Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

5:00

Date 2023-10-04

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (3)	Perseus Way ch Jim Crowley · Owen Burrows	Jim Crowley · Owen Burrows	140	p	7/021-	80	83	-	—	—	—	-9	14.8	11/4 27%
Has won fresh a couple of times and is one to consider on his Polytrack debut
12 (4)	Mordor b Oisin Murphy · David Simcock	Oisin Murphy · David Simcock	132	—	5332	77	86	77	21d	—	—	-5	24.2	5/2 29%
3lb higher tonight but remains open to improvement after just four starts; player
13 (10)	Fleur De Mer gr Richard Kingscote · Hugo Palmer	Richard Kingscote · Hugo Palmer	129	—	38V121	74	90	72	26d	—	—	+14	28.9	9/2 18%
Improver since switched to the AW/handicapping; leading claims for a yard in decent nick
10 (2)	Alice Knyvet b William Buick · Harry & Roger Charlton	William Buick · Harry & Roger Charlton	133	—	349213	78	85	34	27d	—	—	+12	22.4	15/2 12%
Remains open to improvement and goes on the shortlist under William Buick
NR (1)	Tarbaan ch Kevin Stott · Amy Murphy	Kevin Stott · Amy Murphy	140	tp	493431	80	88	41	15d	—	—	+14	23	12 8%
Won off 6lb lower last time; needs more if he's to follow up but is consistent
8 (7)	Mayfair Gold b Rossa Ryan · Alan King	Rossa Ryan · Alan King	134	—	180226	74	86	61	28d	—	—	+6	14.4	10 10%
No obvious reason she won't give her running but remains 3lb above her last winning mark
NR (5)	Tessy Lad b Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	137	—	-71722	77	87	65	8d	—	—	+10	21.4	20 5%
Won't mind going back up from 1m2f but needs to find a bit more in a competitive handicap
14 (8)	Another Run b Joshua Bryan · Andrew Balding	Joshua Bryan · Andrew Balding	128	—	324423	73	86	42	28d	—	—	+8	15.4	11/1 8%
Consistent enough but will need to better recent efforts back into handicap company
4 (9)	Savrola b Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	137	p	-13752	77	88	46	8d	—	—	+10	16.4	14 7%
Allowed his own way in front at a steady pace last week and this is a deeper race
NR (11)	God Of Fire b Sean Levey · Stuart Williams	Sean Levey · Stuart Williams	132	t	389039	77	85	70	8d	—	—	+5	10.1	22 5%
Has twice hung right in the tongue-tie; needs to be more amenable early from a wide stall
9 (6)	Natchez Trace b Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	133	—	138770	73	86	73	21d	—	—	+3	7.6	20/1 5%
Been inclined to pull hard since a Tapeta win in June and has rather lost his way
5 (14)	Aristobulus b Callum Shepherd · Stuart Edmunds	Callum Shepherd · Stuart Edmunds	135	—	6976-1	75	84	68	—	—	—	+15	16.8	50 2%
Needs to settle from the outside stall after a break; is some way down the pecking order
6 (13)	Sir Laurence Graff b Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham	Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham	135	—	291-56	80	84	-	39d	—	—	+6	7.9	100 1%
Switch from turf may help, but he's achieved little in two runs back for his current yard
7 (12)	Looksee b Frederick Larson(3) · Patrick Chamings	Frederick Larson(3) · Patrick Chamings	134	—	437	74	79	-	61d	—	—	+7	8.5	150/1 1%
Owes his opening mark to his 200-1 Leicester third; profile isn't the most convincing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Perseus Way	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4	11/4
Mordor	2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Fleur De Mer	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Alice Knyvet	13/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Tarbaan	12	12	11	11	12
Mayfair Gold	10	9	9	9	9
Tessy Lad	20	20	18	16	SP
Another Run	11/1	10	10	10	10/1
Savrola	14	12	12	12	12
God Of Fire	20	20	22	22	22
Natchez Trace	16	20/1	20	18	18/1
Aristobulus	50	40	33	40	40
Sir Laurence Graff	100	80	66	80/1	80
Looksee	150/1	125	50	125/1	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fleur De Mer

28.9

OR: 6 Form: 18.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Mordor

24.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 8.9

5/2

3rd

Tarbaan

OR: 7.5 Form: 13 Odds: 2.5

Alice Knyvet

22.4

OR: 7 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Tessy Lad

21.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.1

Aristobulus

16.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

Savrola

16.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.7

Another Run

15.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Perseus Way

14.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Mayfair Gold

14.4

OR: 6 Form: 6 Odds: 2.4

God Of Fire

10.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.3

Looksee

8.5

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Sir Laurence Graff

7.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Natchez Trace

7.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Perseus Way Top Rated	80	83	—
Tarbaan	80	88	41
Sir Laurence Graff	80	84	—
Alice Knyvet	78	85	34
Mordor	77	86	77
Tessy Lad	77	87	65
Savrola	77	88	46
God Of Fire	77	85	70
Aristobulus	75	84	68
Fleur De Mer	74	90	72
Mayfair Gold	74	86	61
Looksee	74	79	—
Another Run	73	86	42
Natchez Trace	73	86	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Perseus Way	—	—
Mordor	21d ago	Fit
Fleur De Mer	26d ago	Fit
Alice Knyvet	27d ago	Fit
Tarbaan	15d ago	Fit
Mayfair Gold	28d ago	Fit
Tessy Lad	8d ago	Quick return
Another Run	28d ago	Fit
Savrola	8d ago	Quick return
God Of Fire	8d ago	Quick return
Natchez Trace	21d ago	Fit
Aristobulus	—	—
Sir Laurence Graff	39d ago	Fit
Looksee	61d ago	Fresh

Going: Standard To Slow

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