Native River Handicap Chase (GBB Race) – Chepstow

Chepstow

2:30

Native River Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Date 2023-10-14

Distance 2m7f131y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £26,015

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7	Tea Clipper b Stan Sheppard · Tom Lacey	Stan Sheppard · Tom Lacey	156	p	3468-9	138	159	123	139d	—	—	+4	30	11/4 27%
Out of form when last seen in the spring but has excellent record at this meeting
6	French Paradoxe b Gavin Sheehan · Oliver Signy	Gavin Sheehan · Oliver Signy	157	—	/1F1P-	139	151	131	210d	—	—	+15	36.2	10/3 23%
Found 4m2f too taxing last time but did well in general last season (three wins)
NR	Courtland b TBC · Peter Bowen	· Peter Bowen	162	—	-11121	144	156	134	53d	—	—	+34	52.2	10/3 23%
Four wins already this season but latest 10lb rise asks quite a lot of him here
1	Stolen Silver gr Sam Twiston-Davies · Sam Thomas	Sam Twiston-Davies · Sam Thomas	168	t	/U2P0-	150	157	112	212d	—	—	+17	29.6	11/2 15%
Good second at Cheltenham on New Year's Day but his best form is at that track
12	Emir Sacree b Nico de Boinville · Nicky Henderson	Nico de Boinville · Nicky Henderson	148	—	/P3P-P	130	158	123	161d	—	—	+10	24	11/2 15%
Claims if judged on Sandown third in February but pulled up on three of last four outings
4	Evas Oskar gr Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	159	tv	2164U-	141	154	130	182d	—	—	+16	28.9	8 13%
Battled bravely to land a good prize at Cheltenham last December; this C&D also suits
NR	Certainly Red ch TBC · Lydia Richards	· Lydia Richards	158	—	11197-	140	157	133	168d	—	—	+17	39.3	8 13%
Did very well last season but will need to resume in peak form to overcome current mark
NR	Brief Times b TBC · Neil Mulholland	· Neil Mulholland	155	t	-P9113	137	151	130	53d	—	—	+30	39	10 10%
Dual winner this summer but a well-held third off this career-high mark last time
10	Coeur Serein b Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo Oneill	Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo Oneill	153	p	81P5-F	135	156	102	104d	—	—	+14	23.9	15/2 12%
Just 1-10 over fences but ran a big race in defeat over C&D last December
NR	Hidden Heroics b NON-RUNNER · Dan Skelton	NON-RUNNER · Dan Skelton	150	p	1155-5	132	156	-	148d	—	—	-30	40.5	12 8%
Front-runner; below best when last seen in spring but may still have potential over fences
NR	Threeunderthrufive b NON-RUNNER · Paul Nicholls	NON-RUNNER · Paul Nicholls	165	tp	3U684-	147	156	114	175d	—	—	-28	44.4	13/2 13%
No win last season but signed off with good fourth in Scottish Grand National
NR	Switch Hitter b NON-RUNNER · Paul Nicholls	NON-RUNNER · Paul Nicholls	155	—	22/71-	137	154	98	238d	—	—	+8	27.2	10 10%
2-6 over fences after Wincanton win in February; up in grade here; may have more to offer
NR	Manothepeople b TBC · Fergal Obrien	· Fergal Obrien	146	—	/112P-	128	156	107	175d	—	—	+20	33.5	13/2 13%
Dual course winner last season and still lightly raced over fences; major player
14	Strictlyadancer b Jack Tudor · Christian Williams	Jack Tudor · Christian Williams	142	—	111P4/	124	-	-	637d	—	—	+24	28.7	22 5%
Completed hat-trick in autumn 2021 but absent since the following January

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tea Clipper	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4
French Paradoxe	11/4	3	10/3	11/4	11/4
Courtland	SP	4	10/3	4	SP
Stolen Silver	6	11/2	11/2	5	11/2
Emir Sacree	11/2	5	9/2	9/2	5
Evas Oskar	8	7	5	13/2	13/2
Certainly Red	8	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Brief Times	9	10	10	10	10
Coeur Serein	8	8	15/2	8	8
Hidden Heroics	SP	12	SP	SP	SP
Threeunderthrufive	SP	13/2	SP	SP	SP
Switch Hitter	9	10	9	SP	8
Manothepeople	13/2	9/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Strictlyadancer	16	22	20	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Courtland

52.2

OR: 23.5 Form: 23.5 Odds: 5.2

10/3

2nd

Threeunderthrufive

44.4

OR: 24.3 Form: 0.2 Odds: 20

13/2

3rd

Hidden Heroics

40.5

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

Certainly Red

39.3

OR: 22.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.8

Brief Times

OR: 21.8 Form: 14.7 Odds: 2.5

French Paradoxe

36.2

OR: 22.3 Form: 7.8 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Manothepeople

33.5

OR: 19.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

13/2

Tea Clipper

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

Stolen Silver

29.6

OR: 25 Form: 1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Evas Oskar

28.9

OR: 22.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

Strictlyadancer

28.7

OR: 18.5 Form: 9 Odds: 1.2

Switch Hitter

27.2

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.5

Emir Sacree

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Coeur Serein

23.9

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stolen Silver Top Rated	150	157	112
Threeunderthrufive	147	156	114
Courtland	144	156	134
Evas Oskar	141	154	130
Certainly Red	140	157	133
French Paradoxe	139	151	131
Tea Clipper	138	159	123
Brief Times	137	151	130
Switch Hitter	137	154	98
Coeur Serein	135	156	102
Hidden Heroics	132	156	—
Emir Sacree	130	158	123
Manothepeople	128	156	107
Strictlyadancer	124	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tea Clipper	139d ago	Long break
French Paradoxe	210d ago	Long break
Courtland	53d ago	Fresh
Stolen Silver	212d ago	Long break
Emir Sacree	161d ago	Long break
Evas Oskar	182d ago	Long break
Certainly Red	168d ago	Long break
Brief Times	53d ago	Fresh
Coeur Serein	104d ago	Long break
Hidden Heroics	148d ago	Long break
Threeunderthrufive	175d ago	Long break
Switch Hitter	238d ago	Long break
Manothepeople	175d ago	Long break
Strictlyadancer	637d ago	Long break

Going: Soft

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