Racing Welfare Supporting Racing's Workforce Nursery Handicap

Chelmsford (AW)

6:00

Date 2023-09-30

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,004

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (12)	Dominant Force b NON-RUNNER · Tony Carroll	NON-RUNNER · Tony Carroll	133	—	086	58	58	-	57d	—	—	-48	22	—
Huge prices and well held in three runs in high summer; drawn wide now handicapping
11 (5)	Super Schwartz b Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	126	—	5963	51	69	47	16d	—	—	-12	9.9	5/2 29%
Much better on his nursery debut here recently; is shortlisted back up to 6f
4 (3)	Surface To Air gr Kevin Stott · David Evans	Kevin Stott · David Evans	134	v	464483	59	65	-	33d	—	—	-7	10.3	9/2 18%
Is exposed ahead of tonight's AW debut but has a handy draw and is one to consider
6 (7)	Mbappe b Ross Coakley · Ed Walker	Ross Coakley · Ed Walker	132	—	5086	57	67	34	22d	—	—	-7	5.4	13/2 13%
Again among the favourites on his nursery debut; is evidently felt capable of better
7 (10)	Nouveaux b Callum Shepherd · Rae Guest	Callum Shepherd · Rae Guest	132	—	7384	57	68	61	16d	—	—	-3	5.6	9 11%
Better on her nursery debut when just behind Super Schwartz here last time; has claims
9 (1)	My Lady Samantha b Darragh Keenan · Alice Haynes	Darragh Keenan · Alice Haynes	130	p	8706	55	63	26	19d	—	—	-5	3.8	10 10%
Trainer a pleasing 6-25 with 2yos here but it's hard to find any other positives
8 (9)	Jungle Dance b Dylan Hogan · John Butler	Dylan Hogan · John Butler	130	p	850054	55	63	52	17d	—	—	-5	3.5	10 10%
Did better last time and is one of the more interesting runners in first-time headgear
1 (11)	Torvar ch Tom Queally · David Omeara	Tom Queally · David Omeara	137	—	545655	62	67	27	24d	—	—	-2	4.9	14 7%
Needs to settle better from a wide stall, especially with the hood being removed; risky
3 (6)	Blow Me Away ch Luke Catton(5) · Stuart Williams	Luke Catton(5) · Stuart Williams	135	t	870090	60	61	34	17d	—	—	-4	5	12 8%
String of ordinary efforts at big prices; this is easier but he's not obviously fancied
10 (14)	Eyes Closed b Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	128	t	874	53	57	-	24d	—	—	-3	2.1	20 5%
Little in three runs to date and is drawn on the outside but worth a look in the market
13 (4)	Si Si La Bonne b Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	125	—	558	50	61	40	31d	—	—	-6	2.1	14 7%
Sister to the yard's dual 2yo winner Bonnsie; beaten a long way in three runs over 7f-1m
2 (8)	Midnight Force b Connor Planas(3) · Darryll Holland	Connor Planas(3) · Darryll Holland	136	t	04777	61	56	35	17d	—	—	0	3.6	25 4%
Another disappointment behind Jungle Dance last time; now goes in a first-time tongue-tie
12 (2)	Easel br Rhys Clutterbuck · Jonathan Portman	Rhys Clutterbuck · Jonathan Portman	126	—	57940	51	64	26	22d	—	—	-2	1	33 3%
Hasn't gone on at all (5f-1m), finishing well held in two nurseries latterly
NR (13)	Project Frank b Raul Da Silva · Jessica Macey	Raul Da Silva · Jessica Macey	120	b	709	45	-	-	24d	—	—	-8	3.1	50 2%
Tailed-off last all three runs and the first-time blinkers need to make a huge difference

Horse	bet365
Dominant Force	SP
Super Schwartz	5/2
Surface To Air	9/2
Mbappe	13/2
Nouveaux	9
My Lady Samantha	10
Jungle Dance	10
Torvar	14
Blow Me Away	12
Eyes Closed	20
Si Si La Bonne	14
Midnight Force	25
Easel	33
Project Frank	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dominant Force

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Surface To Air

10.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Super Schwartz

9.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Nouveaux

5.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

Mbappe

5.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Blow Me Away

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Torvar

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

My Lady Samantha

3.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Midnight Force

3.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Jungle Dance

3.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Project Frank

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Eyes Closed

2.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Si Si La Bonne

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Easel

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Torvar Top Rated	62	67	27
Midnight Force	61	56	35
Blow Me Away	60	61	34
Surface To Air	59	65	—
Dominant Force	58	58	—
Mbappe	57	67	34
Nouveaux	57	68	61
My Lady Samantha	55	63	26
Jungle Dance	55	63	52
Eyes Closed	53	57	—
Super Schwartz	51	69	47
Easel	51	64	26
Si Si La Bonne	50	61	40
Project Frank	45	—	—

Course & Distance Record

Horse	Course (Chelmsford (AW))	Distance (6f)
Dominant Force	—	—
Super Schwartz	—	—
Surface To Air	—	—
Mbappe	—	—
Nouveaux	—	—
My Lady Samantha	—	—
Jungle Dance	—	—
Torvar	—	—
Blow Me Away	—	—
Eyes Closed	—	—
Si Si La Bonne	—	—
Midnight Force	—	—
Easel	—	—
Project Frank	—	—

Freshness

Horse	Days Since Last Run	Status
Dominant Force	57d ago	Fresh
Super Schwartz	16d ago	Fit
Surface To Air	33d ago	Fit
Mbappe	22d ago	Fit
Nouveaux	16d ago	Fit
My Lady Samantha	19d ago	Fit
Jungle Dance	17d ago	Fit
Torvar	24d ago	Fit
Blow Me Away	17d ago	Fit
Eyes Closed	24d ago	Fit
Si Si La Bonne	31d ago	Fit
Midnight Force	17d ago	Fit
Easel	22d ago	Fit
Project Frank	24d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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