At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Brighton

Brighton

5:40

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2023-10-19

Distance 5f60y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (4)	On Edge b TBC · Christopher Mason	· Christopher Mason	136	p	134111	69	81	63	10d	—	—	+9	35.5	5/2 29%
Success at Windsor last week took his record this season to 4-7; better than ever
1 (3)	Fifty Year Storm b Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	137	p	1-9224	70	77	54	12d	—	—	-8	20.9	9/4 31%
This drop back in trip is worth exploring and the first-time headgear may also help
6 (8)	Batchelor Boy ch Darragh Keenan · John Gallagher	Darragh Keenan · John Gallagher	130	b	848531	63	80	64	9d	—	—	-5	24.2	9/4 31%
Incurs a penalty for C&D success but remains well treated on peak form; respected
NR (1)	El Tesoro ch TBC · Joseph Parr	· Joseph Parr	135	p	-53862	68	79	49	16d	—	—	-8	18.4	9/4 31%
Runner-up in AW event this month on second start for new yard; has turf form
8 (5)	Muy Muy Guapo b Christian Howarth(5) · Simon Dow	Christian Howarth(5) · Simon Dow	127	—	467278	60	78	72	7d	—	—	-7	10	4 25%
Inconsistent 3yo maiden who has something to prove over this trip
3 (6)	Mary Of Modena b Paddy Bradley(3) · Michael Attwater	Paddy Bradley(3) · Michael Attwater	135	—	135146	68	80	74	29d	—	—	0	14.1	9/2 18%
Appears to need a career best; yet to score off a mark this high
4 (7)	The Defiant b Joshua Bryan · Luke Dace	Joshua Bryan · Luke Dace	135	tp	158584	68	78	57	10d	—	—	-2	7	10/1 9%
Return to turf looks a negative, having failed to score in this sphere since 2019
NR (2)	Puffable b TBC · Alice Haynes	· Alice Haynes	129	—	580606	62	77	47	9d	—	—	-12	9.2	14 7%
Things didn't go smoothly here last week, behind Batchelor Boy; won over C&D as a 2yo

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
On Edge	5/2	5/2	17/8	9/4	9/4
Fifty Year Storm	2	9/4	15/8	2	2/1
Batchelor Boy	9/4	2	2	2	9/4
El Tesoro	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Muy Muy Guapo	4	4	4	4	4
Mary Of Modena	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
The Defiant	10	10/1	10	10	10
Puffable	14	14	14	14	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

On Edge

35.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 22.6 Odds: 8.1

5/2

2nd

Batchelor Boy

24.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Fifty Year Storm

20.9

OR: 5 Form: 7 Odds: 8.9

9/4

El Tesoro

18.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 8

9/4

Mary Of Modena

14.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4

9/2

Muy Muy Guapo

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5

Puffable

9.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

The Defiant

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fifty Year Storm Top Rated	70	77	54
On Edge	69	81	63
El Tesoro	68	79	49
Mary Of Modena	68	80	74
The Defiant	68	78	57
Batchelor Boy	63	80	64
Puffable	62	77	47
Muy Muy Guapo	60	78	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
On Edge	10d ago	Quick return
Fifty Year Storm	12d ago	Quick return
Batchelor Boy	9d ago	Quick return
El Tesoro	16d ago	Fit
Muy Muy Guapo	7d ago	Quick return
Mary Of Modena	29d ago	Fit
The Defiant	10d ago	Quick return
Puffable	9d ago	Quick return

Going: Soft

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