Higher Ashton Handicap Hurdle – Exeter

Exeter

2:20

Higher Ashton Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-12-13

Distance 2m2f111y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,984

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7	Merry Monty b Bryan Carver · Chris Down	Bryan Carver · Chris Down	149	—	857/55	79	98	91	27d	—	—	-17	18.7	13/8 38%
Prominent until late on when fifth this autumn in large-field handicaps over 2m2f/2m
12	Wellwillya gr/b Alice Stevens(5) · Helen Nelmes	Alice Stevens(5) · Helen Nelmes	142	—	770-P6	72	101	72	23d	—	—	-3	8.8	13/2 13%
Latest run entitles him to a second look on return to a handicap (his third) in this field
14	Starvidov gr Rex Dingle · Jeremy Scott	Rex Dingle · Jeremy Scott	142	tp	95-P70	72	89	58	20d	—	—	-4	9.1	8/1 11%
Cheekpieces joined tongue-tie for handicap debut on latest but still no significant impact
3	Tidal Storm b Paul O'Brien · Harry Derham	Paul O'Brien · Harry Derham	164	tp	30-76	94	96	63	20d	—	—	+3	14.3	13/2 13%
6th of 9 when favourite on handicap hurdle debut at Wincanton (1m7f, soft); aids on today
8	Daany b Harry Cobden · Joe Tickle	Harry Cobden · Joe Tickle	149	h	60-P62	79	99	67	20d	—	—	+1	9.8	9/1 10%
2nd at Wincanton (1m7f, soft) latest, the first time he's been competitive in this sphere
2	Bert Wilson b Miss Ella Herbison(7) · Nigel Hawke	Miss Ella Herbison(7) · Nigel Hawke	164	tv	P14-P4	94	100	77	23d	—	—	+5	13.5	9/1 10%
Inconsistent but he won twice when ridden prominently on soft ground early this year
10	Sindabella b David Noonan · Nigel Hawke	David Noonan · Nigel Hawke	143	p	P477-P	73	99	73	187d	—	—	0	7.9	14/1 7%
1-18; lame in June when last seen; second here last November after a similar layoff
9	Bellamy's Grey gr Micheal Nolan · Carroll Gray	Micheal Nolan · Carroll Gray	145	—	3P740-	75	99	96	236d	—	—	+2	8.1	18/1 5%
Sole win came over hurdles here (near 2m6f, heavy) in January 2022; off since April
11	Champs Hill b Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	Brendan Powell · Joe Tizzard	142	t	/P8P-P	72	-	46	218d	—	—	+3	6.4	33/1 3%
Minor form; tongue tied last time (May) and had wind surgery soon afterwards
13	Miss Harriett b Harry Kimber(3) · Polly Gundry	Harry Kimber(3) · Polly Gundry	142	t	642/P8	72	97	35	17d	—	—	+3	6.5	28/1 3%
Maiden; missed last term and latest run was only a minor step back in the right direction
5	Battle March b James Davies · Chris Down	James Davies · Chris Down	158	h	61/0P-	88	97	50	306d	—	—	+8	10.1	40/1 2%
Off 445 days before failing to spark last winter; dropped 12lb as result of those two runs
4	Saintemilion b Bryony Frost · Jimmy Frost	Bryony Frost · Jimmy Frost	159	t	76/60-	89	92	42	246d	—	—	+8	10.5	40/1 2%
Had two long layoffs in recent seasons and there's hardly been an echo of his old form
1	Loukarak b Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	168	p	32P-7P	98	87	65	43d	—	—	+9	13.1	125/1 1%
Ex-French maiden who has not shown anything like enough in his three starts in Britain
NR	Libor Lad b NON-RUNNER · David Dennis	NON-RUNNER · David Dennis	157	t	60-221	87	102	84	17d	—	—	—	9.3	—
Second in two handicaps before winning one in clearcut style at Uttoxeter (2m4f, soft)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Merry Monty	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8	6/4
Wellwillya	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Starvidov	8/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Tidal Storm	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Daany	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Bert Wilson	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Sindabella	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Bellamy's Grey	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Champs Hill	25/1	28/1	33/1	25/1	22/1
Miss Harriett	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Battle March	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Saintemilion	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Loukarak	66/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Merry Monty

18.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Tidal Storm

14.3

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Bert Wilson

13.5

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Loukarak

13.1

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

125/1

Saintemilion

10.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Battle March

10.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Daany

9.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Libor Lad

9.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Starvidov

9.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Wellwillya

8.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Bellamy's Grey

8.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 0.2 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Sindabella

7.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Miss Harriett

6.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Champs Hill

6.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Loukarak Top Rated	98	87	65
Tidal Storm	94	96	63
Bert Wilson	94	100	77
Saintemilion	89	92	42
Battle March	88	97	50
Libor Lad	87	102	84
Merry Monty	79	98	91
Daany	79	99	67
Bellamy's Grey	75	99	96
Sindabella	73	99	73
Wellwillya	72	101	72
Starvidov	72	89	58
Champs Hill	72	—	46
Miss Harriett	72	97	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Merry Monty	27d ago	Fit
Wellwillya	23d ago	Fit
Starvidov	20d ago	Fit
Tidal Storm	20d ago	Fit
Daany	20d ago	Fit
Bert Wilson	23d ago	Fit
Sindabella	187d ago	Long break
Bellamy's Grey	236d ago	Long break
Champs Hill	218d ago	Long break
Miss Harriett	17d ago	Fit
Battle March	306d ago	Long break
Saintemilion	246d ago	Long break
Loukarak	43d ago	Fit
Libor Lad	17d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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