BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

8:30

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-02-20

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (2)	Strictly Dreaming b Dougie Costello · Ian Williams	Dougie Costello · Ian Williams	139	p	07-831	56	69	45	3d	—	—	-19	10.4	2/1 33%
Bolted up when off the mark at Wolverhampton on Saturday; shorter trip poses a question
2 (10)	Sparkling Spirit b Harry Russell · Adrian Paul Keatley	Harry Russell · Adrian Paul Keatley	135	b	333452	52	68	59	5d	—	—	-5	12	4/1 20%
0-19 but only beaten a neck last time; has made the frame in both previous starts over C&D
4 (5)	Marcello Si b Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	134	—	45-141	51	63	48	26d	—	—	-13	5.7	4/1 20%
Won over 1m and 7f here last month; may not face much pressure for the early lead
3 (4)	Drakeholes gr Paul Mulrennan · Alison Hamilton	Paul Mulrennan · Alison Hamilton	135	—	585-89	52	62	30	26d	—	—	-6	3.2	8/1 11%
Out of the frame in all eight starts since winning over C&D at the end of 2022
7 (8)	Shine's Ambition b Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	132	—	07-026	49	63	36	16d	—	—	-5	1.9	14/1 7%
Ran Marcello Si close over C&D last month, but didn't match that form last time; now 0-20
5 (11)	Inexplicable gr/b Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	133	tv	-31232	50	64	55	10d	—	—	+9	14.8	20/1 5%
Running consistently well on Tapeta lately especially at Wolverhampton, but 0-10 here
8 (7)	Written Broadcast gr Brandon Wilkie(5) · Ollie Pears	Brandon Wilkie(5) · Ollie Pears	131	b	278-95	48	63	59	26d	—	—	-4	1.6	16/1 6%
Placed just once in five visits here and not at his best of late; others preferred
6 (9)	Atrafan b Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	132	b	-63259	49	65	47	15d	—	—	+1	4.5	25/1 4%
Six course wins over 6f, but 7f here seems to find him out
12 (12)	Brother Dave ch James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	129	—	065-40	46	65	47	35d	—	—	-3	1.1	28/1 3%
0-10; return to this trip may help, but far from solid
11 (3)	Billy McGarry b Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	129	p	575-57	46	64	50	24d	—	—	-2	0.9	28/1 3%
Sole win in 17 starts came on turf; out of the frame in all eight starts on the AW
9 (6)	Mr Coco Bean b Phil Dennis · Helen Cuthbert	Phil Dennis · Helen Cuthbert	130	p	00-633	47	63	44	26d	—	—	-2	0.9	33/1 3%
Losing run up to 35, but has run well over C&D the last twice and looked unlucky last time
10 (1)	Rum Runner b Shane Gray · Geoffrey Harker	Shane Gray · Geoffrey Harker	129	—	0364-5	46	62	37	47d	—	—	-2	0.7	33/1 3%
Hasn't always enjoyed the best of luck in recent starts, but no obvious excuse last time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Strictly Dreaming	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Sparkling Spirit	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2
Marcello Si	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2
Drakeholes	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Shine's Ambition	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Inexplicable	20/1	14/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Written Broadcast	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Atrafan	25/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Brother Dave	28/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Billy McGarry	28/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Mr Coco Bean	33/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Rum Runner	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Inexplicable

14.8

OR: 0 Form: 13.2 Odds: 1.6

20/1

2nd

Sparkling Spirit

OR: 0.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Strictly Dreaming

10.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

Marcello Si

5.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Atrafan

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Drakeholes

3.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Shine's Ambition

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Written Broadcast

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Brother Dave

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Billy McGarry

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Mr Coco Bean

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Rum Runner

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Strictly Dreaming Top Rated	56	69	45
Sparkling Spirit	52	68	59
Drakeholes	52	62	30
Marcello Si	51	63	48
Inexplicable	50	64	55
Shine's Ambition	49	63	36
Atrafan	49	65	47
Written Broadcast	48	63	59
Mr Coco Bean	47	63	44
Brother Dave	46	65	47
Billy McGarry	46	64	50
Rum Runner	46	62	37

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Strictly Dreaming	3d ago	Quick return
Sparkling Spirit	5d ago	Quick return
Marcello Si	26d ago	Fit
Drakeholes	26d ago	Fit
Shine's Ambition	16d ago	Fit
Inexplicable	10d ago	Quick return
Written Broadcast	26d ago	Fit
Atrafan	15d ago	Fit
Brother Dave	35d ago	Fit
Billy McGarry	24d ago	Fit
Mr Coco Bean	26d ago	Fit
Rum Runner	47d ago	Fresh

Going: Standard

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