SBK Betting Podcast Handicap – Navan

Navan

4:35

SBK Betting Podcast Handicap

Date 2024-04-27

Distance 1m5f

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners 23

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (7)	Bay Of Sanibel ch Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	140	—	01-	75	77	44	192d	—	—	+4	21.5	10/3 23%
Maiden winner totally unexposed and could be very well-handicapped; very much a contender
4 (5)	Nostra Casa b Dylan Browne McMonagle · Paul W Flynn	Dylan Browne McMonagle · Paul W Flynn	138	tp	14310-	73	80	63	179d	—	—	+8	19.3	6/1 14%
Dual winner last year; runs well fresh and well capable of putting up a bold showing here
20 (19)	Folly Beach b Colin Keane · M A Molloy	Colin Keane · M A Molloy	128	h	9282-2	63	81	58	99d	—	—	+1	10.9	7/1 13%
Unlucky not to have added to her tally at Dundalk over the winter; solid claims here
8 (12)	Newport b Paddy Harnett(5) · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	Paddy Harnett(5) · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	136	—	6033/4	71	81	-	22d	—	—	0	7.4	9/1 10%
Did some reasonable late work after 18 months off at Dundalk; should be thereabouts
13 (21)	Secret Rock b Ben Coen · A J Martin	Ben Coen · A J Martin	132	t	318-14	67	79	41	73d	—	—	-1	6.2	10/1 9%
Convincing winner of a 1m4f handicap at Dundalk in January; should go well
19 (11)	Rain b Gary Carroll · James M Barcoe	Gary Carroll · James M Barcoe	129	—	35036-	64	80	62	179d	—	—	+1	8.1	10/1 9%
Third in a soft ground handicap here in October; claims on that form
6 (6)	St Faz b W J Lee · E J O'Grady	W J Lee · E J O'Grady	138	h	62381-	73	79	62	—	—	—	+15	20.4	12/1 8%
Hooded here and the stable have had a good start to the Flat season; should go well
14 (3)	Dubeyeracingcraic ch Sean Davis · C Byrnes	Sean Davis · C Byrnes	131	p	508-	66	78	39	—	—	—	-1	5.7	11/1 8%
The best of him could yet to be seen but he could well come on for whatever he does here
15 (15)	Make Good b Keithen Kennedy(7) · Shane Crawley	Keithen Kennedy(7) · Shane Crawley	131	tp	/3/72-	66	75	29	—	—	—	+2	7.7	12/1 8%
Off the track for two years but went close in a couple of Curragh handicaps last year
11 (2)	Whimsy ch Gavin Ryan · Anthony McCann	Gavin Ryan · Anthony McCann	134	—	48085-	69	78	16	—	—	—	+2	6	16/1 6%
Campaigned over hurdles for her current trainer, finishing second four times; in good form
1 (20)	Byker b Gary Halpin · C Byrnes	Gary Halpin · C Byrnes	141	p	56721/	76	80	-	—	—	—	+17	21.1	18/1 5%
Disappointing this season including over fences; interesting to see him back on the Flat
10 (22)	No Big Deal b N G McCullagh · Charles O'Brien	N G McCullagh · Charles O'Brien	134	t	6870-	69	71	46	—	—	—	+2	5.7	20/1 5%
Some encouragement from his latest start over hurdles at Naas but much more needed
16 (8)	Zazir b J M Sheridan · Denis Gerard Hogan	J M Sheridan · Denis Gerard Hogan	131	t	7489	66	75	-	32d	—	—	+1	5	20/1 5%
Showed some ability in Dundalk maidens but more needed in a very competitive handicap
2 (16)	Rich Belief b Robbie Colgan · Karl Thornton	Robbie Colgan · Karl Thornton	141	t	49448-	76	81	63	232d	—	—	+4	7.3	25/1 4%
Won this last year off a mark of 74; back down to a competitive mark again and respected
12 (13)	Dabana gr Siobhan Rutledge(3) · John C McConnell	Siobhan Rutledge(3) · John C McConnell	133	t	53058-	68	81	69	127d	—	—	+4	6	33/1 3%
Debuts for John McConnell here and probably best watched after four months off
R21 (10)	Hangry ch Robert Whearty(5) · John C McConnell	Robert Whearty(5) · John C McConnell	127	—	6-6080	62	81	69	57d	—	—	+1	3.6	33/1 3%
First reserve; hard to fancy based on his Irish handicap form
17 (17)	Navajo River b Oisin McSweeney(3) · Luke Comer	Oisin McSweeney(3) · Luke Comer	130	—	0605-0	65	80	29	99d	—	—	+2	4.2	40/1 2%
200-1 winner of a Roscommon maiden last season but underwhelming since; others preferred
9 (9)	San Martino ch Aileen O'Sullivan(10) · S Michael Millar	Aileen O'Sullivan(10) · S Michael Millar	135	—	0-0004	70	72	-	—	—	—	+4	5.5	40/1 2%
Comes here after two good runs over hurdles; could outrun his likely odds
18 (4)	Construct b Donagh O'Connor · John C McConnell	Donagh O'Connor · John C McConnell	129	t	3/38-0	64	80	12	—	—	—	+4	5.4	50/1 2%
Form fell away after finishing second in a Kilbeggan beginners chase last summer
NR (18)	Roman Bull b TBC · Michael William O'Meara	· Michael William O'Meara	138	—	01-500	73	79	37	22d	—	—	—	5.8	—
Below his best in three AW efforts this year and probably best watched for now
NR (1)	Narlita b TBC · H Rogers	· H Rogers	137	h	63122-	72	82	68	180d	—	—	—	19.9	—
Consistent performer can run well fresh and capable of a bold showing here off this mark
NR (14)	Sandyman ch TBC · John C McConnell	· John C McConnell	125	—	0/65-0	60	79	49	20d	—	—	—	2.5	—
Second reserve; three-time winner in Britain; well beaten at Leopardstown last time
NR (23)	Glyde Ranger ch TBC · T G McCourt	· T G McCourt	125	—	843-30	60	81	66	78d	—	—	—	2.5	—
Third reserve; Sligo handicap winner over this trip and mostly consistent since at Dundalk

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bay Of Sanibel	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Nostra Casa	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Folly Beach	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Newport	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Secret Rock	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Rain	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
St Faz	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Dubeyeracingcraic	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Make Good	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Whimsy	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Byker	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
No Big Deal	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Zazir	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Rich Belief	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Dabana	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Hangry	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Navajo River	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
San Martino	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Construct	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bay Of Sanibel

21.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

10/3

2nd

Byker

21.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.1

18/1

3rd

St Faz

20.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 13 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Narlita

19.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 14.4 Odds: 0

—

Nostra Casa

19.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Folly Beach

10.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Rain

8.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.7 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Make Good

7.7

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Newport

7.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Rich Belief

7.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Secret Rock

6.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Whimsy

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Dabana

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Roman Bull

5.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dubeyeracingcraic

5.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

No Big Deal

5.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

San Martino

5.5

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Construct

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Zazir

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Navajo River

4.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Hangry

3.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Sandyman

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Glyde Ranger

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Byker Top Rated	76	80	—
Rich Belief	76	81	63
Bay Of Sanibel	75	77	44
Nostra Casa	73	80	63
St Faz	73	79	62
Roman Bull	73	79	37
Narlita	72	82	68
Newport	71	81	—
San Martino	70	72	—
Whimsy	69	78	16
No Big Deal	69	71	46
Dabana	68	81	69
Secret Rock	67	79	41
Dubeyeracingcraic	66	78	39
Make Good	66	75	29
Zazir	66	75	—
Navajo River	65	80	29
Rain	64	80	62
Construct	64	80	12
Folly Beach	63	81	58
Hangry	62	81	69
Sandyman	60	79	49
Glyde Ranger	60	81	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bay Of Sanibel	192d ago	Long break
Nostra Casa	179d ago	Long break
Folly Beach	99d ago	Long break
Newport	22d ago	Fit
Secret Rock	73d ago	Fresh
Rain	179d ago	Long break
St Faz	—	—
Dubeyeracingcraic	—	—
Make Good	—	—
Whimsy	—	—
Byker	—	—
No Big Deal	—	—
Zazir	32d ago	Fit
Rich Belief	232d ago	Long break
Dabana	127d ago	Long break
Hangry	57d ago	Fresh
Navajo River	99d ago	Long break
San Martino	—	—
Construct	—	—
Roman Bull	22d ago	Fit
Narlita	180d ago	Long break
Sandyman	20d ago	Fit
Glyde Ranger	78d ago	Fresh

Going: Good To Yielding

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