Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

4:50

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-12-22

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (3)	Bowood b Ryan Sexton(3) · Katie Scott	Ryan Sexton(3) · Katie Scott	134	p	692532	71	85	54	6d	—	—	-1	20	7/2 22%
Placed in three of his four AW handicaps, 2nd of 12 on Saturday; still capable of better
5 (10)	Embarked b Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	133	b	744161	70	89	64	86d	—	—	+5	26.2	10/3 23%
Easy win at Kempton in September has since been franked; big player despite 9lb rise
3 (5)	Night On Earth b David Egan · Ian Williams	David Egan · Ian Williams	134	—	606534	71	83	65	14d	—	—	-2	11	6/1 14%
Smart sprinter in his time; on the downgrade and this trip not sure to suit
11 (6)	Masqool b Dougie Costello · James Evans	Dougie Costello · James Evans	129	—	435564	66	87	67	18d	—	—	-3	7.5	15/2 12%
Ran well last time (held up off slow pace) but the drop to 7f asks a different question
1 (9)	Khathak br David Nolan · Richard Fahey	David Nolan · Richard Fahey	135	tv	830252	72	84	66	14d	—	—	+6	16.5	10/1 9%
Good 2nd at Newcastle (1m) two weeks ago; claims if backing it up but that's not assured
9 (4)	Royal Musketeer b David Allan · Steph Hollinshead	David Allan · Steph Hollinshead	130	—	-25639	67	87	-	104d	—	—	+2	9.3	12/1 8%
On a dangerous mark but needs to return from a break at the top of his game
8 (11)	At Liberty b Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	131	—	466576	68	82	60	15d	—	—	-1	6.4	12/1 8%
Three wins over 1m2f for former yard; tapped for speed late on over C&D on stable debut
2 (12)	Novak gr Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	134	—	707339	71	83	71	38d	—	—	+6	10.1	20/1 5%
Failed to fire last time but he's had a good year and he's the type to bounce back quickly
10 (2)	Mr Squires ch Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	129	—	555004	66	83	46	94d	—	—	+2	4.9	28/1 3%
C&D winner; struggled with the handicapper this year; gelded since latest run; opposable
6 (8)	Anif b Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	132	—	543400	69	87	53	14d	—	—	+2	7	20/1 5%
Conditions to suit and on a good mark; needs to step up on his recent return to action
12 (7)	Reputation b James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	127	—	970771	64	81	70	15d	—	—	+11	14.5	33/1 3%
7f win at Chelmsford this month; needs more in a stronger race
7 (1)	Giogiobbo b Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	131	p	14-800	68	83	47	10d	—	—	+3	5	66/1 1%
Well held in three runs back from a long absence; enough to prove and due to drop 4lb

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bowood	7/2	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Embarked	10/3	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Night On Earth	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Masqool	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Khathak	13/2	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Royal Musketeer	12/1	12/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
At Liberty	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	10/1
Novak	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Mr Squires	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Anif	16/1	18/1	20/1	14/1	16/1
Reputation	33/1	25/1	28/1	20/1	22/1
Giogiobbo	40/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Embarked

26.2

OR: 5 Form: 15 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Bowood

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Khathak

16.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Reputation

14.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1

33/1

Night On Earth

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Novak

10.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Royal Musketeer

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Masqool

7.5

OR: 4 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Anif

OR: 4.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

20/1

At Liberty

6.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Giogiobbo

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Mr Squires

4.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Khathak Top Rated	72	84	66
Bowood	71	85	54
Night On Earth	71	83	65
Novak	71	83	71
Embarked	70	89	64
Anif	69	87	53
At Liberty	68	82	60
Giogiobbo	68	83	47
Royal Musketeer	67	87	—
Masqool	66	87	67
Mr Squires	66	83	46
Reputation	64	81	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bowood	6d ago	Quick return
Embarked	86d ago	Fresh
Night On Earth	14d ago	Fit
Masqool	18d ago	Fit
Khathak	14d ago	Fit
Royal Musketeer	104d ago	Long break
At Liberty	15d ago	Fit
Novak	38d ago	Fit
Mr Squires	94d ago	Long break
Anif	14d ago	Fit
Reputation	15d ago	Fit
Giogiobbo	10d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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