Leader Handicap Chase – Market Rasen

Market Rasen

3:20

Leader Handicap Chase

Date 2023-09-30

Distance 2m7f191y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Tedwin Hills b Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	165	—	2P-442	97	106	92	23d	—	—	-4	18.4	3 33%
0-8; creditable second at Southwell on chase debut (2m4f); a possible on first run at 3m
5	Cant Beat History ch Lee Edwards · Henry Oliver	Lee Edwards · Henry Oliver	158	t	5-451U	90	105	87	17d	—	—	-4	15.7	4 25%
Off the mark when 2m5f winner off 7lb lower here last month; seems to stay 3m; a possible
6	Barely Famous b Caoilin Quinn(5) · Ryan Potter	Caoilin Quinn(5) · Ryan Potter	148	t	-65547	80	102	83	60d	—	—	-5	12.7	5 20%
Dual fast-ground winning hurdler last autumn; not quite so good since, last 3 over fences
3	Another Mystery b James Best · Sarah Humphrey	James Best · Sarah Humphrey	167	p	P75-11	99	104	-	106d	—	—	+6	14.6	11 9%
15,000gns buy in July; two hurdles wins this year; poor efforts last 3 chase starts
9	Abington Park br Harry Bannister · Alex Hales	Harry Bannister · Alex Hales	142	p	27P-8P	74	103	-	87d	—	—	0	8.4	8 13%
Two fair runs last September; poor since; plenty to prove from 2lb out of the handicap.
2	Young Wolf b Richie McLernon · Jonjo Oneill	Richie McLernon · Jonjo Oneill	168	—	/5-413	100	106	95	29d	—	—	+7	14.6	12 8%
Beat Lough Salt over C&D 2 runs back; only 3rd last time (2m3f); return to 3m will suit
8	Deadly Missile br Ben Poste · Rosemary Gasson	Ben Poste · Rosemary Gasson	142	—	9-524F	74	102	87	37d	—	—	+1	8.1	9 11%
Winning Irish pointer; fell first last time; in fair form prior to that; 2lb wrong; chance
1	Great Dange b Liam Harrison · Robbie Llewellyn	Liam Harrison · Robbie Llewellyn	168	t	84P-PP	100	105	-	102d	—	—	+8	14.4	10 10%
2,500gns buy in August; 2m7f winner in December 2022; poor form since; plenty to prove
7	Lough Salt b John Kington · Peter Winks	John Kington · Peter Winks	142	p	4-U626	74	106	91	31d	—	—	+1	7.7	14 7%
Good 2nd to Young Wolf over C&D last month; well beaten last time; others preferred

Horse	bet365
Tedwin Hills	3
Cant Beat History	4
Barely Famous	5
Another Mystery	11
Abington Park	8
Young Wolf	12
Deadly Missile	9
Great Dange	10
Lough Salt	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tedwin Hills

18.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

2nd

Cant Beat History

15.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3rd

Another Mystery

14.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Young Wolf

14.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Great Dange

14.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Barely Famous

12.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

Abington Park

8.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Deadly Missile

8.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Lough Salt

7.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Young Wolf Top Rated	100	106	95
Great Dange	100	105	—
Another Mystery	99	104	—
Tedwin Hills	97	106	92
Cant Beat History	90	105	87
Barely Famous	80	102	83
Abington Park	74	103	—
Deadly Missile	74	102	87
Lough Salt	74	106	91

Course & Distance Record

Horse	Course (Market Rasen)	Distance (2m7f191y)
Tedwin Hills	—	—
Cant Beat History	—	—
Barely Famous	—	—
Another Mystery	—	—
Abington Park	—	—
Young Wolf	—	—
Deadly Missile	—	—
Great Dange	—	—
Lough Salt	—	—

Freshness

Horse	Days Since Last Run	Status
Tedwin Hills	23d ago	Fit
Cant Beat History	17d ago	Fit
Barely Famous	60d ago	Fresh
Another Mystery	106d ago	Long break
Abington Park	87d ago	Fresh
Young Wolf	29d ago	Fit
Deadly Missile	37d ago	Fit
Great Dange	102d ago	Long break
Lough Salt	31d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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