Warwick

2:05

Welcombe Hills Vineyard Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

Date 2024-01-22
Distance 2m3f
Class Class 4
Going Soft
Type Hurdle
Surface Turf
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £4,221
Runners 10

Runners

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
4 Nico de Boinville · Nicky Henderson 159 1-3
-
102
84
74d -22
26.3
10/11
52%
£290,000 purchase after winning a point; had a wind op since disappointing at Newbury
2 Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies 166 1/4-1
-
115
72
33d -8
25.6
13/8
38%
Produced a likeable effort at Ludlow and she's bred to go on to better things
6 Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Warren Greatrex 159 110-5
-
101
61
67d -6
2.4
10/1
9%
Dual bumper winner; ran no more than okay on hurdling debut at Market Rasen
7 Jonathan Burke · Noel Williams 159 244-5
-
53
31
74d -4
1.6
16/1
6%
Bumper form was nothing to shout about and she was tailed off on hurdling debut at Ludlow
10 Richard Patrick · Henry Daly 159 1/63
-
101
78
31d +4
8.2
20/1
5%
No strong evidence that she's up to winning a race of this nature
3 James Best · Emma-Jane Bishop 159 21
-
-
-
+12
14.1
50/1
2%
Picked up for £25,000 after winning a low-level point in Ireland
9 Lilly Pinchin · Charlie Longsdon 159 t 5P
-
93
72
17d -1
0.4
66/1
1%
Has a good pedigree but she was tailed off at Lingfield and pulled up at Ludlow
5 Paul O'Brien · Henrietta C Knight 159 0-
-
-
-
387d -1
0.2
200/1
0%
Well related but showed nothing in one bumper run for Hughie Morrison
8 Micheal Nolan · Philip Hobbs & Johnson White 159 08
-
79
40
23d -1
0.2
200/1
0%
Showed more second time out at Taunton (hurdle debut) but was still beaten knocking on 20l
NR Connor Brace · Fergal O'Brien 166 5-021
-
105
80
51d
0
Can question the Doncaster form but she came well clear and is evidently useful
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Break My Soul
5/6 4/5 evn 10/11 8/11
Smiling Getaway
13/8 13/8 11/8 13/8 6/4
Ici La Reine
10/1 10/1 17/2 10/1 9/1
Lucky Rose
16/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Tilly Toughnut
20/1 20/1 20/1 18/1 18/1
Ballygelly
50/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1
Molto Bene
66/1 66/1 50/1 66/1 66/1
Hartfield
200/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1
Miss Popalong
200/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Break My Soul
26.3
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 16.3
10/11
2nd Smiling Getaway
25.6
OR: 0 Form: 15 Odds: 10.6
13/8
3rd Ballygelly
14.1
OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.6
50/1
4 Tilly Toughnut
8.2
OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2
20/1
5 Ici La Reine
2.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
10/1
6 Lucky Rose
1.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
16/1
7 Molto Bene
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
66/1
8 Hartfield
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
200/1
9 Miss Popalong
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
200/1
10 Mistral Blue
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Break My Soul
102
84
Smiling Getaway
115
72
Ici La Reine
101
61
Lucky Rose
53
31
Tilly Toughnut
101
78
Ballygelly
Molto Bene
93
72
Hartfield
Miss Popalong
79
40
Mistral Blue
105
80

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Break My Soul 74d ago Fresh
Smiling Getaway 33d ago Fit
Ici La Reine 67d ago Fresh
Lucky Rose 74d ago Fresh
Tilly Toughnut 31d ago Fit
Ballygelly
Molto Bene 17d ago Fit
Hartfield 387d ago Long break
Miss Popalong 23d ago Fit
Mistral Blue 51d ago Fresh

Pace Profile

HorseRunning Style
Smiling Getaway Prominent
Break My Soul Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.

Going: Soft

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