jack Channon	117	—	443455	72	101	90	1d	—	—	+1	8.3	12 8%
Two 5f wins on slow ground in April; progress stalled since; 6f a query
10 (6)	Foreseeable Future b James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	116	v	211252	69	100	84	10d	—	—	+12	19.4	11 9%
Having a good year, winning four and then going close in a big field latest; contender
NR (7)	Muscika b Rossa Ryan · David Omeara	Rossa Ryan · David Omeara	123	v	504021	76	99	82	39d	—	—	+15	21.9	14 7%
Made most in a small field at Epsom last month; more on his plate up 6lb in this field
9 (12)	Mokaatil br Harry Davies · Ian Williams	Harry Davies · Ian Williams	117	b	359065	70	105	80	10d	—	—	+1	6.6	16/1 6%
Tumbling down weights and best 2023 run came over C&D; risky all the same
6 (11)	Just A Spark b David Probert · Rod Millman	David Probert · Rod Millman	121	—	397178	76	100	89	31d	—	—	+7	13.1	16 6%
Not at best the last twice but this return to slower ground could be beneficial
NR (3)	Muy Muy Guapo b NON-RUNNER · Simon Dow	NON-RUNNER · Simon Dow	114	—	046727	69	95	85	4d	—	—	-42	28.3	33 3%
12-race maiden who can blow the start; vulnerable from so far out of the weights
13 (13)	Brother Sebastian br Mia Nicholls(7) · Tim Easterby	Mia Nicholls(7) · Tim Easterby	114	—	5-6780	69	88	71	25d	—	—	+4	5.1	100 1%
Struggled in handicaps this year and he's 10lb wrong today; opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Northern Spirit	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Pinafore	4	7/2	7/2	4	4/1
Billyjoh	5	5	9/2	5	11/2
Havana Rum	6	6	6	6	6
Fantasy Master	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Spirit Of Applause	10	9	8	9	9
Sera Dawn	12	11	10	11	11
Foreseeable Future	11	10	10	10	10
Muscika	14	14	12	12	12
Mokaatil	14	14	14	14	16/1
Just A Spark	16	16	12	16	16
Muy Muy Guapo	33	22	SP	25	25
Brother Sebastian	100	66	50	66	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Muy Muy Guapo

28.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 20

2nd

Pinafore

24.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 9 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Northern Spirit

24.2

OR: 7 Form: 12 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Muscika

21.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.9

Havana Rum

21.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 13.6 Odds: 3.3

Foreseeable Future

19.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.1

Fantasy Master

16.3

OR: 7 Form: 6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Billyjoh

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Just A Spark

13.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

Spirit Of Applause

11.9

OR: 8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

Sera Dawn

8.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

Mokaatil

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Brother Sebastian

5.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pinafore Top Rated	93	99	90
Spirit Of Applause	82	102	95
Northern Spirit	78	100	85
Fantasy Master	78	100	87
Billyjoh	76	100	69
Muscika	76	99	82
Just A Spark	76	100	89
Sera Dawn	72	101	90
Mokaatil	70	105	80
Havana Rum	69	98	80
Foreseeable Future	69	100	84
Muy Muy Guapo	69	95	85
Brother Sebastian	69	88	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Northern Spirit	26d ago	Fit
Pinafore	34d ago	Fit
Billyjoh	13d ago	Quick return
Havana Rum	14d ago	Fit
Fantasy Master	38d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Applause	16d ago	Fit
Sera Dawn	1d ago	Quick return
Foreseeable Future	10d ago	Quick return
Muscika	39d ago	Fit
Mokaatil	10d ago	Quick return
Just A Spark	31d ago	Fit
Muy Muy Guapo	4d ago	Quick return
Brother Sebastian	25d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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