Noughties Friday 31st May Handicap (A Jockey Club Grassroots Mile Series Qualifier)

Carlisle

8:00

Date 2024-05-20

Distance 7f173y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,496

Runners 6

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (2)	Redarna ch Paul Mulrennan · Dianne Sayer	Paul Mulrennan · Dianne Sayer	137	p	160-54	87	99	75	16d	—	—	-6	15.9	5/2 29%
Retains plenty of ability aged ten; four-time winner at Carlisle; in the mix
1 (3)	James McHenry gr Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	137	—	60368-	87	97	72	223d	—	—	-3	16.5	3/1 25%
This reappearance may be the time to catch him; won his first two starts last season
3 (5)	Ernie's Valentine gr Billy Loughnane · David Loughnane	Billy Loughnane · David Loughnane	131	t	927719	81	96	-	19d	—	—	+5	20.2	4/1 20%
Has a better strike-rate on AW than on turf; doesn't look the percentage call
5 (4)	Fools Rush In b James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	124	t	445-09	74	98	44	10d	—	—	-2	9.3	11/2 15%
Well treated on best form but doesn't appear poised to regain the winning thread
6 (6)	Strongbowe b Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	124	p	2660-9	74	98	91	32d	—	—	-1	8.7	7/1 13%
Good record over C&D includes a close third in this contest 12 months ago; solid
4 (1)	Detective b Connor Murtagh · Dianne Sayer	Connor Murtagh · Dianne Sayer	124	—	4247-0	74	99	83	29d	—	—	0	8.2	17/2 11%
Five course wins include this race in 2022 (close second last year); not ruled out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Redarna	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
James McHenry	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Ernie's Valentine	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Fools Rush In	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Strongbowe	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Detective	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ernie's Valentine

20.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 8 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

James McHenry

16.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.8

3/1

3rd

Redarna

15.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Fools Rush In

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Strongbowe

8.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Detective

8.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Redarna Top Rated	87	99	75
James McHenry	87	97	72
Ernie's Valentine	81	96	—
Fools Rush In	74	98	44
Strongbowe	74	98	91
Detective	74	99	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Redarna	16d ago	Fit
James McHenry	223d ago	Long break
Ernie's Valentine	19d ago	Fit
Fools Rush In	10d ago	Quick return
Strongbowe	32d ago	Fit
Detective	29d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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