Manguard Plus Handicap – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

2:45

Manguard Plus Handicap

Date 2023-10-22

Distance 1m

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €9,440

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (3)	Subzero b TBC · A P Obrien	· A P Obrien	125	b	4-213	81	101	91	133d	—	—	-3	12.2	9/2 18%
Long absent 3yo remains open to improvement and has form on this ground
9 (5)	Excuzio Joe b Jack Kearney(5) · Patrick Magee	Jack Kearney(5) · Patrick Magee	127	—	7032-2	80	102	96	6d	—	—	+2	16.9	9/2 18%
Excellent Gowran comeback run 6 days ago although this is a better race
12 (8)	San Aer b James Ryan(5) · Thomas Mullins	James Ryan(5) · Thomas Mullins	121	ht	070363	74	107	92	8d	—	—	+3	13.6	13/2 13%
Eyecatching third at Naas last weekend; likes ground and could go well off light weight
2 (9)	Saltonstall ch Adam Caffrey(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	Adam Caffrey(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	139	tp	777065	92	110	91	21d	—	—	+3	13.4	13/2 13%
Last year's winner not quite in the same form this year but now 2lb lower
8 (7)	Farnborough b Killian Hennessy(5) · A P Obrien	Killian Hennessy(5) · A P Obrien	128	b	-22610	84	104	91	112d	—	—	+6	23	4 25%
Handicap debut flop on Derby weekend and absent since
3 (12)	Current Option b Cian MacRedmond(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	Cian MacRedmond(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	138	—	598905	91	108	88	43d	—	—	+4	12.6	17/2 11%
Largely out of form this year and may struggle to get this trip on the prevailing ground
6 (10)	Catena Zapata b Wayne Hassett(7) · Henry De Bromhead	Wayne Hassett(7) · Henry De Bromhead	131	t	1050-2	84	101	55	26d	—	—	+7	16	11 9%
Fine comeback Cork second and rider's 7lb claim make him a leading contender
7 (11)	Fernao b Donagh O'Connor · W Mccreery	Donagh O'Connor · W Mccreery	130	v	32102	83	108	82	29d	—	—	+16	22.1	12 8%
Recent Curragh second when visored; untried on testing ground, chance if handling it
1 (2)	Timeless Soul ch Conor Stone-Walsh(7) · Joseph Patrick Obrien	Conor Stone-Walsh(7) · Joseph Patrick Obrien	140	t	-49703	93	102	66	21d	—	—	+9	15.7	14 7%
Tipperary eyecatcher; drop in trip not ideal but top-weight a definite player
5 (4)	Joe Masseria b Robert Whearty(5) · Noel Meade	Robert Whearty(5) · Noel Meade	132	b	135004	85	104	92	8d	—	—	+2	12.2	13/2 13%
Respectable run at Naas last weekend but more required
11 (6)	Walhaan gr Mikey Sheehy · Ciaran Murphy	Mikey Sheehy · Ciaran Murphy	122	—	-56854	75	102	65	21d	—	—	+2	7.9	18 6%
Handled testing conditions at Tipperary when just behind Timeless Soul; place claims
4 (1)	Spanish Tenor ch Paddy Harnett(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	Paddy Harnett(5) · Adrian Mcguinness	136	—	842110	89	102	82	8d	—	—	+21	24.1	28 4%
Listowel win came on soft but handicapper may just have his measure now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Subzero	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Excuzio Joe	4	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
San Aer	13/2	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Saltonstall	7	13/2	7	7	7
Farnborough	4	4	4	4	4
Current Option	9	8	17/2	9	9
Catena Zapata	11	17/2	10	10	17/2
Fernao	12	11	12	12	12
Timeless Soul	14	11	12	12	12
Joe Masseria	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Walhaan	16	14	18	16	16
Spanish Tenor	28	25	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spanish Tenor

24.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.9

2nd

Farnborough

OR: 8.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5

3rd

Fernao

22.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.7

Excuzio Joe

16.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Catena Zapata

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

Timeless Soul

15.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

San Aer

13.6

OR: 6 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Saltonstall

13.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Current Option

12.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Subzero

12.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Joe Masseria

12.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Walhaan

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Timeless Soul Top Rated	93	102	66
Saltonstall	92	110	91
Current Option	91	108	88
Spanish Tenor	89	102	82
Joe Masseria	85	104	92
Farnborough	84	104	91
Catena Zapata	84	101	55
Fernao	83	108	82
Subzero	81	101	91
Excuzio Joe	80	102	96
Walhaan	75	102	65
San Aer	74	107	92

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Subzero	133d ago	Long break
Excuzio Joe	6d ago	Quick return
San Aer	8d ago	Quick return
Saltonstall	21d ago	Fit
Farnborough	112d ago	Long break
Current Option	43d ago	Fit
Catena Zapata	26d ago	Fit
Fernao	29d ago	Fit
Timeless Soul	21d ago	Fit
Joe Masseria	8d ago	Quick return
Walhaan	21d ago	Fit
Spanish Tenor	8d ago	Quick return

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
San Aer	Hold Up
Walhaan	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Going: Heavy

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