Tote, Never Beaten By SP Rated Race – Limerick

Limerick

1:50

Tote, Never Beaten By SP Rated Race

Date 2024-07-07

Distance 6f150y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,670

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (12)	Miss Black Jack b Ronan Whelan · John S O'Donoghue	Ronan Whelan · John S O'Donoghue	133	—	-21978	84	94	67	14d	—	—	-1	18.2	7/2 22%
Posted RPR of 90 on the AW in April and a big player if returning to that level
8 (6)	Blanc De Noir b Ben Coen · J P Murtagh	Ben Coen · J P Murtagh	127	p	3-5754	72	90	82	29d	—	—	-3	12	9/2 18%
Running on over the minimum last time; consistent 4yo who shouldn't be far away
3 (1)	Volatile Analyst b Colin Keane · Jack W Davison	Colin Keane · Jack W Davison	132	p	708985	77	92	83	16d	—	—	-4	11.2	9/2 18%
Slow start ended all hope on stable debut at Down Royal (7f) and he was only 11-4
11 (7)	Velvet Skies ch Wesley Joyce(5) · Michael Mulvany	Wesley Joyce(5) · Michael Mulvany	121	—	-22240	72	88	69	38d	—	—	+1	14.1	6/1 14%
Rare poor run at Fairyhouse last time having been in good form from 5f to 7f
7 (8)	Imperial Dream b Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(10) · Patrick J Flynn	Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(10) · Patrick J Flynn	129	—	30-646	74	95	58	24d	—	—	-1	8.9	9/1 10%
Useful in Britain and penultimate effort brings him into this; may need goodish ground
10 (4)	Linger For Longer b Dylan Browne McMonagle · Augustine Leahy	Dylan Browne McMonagle · Augustine Leahy	126	—	40-501	71	92	84	39d	—	—	-1	7.8	17/2 11%
Recent Tipperary winner off 67; this race demands more from her
5 (5)	Salah Belle b Robbie Colgan · Ms Sheila Lavery	Robbie Colgan · Ms Sheila Lavery	131	—	1-817	82	89	63	11d	—	—	+9	17.2	10/1 9%
Won two of her first three and unlikely that she gave her true running last time
12 (10)	The Poacher Daly br Wayne Hassett(5) · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	Wayne Hassett(5) · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	120	t	78-275	71	89	-	114d	—	—	+1	6.9	22/1 4%
Threatened once on the AW; gelded and now tongue-tied for turf debut
4 (9)	Genesis ch Luke McAteer · Alan McIntyre	Luke McAteer · Alan McIntyre	131	—	55125	82	91	34	49d	—	—	+13	17.9	18/1 5%
Useful form over Dundalk's 6f before being outclassed in a 7f Listed race at Naas
NR (2)	Orandi b Wayne Lordan · Mrs C O'Leary	Wayne Lordan · Mrs C O'Leary	139	t	0/6815	84	88	81	55d	—	—	—	8.5	—
Recent winner at the Curragh; these terms aren't easy but needs respecting
NR (11)	Polar Bear b Keithen Kennedy(7) · Mrs John Harrington	Keithen Kennedy(7) · Mrs John Harrington	130	v	-50746	75	97	70	35d	—	—	—	6.3	—
Rain welcomed; bit disappointing last time at Listowel and peak efforts were last season
NR (3)	Gustavus Weston br Gary Carroll · Joseph G Murphy	Gary Carroll · Joseph G Murphy	126	e/s	-00004	71	98	59	40d	—	—	—	5.3	—
Regressive and these terms ask a bit of him in his current vein of form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Miss Black Jack	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2	10/3
Blanc De Noir	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Volatile Analyst	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Velvet Skies	11/2	6/1	6/1	5/1	6/1
Imperial Dream	9/1	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1
Linger For Longer	8/1	17/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Salah Belle	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
The Poacher Daly	16/1	16/1	14/1	22/1	16/1
Genesis	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miss Black Jack

18.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 4 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Genesis

17.9

OR: 8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

3rd

Salah Belle

17.2

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Velvet Skies

14.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Blanc De Noir

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Volatile Analyst

11.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Imperial Dream

8.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Orandi

8.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Linger For Longer

7.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

The Poacher Daly

6.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Polar Bear

6.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Gustavus Weston

5.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Miss Black Jack Top Rated	84	94	67
Orandi	84	88	81
Salah Belle	82	89	63
Genesis	82	91	34
Volatile Analyst	77	92	83
Polar Bear	75	97	70
Imperial Dream	74	95	58
Blanc De Noir	72	90	82
Velvet Skies	72	88	69
Linger For Longer	71	92	84
The Poacher Daly	71	89	—
Gustavus Weston	71	98	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Black Jack	14d ago	Fit
Blanc De Noir	29d ago	Fit
Volatile Analyst	16d ago	Fit
Velvet Skies	38d ago	Fit
Imperial Dream	24d ago	Fit
Linger For Longer	39d ago	Fit
Salah Belle	11d ago	Quick return
The Poacher Daly	114d ago	Long break
Genesis	49d ago	Fresh
Orandi	55d ago	Fresh
Polar Bear	35d ago	Fit
Gustavus Weston	40d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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