Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:57

Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

Date 2024-04-16

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (6)	Gastronomy ch Connor Beasley · Philip Kirby	Connor Beasley · Philip Kirby	136	—	4545-2	61	72	63	8d	—	—	-17	19.2	13/8 38%
Did well to only go down by a neck over C&D last Monday; is in off the same mark; player
1 (4)	Midnight Lion br Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	142	t	068751	67	74	56	8d	—	—	+4	18.3	6/1 14%
Won't mind going back up in distance and holds fair claims under a 5lb penalty
9 (9)	Heatherdown Hero b Hollie Doyle · Rebecca Menzies	Hollie Doyle · Rebecca Menzies	130	h	954128	55	70	39	13d	—	—	+1	13.4	6/1 14%
Will be happier now back on Tapeta having reportedly been unsuited by heavy turf latest
5 (10)	Extinction b/br Minty Bloss(7) · James Ferguson	Minty Bloss(7) · James Ferguson	133	—	0466-2	58	73	44	21d	—	—	-2	10.6	7/1 13%
Remains low mileage and showed this trip within range latest; goes on the shortlist
8 (7)	Kiss My Face b Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	131	—	525-54	56	69	69	44d	—	—	-5	4.2	10/1 9%
Back on a handy mark but his three Flat wins last spring came over 2m; visor missing too
3 (3)	Philos ch Robert Havlin · Ed Dunlop	Robert Havlin · Ed Dunlop	133	v	3913-8	58	70	31	21d	—	—	-4	4.5	9/1 10%
Three-time AW winner over this trip last year; should fare better back to the visor
4 (8)	Carlton br William Pyle(5) · Tracy Waggott	William Pyle(5) · Tracy Waggott	133	p	8-3140	58	71	57	13d	—	—	-4	4.4	12/1 8%
Pulled hard and got stuck in the mud back from a break latest; needs to do much better
6 (5)	Peripeteia b Billy Loughnane · Philip Kirby	Billy Loughnane · Philip Kirby	132	—	32290-	57	72	66	112d	—	—	+3	7.7	25/1 4%
Wins come after a recent outing in the second half of the year; yard also runs Gastronomy
10 (2)	Best Guess ch Connor Murtagh · Barry Murtagh	Connor Murtagh · Barry Murtagh	125	b	37-786	50	68	43	44d	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
Ex-Irish maiden; again a three-figure price when behind two of these over 2m here latest
NR (1)	Desert Quest b Cam Hardie · Ewan Whillans	Cam Hardie · Ewan Whillans	132	—	-14256	57	72	52	8d	—	—	—	6.3	—
Mixed bag since a surprise C&D win in January, latterly when behind Gastronomy last Monday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Gastronomy	13/8	13/8	6/4	13/8	6/4
Midnight Lion	9/2	6/1	11/2	5/1	11/2
Heatherdown Hero	6/1	6/1	5/1	6/1	11/2
Extinction	7/1	13/2	13/2	11/2	6/1
Kiss My Face	10/1	9/1	10/1	15/2	8/1
Philos	8/1	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Carlton	12/1	11/1	12/1	17/2	10/1
Peripeteia	25/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Best Guess	80/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gastronomy

19.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Midnight Lion

18.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Heatherdown Hero

13.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Extinction

10.6

OR: 2 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Peripeteia

7.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Desert Quest

6.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Philos

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Carlton

4.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Kiss My Face

4.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Best Guess

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Midnight Lion Top Rated	67	74	56
Gastronomy	61	72	63
Extinction	58	73	44
Philos	58	70	31
Carlton	58	71	57
Peripeteia	57	72	66
Desert Quest	57	72	52
Kiss My Face	56	69	69
Heatherdown Hero	55	70	39
Best Guess	50	68	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gastronomy	8d ago	Quick return
Midnight Lion	8d ago	Quick return
Heatherdown Hero	13d ago	Quick return
Extinction	21d ago	Fit
Kiss My Face	44d ago	Fit
Philos	21d ago	Fit
Carlton	13d ago	Quick return
Peripeteia	112d ago	Long break
Best Guess	44d ago	Fit
Desert Quest	8d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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