Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap Chase – Ayr

Ayr

2:45

Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap Chase

Date 2023-12-20

Distance 2m4f110y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners 6

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Busty Boy ch Brian Hughes · Daragh Bourke	Brian Hughes · Daragh Bourke	168	—	125-12	105	110	95	21d	—	—	-9	24.4	13/8 38%
Won rules chasing debut at Kelso (from 5lb lower) two runs back; the one to beat.
2	Artic Row b Sean Quinlan · N W Alexander	Sean Quinlan · N W Alexander	154	t	F77-3P	91	-	-	42d	—	—	-10	19.1	85/40 32%
Early mistake paid for chance on rules chasing debut at Musselburgh; something to prove.
5	Fathers Advice b Callum Bewley · R Mike Smith	Callum Bewley · R Mike Smith	143	p	452U66	80	103	87	26d	—	—	-4	13.3	4/1 20%
Yet to win (0-22); didn't jump fluently at Catterick (2m3f) latest; cheekpieces applied.
3	Ardera Cross ch Derek Fox · William Young Jnr	Derek Fox · William Young Jnr	152	p	43PP95	89	107	104	9d	—	—	+5	11.7	11/1 8%
Veteran; fine Ayr record (eight wins); out of sorts lately, so difficult to be confident.
4	Gun Merchant b Jamie Hamilton · Alison Hamilton	Jamie Hamilton · Alison Hamilton	148	p	2/U6-6	85	107	-	17d	—	—	+6	13.2	14/1 7%
First go over fences since June 2022; could strip fitter since Carlisle; others preferred.
6	Any Job Will Do ch Bruce Lynn(3) · Jackie Stephen	Bruce Lynn(3) · Jackie Stephen	142	—	P/0-FP	79	-	-	67d	—	—	+4	8.5	33/1 3%
Maiden (0-11); hasn't shown much in four attempts over fences (P0FP); 10lb out of handicap

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Busty Boy	13/8	6/4	13/8	11/8	11/8
Artic Row	2/1	2/1	7/4	85/40	2/1
Fathers Advice	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Ardera Cross	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Gun Merchant	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Any Job Will Do	28/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Busty Boy

24.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Artic Row

19.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

85/40

3rd

Fathers Advice

13.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0.8 Odds: 5

4/1

Gun Merchant

13.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ardera Cross

11.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Any Job Will Do

8.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Busty Boy Top Rated	105	110	95
Artic Row	91	—	—
Ardera Cross	89	107	104
Gun Merchant	85	107	—
Fathers Advice	80	103	87
Any Job Will Do	79	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Busty Boy	21d ago	Fit
Artic Row	42d ago	Fit
Fathers Advice	26d ago	Fit
Ardera Cross	9d ago	Quick return
Gun Merchant	17d ago	Fit
Any Job Will Do	67d ago	Fresh

Going: Soft

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