At The Races App Form Study Handicap – Brighton

Brighton

5:05

At The Races App Form Study Handicap

Date 2023-10-19

Distance 6f210y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (1)	Done Decision b Hollie Doyle · Tom Ward	Hollie Doyle · Tom Ward	130	—	352392	59	75	67	7d	—	—	-2	15.5	7/2 22%
Six-race maiden; finished nicely for second at Chelmsford last week; 1lb higher in future
3 (8)	Mumayaz b Jason Watson · Tony Carroll	Jason Watson · Tony Carroll	136	t	2-6332	63	74	62	24d	—	—	-4	11.2	9/2 18%
Consistent in defeat for new stable, most recently second at Leicester
5 (5)	Otago b Charlie Bennett · Jim Boyle	Charlie Bennett · Jim Boyle	134	p	443387	61	77	65	17d	—	—	-5	9.2	9/2 18%
Possibilities if taking well to headgear; dual C&D scorer off higher marks
NR (2)	Pavlodar ch TBC · Alastair Ralph	· Alastair Ralph	137	tp	556218	64	75	56	45d	—	—	0	18.5	15/2 12%
Opened his account at Chepstow in August; best to forgive subsequent effort
4 (7)	Bonkersinabundance b Aidan Keeley(3) · Roger Varian	Aidan Keeley(3) · Roger Varian	136	—	416684	65	75	56	29d	—	—	-2	8.8	15/2 12%
Ran creditably last time despite traffic issues; now returns to the scene of her two wins
7 (3)	Fact Or Fable gr Taylor Fisher(3) · J S Moore	Taylor Fisher(3) · J S Moore	132	p	131244	59	76	62	17d	—	—	+1	11	15/2 12%
Five wins this year but has paid the price from a handicapping perspective
1 (6)	Roscioli b William Carson · Brett Johnson	William Carson · Brett Johnson	137	t	551424	64	74	60	52d	—	—	+3	12.9	15/2 12%
Won a match race here in June; respectable fourth at Chepstow last time
9 (10)	Bhubezi ch Rhys Clutterbuck · Patrick Chamings	Rhys Clutterbuck · Patrick Chamings	130	v	-53740	57	73	-	15d	—	—	-4	5.2	17/2 11%
0-11 for current yard but is well treated back on turf
10 (9)	Larrsen b Tom Queally · Gary Moore	Tom Queally · Gary Moore	128	p	716860	57	72	41	9d	—	—	0	5.4	14 7%
Won at Bath in May; has failed to match that form since
6 (4)	Moralisa b Rob Hornby · Ismail Mohammed	Rob Hornby · Ismail Mohammed	134	—	883637	63	74	50	13d	—	—	+3	7.6	18 6%
Seven-race maiden; good third at Yarmouth on most recent 7f attempt

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Done Decision	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Mumayaz	9/2	4	4	4/1	9/2
Otago	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Pavlodar	15/2	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Bonkersinabundance	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Fact Or Fable	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Roscioli	15/2	7	7	7	15/2
Bhubezi	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Larrsen	14	14	14	14	14
Moralisa	18	16	16	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pavlodar

18.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5.5

15/2

2nd

Done Decision

15.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 8 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Roscioli

12.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Mumayaz

11.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Fact Or Fable

OR: 2.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Otago

9.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.4 Odds: 4

9/2

Bonkersinabundance

8.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 2 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Moralisa

7.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Larrsen

5.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

Bhubezi

5.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bonkersinabundance Top Rated	65	75	56
Pavlodar	64	75	56
Roscioli	64	74	60
Mumayaz	63	74	62
Moralisa	63	74	50
Otago	61	77	65
Done Decision	59	75	67
Fact Or Fable	59	76	62
Bhubezi	57	73	—
Larrsen	57	72	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Done Decision	7d ago	Quick return
Mumayaz	24d ago	Fit
Otago	17d ago	Fit
Pavlodar	45d ago	Fit
Bonkersinabundance	29d ago	Fit
Fact Or Fable	17d ago	Fit
Roscioli	52d ago	Fresh
Bhubezi	15d ago	Fit
Larrsen	9d ago	Quick return
Moralisa	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Soft

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