Happy 19th Birthday Lily Watkinson Handicap (Div I)

Thirsk

6:05

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (2)	King's Crown b Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	132	p	09734-	72	89	78	194d	—	—	-2	11.2	5/1 17%
C&D winner; has joined yard that excels with sprinters; dangerous if returning to his best
7 (13)	Mersea b Sam James · Grant Tuer	Sam James · Grant Tuer	131	—	86-621	71	89	-	9d	—	—	-3	8.3	6/1 14%
Rallied gamely to win at Southwell; should be in the thick of things again
9 (7)	Huddle Up ch Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron	Callum Rodriguez · David & Nicola Barron	130	—	3337-3	70	90	83	27d	—	—	0	11.1	6/1 14%
Third at Doncaster in March; second in division of this race last year; leading contender
11 (12)	Secret Road gr Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson	Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson	127	h	-33741	67	88	74	20d	—	—	+9	18.4	7/1 13%
Consistent; won at Southwell last month and does not look overburdened by a 3lb rise
2 (4)	Slainte Mhath ch Phil Dennis · Katie Scott	Phil Dennis · Katie Scott	135	—	4256-3	75	91	79	17d	—	—	+3	11.8	15/2 12%
Close third at Catterick; again unlikely to be far away under optimum conditions
5 (6)	Thankuappreciate b Harrison Shaw · Declan Carroll	Harrison Shaw · Declan Carroll	133	—	34503-	73	87	77	203d	—	—	+4	11.6	17/2 11%
1-15; often blows the start and stable has been quiet so far this year
10 (9)	Cold Stare b David Nolan · David O'Meara	David Nolan · David O'Meara	128	tp	40-776	68	90	89	50d	—	—	-1	6.6	9/1 10%
Second here 12 months ago; interesting back on turf and with cheekpieces returning
3 (10)	Music Society gr David Allan · Tim Easterby	David Allan · Tim Easterby	134	—	50063-	74	88	87	182d	—	—	+4	10.7	11/1 8%
0-14 in 2023; no great record fresh; others make more obvious appeal
1 (3)	Society Lion b Saffie Osborne · Ed Dunlop	Saffie Osborne · Ed Dunlop	135	t	3074-0	75	89	86	104d	—	—	+2	8	11/1 8%
Won a division of this race in 2023; has to be respected off the same mark
4 (1)	Impressor b Rowan Scott · Phillip Makin	Rowan Scott · Phillip Makin	133	p	3123-5	73	90	81	17d	—	—	+3	6.8	18/1 5%
Four wins last year; possibly needed reappearance and cheekpieces are back today; chance
12 (5)	Rainbow Rain b Luke Morris · Tracy Waggott	Luke Morris · Tracy Waggott	121	p	1534-6	61	87	68	12d	—	—	0	3.7	20/1 5%
Three wins in 2023; might have needed latest run; soft conditions would be a worry
8 (11)	Dark Kestrel b Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	131	t	07-320	71	89	74	76d	—	—	+3	6	28/1 3%
Has had wind surgery since last poor run; unproven on ground softer than good
13 (8)	Dandy Spirit b William Pyle(5) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	William Pyle(5) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	118	—	8089-9	58	86	91	11d	—	—	0	2.6	33/1 3%
Most recent win came off 7lb higher; probably needed latest run; could go well at a price

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
King's Crown	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Mersea	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Huddle Up	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Secret Road	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Slainte Mhath	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Thankuappreciate	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Cold Stare	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Music Society	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Society Lion	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Impressor	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Rainbow Rain	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Dark Kestrel	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Dandy Spirit	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Secret Road

18.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.7

7/1

2nd

Slainte Mhath

11.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Thankuappreciate

11.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.2

17/2

King's Crown

11.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Huddle Up

11.1

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Music Society

10.7

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Mersea

8.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Society Lion

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Impressor

6.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Cold Stare

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Dark Kestrel

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Rainbow Rain

3.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Dandy Spirit

2.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Slainte Mhath Top Rated	75	91	79
Society Lion	75	89	86
Music Society	74	88	87
Thankuappreciate	73	87	77
Impressor	73	90	81
King's Crown	72	89	78
Mersea	71	89	—
Dark Kestrel	71	89	74
Huddle Up	70	90	83
Cold Stare	68	90	89
Secret Road	67	88	74
Rainbow Rain	61	87	68
Dandy Spirit	58	86	91

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King's Crown	194d ago	Long break
Mersea	9d ago	Quick return
Huddle Up	27d ago	Fit
Secret Road	20d ago	Fit
Slainte Mhath	17d ago	Fit
Thankuappreciate	203d ago	Long break
Cold Stare	50d ago	Fresh
Music Society	182d ago	Long break
Society Lion	104d ago	Long break
Impressor	17d ago	Fit
Rainbow Rain	12d ago	Quick return
Dark Kestrel	76d ago	Fresh
Dandy Spirit	11d ago	Quick return

Going: Soft

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