Northumbria Leisure Celebration Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

8:30

Northumbria Leisure Celebration Handicap

Date 2023-10-13

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (4)	Woobay b Hollie Doyle · Phillip Makin	Hollie Doyle · Phillip Makin	141	—	225821	68	81	31	9d	—	—	-2	28.4	15/8 35%
Made all at Catterick last week; 6lb higher tonight and may face competition for the lead
7 (8)	Elzaal b Graham Lee · Paul Midgley	Graham Lee · Paul Midgley	132	—	965302	59	78	67	7d	—	—	-10	17.2	9/4 31%
AW mark has dropped in line with turf rating & he narrowly failed to capitalise last week
6 (7)	Lady Celia b Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	133	—	414634	60	75	64	7d	—	—	-2	9.9	11/2 15%
6f winner here for R Fahey; doing well over 5f for this yard; one to consider
4 (3)	Crypto Quest b Billy Garritty · Ian Mcinnes	Billy Garritty · Ian Mcinnes	135	—	602355	62	71	59	17d	—	—	-2	9.1	17/2 11%
Much lower AW mark to exploit; drop to 5f in his favour; needs consideration
3 (2)	Aconcagua Mountain b Zak Wheatley(5) · Iain Jardine	Zak Wheatley(5) · Iain Jardine	136	b	374214	63	73	48	19d	—	—	+5	15.6	17/2 11%
2 Tapeta wins in 2022; better than ever at Ayr last month but disappointed 3 days later
8 (5)	Nautical Dream b Laura Pearson · Jessica Macey	Laura Pearson · Jessica Macey	129	b	74576	56	72	50	24d	—	—	-3	3.1	16 6%
Unexposed colt; ground may not have suited latest; blinkers added now; interesting
5 (6)	Dapper Man b Jason Hart · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Jason Hart · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	—	312216	62	75	55	155d	—	—	+13	17.1	22 5%
Conditions should be fine but back from five months off may not be the time to catch him
2 (1)	Premier Option b James Sullivan · Tim Easterby	James Sullivan · Tim Easterby	137	tp	0-3640	64	72	-	77d	—	—	+2	4.2	40 3%
Below par at York last time but in Class 4; pick of his efforts bring him into the picture

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Woobay	2	15/8	7/4	15/8	15/8
Elzaal	9/4	9/4	2	2	9/4
Lady Celia	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
Crypto Quest	17/2	7	7	7	15/2
Aconcagua Mountain	17/2	8	15/2	15/2	8
Nautical Dream	16	14	12	14	16
Dapper Man	20	22	20	20	22
Premier Option	40	40	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Woobay

28.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Elzaal

17.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Dapper Man

17.1

OR: 3 Form: 13 Odds: 1.1

Aconcagua Mountain

15.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Lady Celia

9.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Crypto Quest

9.1

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Premier Option

4.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Nautical Dream

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Woobay Top Rated	68	81	31
Premier Option	64	72	—
Aconcagua Mountain	63	73	48
Crypto Quest	62	71	59
Dapper Man	62	75	55
Lady Celia	60	75	64
Elzaal	59	78	67
Nautical Dream	56	72	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Woobay	9d ago	Quick return
Elzaal	7d ago	Quick return
Lady Celia	7d ago	Quick return
Crypto Quest	17d ago	Fit
Aconcagua Mountain	19d ago	Fit
Nautical Dream	24d ago	Fit
Dapper Man	155d ago	Long break
Premier Option	77d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Crypto Quest	Prominent
Premier Option	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.

Going: Standard To Slow

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