Fairwood Brasserie Dining Experience Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

8:15

Fairwood Brasserie Dining Experience Handicap

Date 2024-01-21

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,851

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (1)	Doctor Mozart b Rossa Ryan · Philip Kirby	Rossa Ryan · Philip Kirby	133	b	3613-4	56	72	59	16d	—	—	-17	9.5	5/2 29%
He won over 5f at Wolverhampton and has been bang there subsequently
1 (2)	Cabeza De Llave ch Billy Loughnane · Michael Attwater	Billy Loughnane · Michael Attwater	135	—	40473-	58	75	57	66d	—	—	-11	11.7	3/1 25%
Has defied a much higher mark here previously and latest run was encouraging
4 (5)	Crocodile Power b Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	132	—	2200-4	55	74	50	12d	—	—	-9	5.3	6/1 14%
Beaten more than 4l on his belated return to 5f on recent stable debut at Southwell
7 (7)	Tilsworth Ony Ta b Lewis Edmunds · J R Jenkins	Lewis Edmunds · J R Jenkins	131	—	44515-	54	72	61	21d	—	—	0	11.3	7/1 13%
In good form over 6f; has form over 5f and the likely strong pace will help him
6 (11)	Victors Dream b Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	Benoit De La Sayette · Marco Botti	132	p	66245-	55	74	59	25d	—	—	-2	6.1	10/1 9%
He has threatened a few times but now firmly frustrating and he's drawn wide here
11 (3)	Stryder b Jack Mitchell · Michael Attwater	Jack Mitchell · Michael Attwater	127	—	6569-8	50	73	52	14d	—	—	-4	1.6	16/1 6%
Low-mileage 4yo; well down the field in two runs following wind surgery and opposable
8 (4)	Dapper Man b Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	129	b	909-56	52	65	52	15d	—	—	-3	1.9	16/1 6%
Well drawn for a prominent racer but doesn't look in good enough form to take advantage
10 (9)	I'm Mable b Paddy Bradley(3) · Michael Attwater	Paddy Bradley(3) · Michael Attwater	128	—	37843-	51	71	61	21d	—	—	0	5.2	18/1 5%
Consistent and hasn't been a million miles away in any of her races over a lengthy period
5 (6)	Daley T ch William Carson · Tony Carroll	William Carson · Tony Carroll	132	—	25767-	55	67	42	25d	—	—	-3	4.2	22/1 4%
Still early days with Tony Carroll but has yet to finish higher than seventh
9 (8)	Triple Jaye b Dylan Hogan · Charlie Wallis	Dylan Hogan · Charlie Wallis	129	hp	3357-9	52	72	46	16d	—	—	-2	1.3	33/1 3%
She has form figures of 579 for current yard and needs to raise her game
NR (10)	Mellys Flyer b NON-RUNNER · Charlie Wallis	NON-RUNNER · Charlie Wallis	135	p	86899-	58	65	-	25d	—	—	—	2	—
Has surged down the weights but for good reason and has a lot to prove at 5f
NR (12)	Arzaak br NON-RUNNER · Charlie Wallis	NON-RUNNER · Charlie Wallis	123	p	8352-3	46	72	-	16d	—	—	—	3	—
Veteran who has endured a number of near misses since last time a winner in October 2020

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Doctor Mozart	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Cabeza De Llave	3/1	3/1	11/4	5/2	3/1
Crocodile Power	6/1	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Tilsworth Ony Ta	7/1	7/1	7/1	6/1	7/1
Victors Dream	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Stryder	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Dapper Man	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
I'm Mable	18/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	18/1
Daley T	20/1	14/1	22/1	18/1	10/1
Triple Jaye	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cabeza De Llave

11.7

OR: 2 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Tilsworth Ony Ta

11.3

OR: 1 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Doctor Mozart

9.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Victors Dream

6.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Crocodile Power

5.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

I'm Mable

5.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Daley T

4.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.9

22/1

Arzaak

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Mellys Flyer

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dapper Man

1.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Stryder

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Triple Jaye

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cabeza De Llave Top Rated	58	75	57
Mellys Flyer	58	65	—
Doctor Mozart	56	72	59
Crocodile Power	55	74	50
Victors Dream	55	74	59
Daley T	55	67	42
Tilsworth Ony Ta	54	72	61
Dapper Man	52	65	52
Triple Jaye	52	72	46
I'm Mable	51	71	61
Stryder	50	73	52
Arzaak	46	72	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Doctor Mozart	16d ago	Fit
Cabeza De Llave	66d ago	Fresh
Crocodile Power	12d ago	Quick return
Tilsworth Ony Ta	21d ago	Fit
Victors Dream	25d ago	Fit
Stryder	14d ago	Fit
Dapper Man	15d ago	Fit
I'm Mable	21d ago	Fit
Daley T	25d ago	Fit
Triple Jaye	16d ago	Fit
Mellys Flyer	25d ago	Fit
Arzaak	16d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Doctor Mozart	Prominent
Dapper Man	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Going: Standard

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