Daniel Thwaites Derby Fillies' Handicap – Doncaster

Doncaster

5:40

Daniel Thwaites Derby Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-04-27

Distance 6f2y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,397

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (2)	Torfrida b Shane Kelly · Pam Sly	Shane Kelly · Pam Sly	134	—	31234-	69	80	64	258d	—	—	+2	17.4	4/1 20%
Consistent in her first season of racing, including a C&D win on soft; should go well
7 (6)	Lotus Rose b Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	128	p	0335-8	63	82	81	18d	—	—	-8	7.7	4/1 20%
Yet to win over 6f but third in this race last year and she's now 7lb lower; considered
8 (9)	Dazy Mazy br Connor Beasley · John Mackie	Connor Beasley · John Mackie	124	—	54-475	59	81	55	18d	—	—	-8	6.3	9/2 18%
Unplaced in all 7 starts but she's better much than that suggests; one to take seriously
1 (3)	Bella Kopella b Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	137	t	212-13	72	85	66	24d	—	—	-2	8.6	6/1 14%
Still has mileage in this mark; untried on slower than good to soft; considered
4 (1)	Vixey b Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	132	—	212-70	67	82	77	11d	—	—	-4	7.5	13/2 13%
Consistent for C Fairhurst but she's been disappointing in two runs for new yard this year
9 (7)	Willow Baby b Silvestre De Sousa · Jason Ward	Silvestre De Sousa · Jason Ward	122	—	20-435	57	83	69	77d	—	—	-5	4.4	7/1 13%
0-8 but placed four times, including on slow turf; notable jockey booking
3 (5)	Isle Of Dreams gr Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	134	—	13147-	69	82	77	190d	—	—	+7	14.9	17/2 11%
Likeable mare with a fine strike-rate in handicaps; good mark but yard having a quiet time
5 (4)	Alpine Girl b Ross Coakley · James Fanshawe	Ross Coakley · James Fanshawe	130	—	336-43	65	83	-	16d	—	—	0	5	16/1 6%
Two 5f wins last summer; on a good mark but 6f on soft might stretch her stamina
NR (8)	Selby's Pride gr TBC · Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	· Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	129	—	49-270	64	84	43	18d	—	—	—	3.5	—
Promising return at Newcastle but two disappointing turf runs have followed; risky

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Torfrida	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Lotus Rose	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Dazy Mazy	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Bella Kopella	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Vixey	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Willow Baby	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Isle Of Dreams	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Alpine Girl	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Torfrida

17.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 8.2 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Isle Of Dreams

14.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.2

17/2

3rd

Bella Kopella

8.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Lotus Rose

7.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Vixey

7.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Dazy Mazy

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Alpine Girl

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

16/1

Willow Baby

4.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Selby's Pride

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bella Kopella Top Rated	72	85	66
Torfrida	69	80	64
Isle Of Dreams	69	82	77
Vixey	67	82	77
Alpine Girl	65	83	—
Selby's Pride	64	84	43
Lotus Rose	63	82	81
Dazy Mazy	59	81	55
Willow Baby	57	83	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Torfrida	258d ago	Long break
Lotus Rose	18d ago	Fit
Dazy Mazy	18d ago	Fit
Bella Kopella	24d ago	Fit
Vixey	11d ago	Quick return
Willow Baby	77d ago	Fresh
Isle Of Dreams	190d ago	Long break
Alpine Girl	16d ago	Fit
Selby's Pride	18d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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