Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide Handicap Hurdle

Newcastle

4:00

Date 2024-02-24

Distance 2m190y

Class Class 3

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,651

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6	Horn Cape gr Richie McLernon · Ben Haslam	Richie McLernon · Ben Haslam	154	—	241312	114	128	118	29d	—	—	+13	41.4	7/4 36%
Two wins towards end of last year (including C&D) and good second last time; solid claims
1	Since Day One b Brian Hughes · Donald McCain	Brian Hughes · Donald McCain	168	—	12132-	128	127	-	374d	—	—	+24	39.5	4/1 20%
Absent since last February but has won when fresh and he likes it here; interesting
2	Jason The Militant b Joe Williamson(5) · Philip Kirby	Joe Williamson(5) · Philip Kirby	167	tp	7P-095	127	126	80	56d	—	—	+9	23.3	9/2 18%
Continues to tumble down weights, but not shaping as though he's about to halt the slide
4	Matchless b Sean Quinlan · Jennie Candlish	Sean Quinlan · Jennie Candlish	162	p	3-2126	122	128	99	54d	—	—	+11	23.7	5/1 17%
Flopped on New Year's Day but in good form previously; in mix if leaving last time behind
3	Baron De Midleton b Henry Brooke · Brian Ellison	Henry Brooke · Brian Ellison	166	b	P-PP14	126	121	99	24d	—	—	+13	21.2	17/2 11%
Disappointing last time but made bad mistake three out; won two starts ago; not discounted
5	I Have A Voice b Derek Fox · Nigel Hawke	Derek Fox · Nigel Hawke	159	t	3191U-	119	127	110	371d	—	—	+22	28	12/1 8%
Two juvenile hurdle wins last season; returns from absence but a market check is advised
7	Iwa b/br Craig Nichol · Rose Dobbin	Craig Nichol · Rose Dobbin	144	ht	5261-P	104	-	-	31d	—	—	+12	14	40/1 2%
The returning tongue-tie may help but he has plenty to prove nevertheless

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Horn Cape	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Since Day One	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Jason The Militant	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Matchless	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Baron De Midleton	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
I Have A Voice	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Iwa	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Horn Cape

41.4

OR: 16 Form: 16.5 Odds: 8.9

7/4

2nd

Since Day One

39.5

OR: 19.5 Form: 15.6 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

I Have A Voice

OR: 17.3 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Matchless

23.7

OR: 18 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Jason The Militant

23.3

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Baron De Midleton

21.2

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Iwa

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Since Day One Top Rated	128	127	—
Jason The Militant	127	126	80
Baron De Midleton	126	121	99
Matchless	122	128	99
I Have A Voice	119	127	110
Horn Cape	114	128	118
Iwa	104	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Horn Cape	29d ago	Fit
Since Day One	374d ago	Long break
Jason The Militant	56d ago	Fresh
Matchless	54d ago	Fresh
Baron De Midleton	24d ago	Fit
I Have A Voice	371d ago	Long break
Iwa	31d ago	Fit

Going: Heavy

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