Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

7:00

Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap

Date 2023-10-19

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,621

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (5)	Batal Dubai b Oisin Murphy · Harry & Roger Charlton	Oisin Murphy · Harry & Roger Charlton	139	—	710734	87	99	86	12d	—	—	-8	22.7	15/8 35%
Dual Newcastle winner, but a good third over C&D last month and now 3lb lower
5 (1)	Musical Tribute b Kaiya Fraser(5) · Harry Eustace	Kaiya Fraser(5) · Harry Eustace	132	b	333319	80	96	84	30d	—	—	+5	22.7	9/2 18%
Won easily over C&D last month, but well held off this mark last time; something to find
6 (7)	Almaty Star b David Egan · Roger Varian	David Egan · Roger Varian	132	h	-26414	80	98	79	9d	—	—	+3	20.5	11/2 15%
Second and first in two starts on Polytrack; possibilities now back on the AW
7 (6)	Cuban Breeze b Ben Curtis · David Evans	Ben Curtis · David Evans	130	v	750962	77	97	77	7d	—	—	+2	15.8	11/2 15%
Losing run 23, but nearly beat a bang-in-form rival over C&D a week ago; 2lb well in
1 (9)	Live In The Moment ch Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	139	b	364010	86	96	-	33d	—	—	+11	17.9	12 8%
5f winner here; this is easier back on the AW, but others are still more persuasive
4 (8)	Fast And Loose b David Probert · Kevin Ryan	David Probert · Kevin Ryan	132	b	-36300	79	96	-	26d	—	—	+5	11.1	16 6%
1-16; well held the last twice which raises doubts despite the drop in grade
10 (10)	Onemorenomore b Adam Farragher(3) · Philip Mcbride	Adam Farragher(3) · Philip Mcbride	118	b	554312	66	96	74	10d	—	—	+13	19.2	16 6%
Done well since dropped to sprinting but needs things to fall right from the outside stall
3 (2)	Via Corone b Jack Mitchell · Henry Spiller	Jack Mitchell · Henry Spiller	138	—	1-25	86	85	-	118d	—	—	+11	17.7	16 6%
Polytrack winner who makes her stable debut after four months off; watch market
9 (3)	Mellys Flyer b Luke Morris · Charlie Wallis	Luke Morris · Charlie Wallis	125	h	150840	72	91	78	12d	—	—	+4	5.9	50 2%
3lb below last winning mark, but needs to better his recent stable debut
8 (4)	Inanna b Robert Havlin · S Woods	Robert Havlin · S Woods	126	—	550920	74	93	53	8d	—	—	+9	9.8	66 2%
Beaten a neck at Yarmouth last month, but didn't back it up at Kempton eight days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Batal Dubai	7/4	15/8	15/8	7/4	2
Musical Tribute	9/2	7/2	9/2	4	4
Almaty Star	7/2	11/2	5	9/2	9/2
Cuban Breeze	6	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Live In The Moment	12	12	11	11	11
Fast And Loose	16	16	14	12	12
Onemorenomore	16	12	14	14	14
Via Corone	16	14	12	12	12
Mellys Flyer	50	50	50	50	50
Inanna	66	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Batal Dubai

22.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Musical Tribute

22.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Almaty Star

20.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 8 Odds: 5

11/2

Onemorenomore

19.2

OR: 4 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.7

Live In The Moment

17.9

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Via Corone

17.7

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Cuban Breeze

15.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Fast And Loose

11.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

Inanna

9.8

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.3

Mellys Flyer

5.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Batal Dubai Top Rated	87	99	86
Live In The Moment	86	96	—
Via Corone	86	85	—
Musical Tribute	80	96	84
Almaty Star	80	98	79
Fast And Loose	79	96	—
Cuban Breeze	77	97	77
Inanna	74	93	53
Mellys Flyer	72	91	78
Onemorenomore	66	96	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Batal Dubai	12d ago	Quick return
Musical Tribute	30d ago	Fit
Almaty Star	9d ago	Quick return
Cuban Breeze	7d ago	Quick return
Live In The Moment	33d ago	Fit
Fast And Loose	26d ago	Fit
Onemorenomore	10d ago	Quick return
Via Corone	118d ago	Long break
Mellys Flyer	12d ago	Quick return
Inanna	8d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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