Long Harbour Derek Lucie-Smith Handicap – Ascot

Ascot

3:25

Long Harbour Derek Lucie-Smith Handicap

Date 2024-07-12

Distance 7f213y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £10,800

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (8)	Global Asset ch Adam Farragher · William Haggas	Adam Farragher · William Haggas	126	p	73-212	79	100	91	6d	—	—	-8	13.9	3/1 25%
Progressive gelding despite last week's Nottingham defeat; cheekpieces are added
3 (9)	Ebt's Guard b Aidan Keeley(3) · William Muir & Chris Grassick	Aidan Keeley(3) · William Muir & Chris Grassick	134	—	6-3212	87	99	80	14d	—	—	-3	14.3	4/1 20%
Goes on soft and, despite a harsh 5lb rise for latest defeat, he's on the shortlist
6 (6)	Cerulean Bay b Sean Levey · David O'Meara	Sean Levey · David O'Meara	132	—	-43845	85	97	79	14d	—	—	+2	12.7	8/1 11%
Mostly consistent and didn't get the breaks when behind Ebt's Guard at Yarmouth
4 (2)	T'Challa b David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	133	—	271	86	98	76	32d	—	—	+14	24.6	15/2 12%
Windsor novice winner and this scopey son of Kingman can surely improve some more
2 (3)	Apiarist b Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	135	—	241-53	88	97	76	48d	—	—	+3	12.2	8/1 11%
His Haydock form looks quite strong and there's a bigger effort in him
9 (4)	Bigbertiebassett b Robert Havlin · William Muir & Chris Grassick	Robert Havlin · William Muir & Chris Grassick	124	—	998-45	77	98	83	34d	—	—	0	9.3	17/2 11%
Novice winner with one notable effort in handicaps; below par latest; soft ground?
1 (7)	Magnum Opus b Callum Shepherd · Simon & Ed Crisford	Callum Shepherd · Simon & Ed Crisford	137	—	061-01	90	99	71	11d	—	—	+4	12.2	10/1 9%
Penalised for recent 3l success at Pontefract but has to deal with slower ground here
7 (5)	Zain Blue b Connor Beasley · John Butler	Connor Beasley · John Butler	126	—	4-3205	79	100	86	34d	—	—	+2	9.2	12/1 8%
Maiden who had no excuses last time and soft ground will be a first for him
5 (1)	Respectful b Hollie Doyle · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	Hollie Doyle · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	133	—	5411-0	86	97	81	58d	—	—	+7	9.9	28/1 3%
Won twice at two; quiet on return and since left Karl Burke for 21,000gns; now gelded

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Global Asset	11/4	3/1	11/4	5/2	11/4
Ebt's Guard	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Cerulean Bay	7/1	13/2	13/2	8/1	13/2
T'Challa	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Apiarist	15/2	8/1	8/1	7/1	8/1
Bigbertiebassett	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Magnum Opus	9/1	9/1	10/1	17/2	9/1
Zain Blue	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Respectful	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

T'Challa

24.6

OR: 9 Form: 12.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

Ebt's Guard

14.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Global Asset

13.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Cerulean Bay

12.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Apiarist

12.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Magnum Opus

12.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Respectful

9.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Bigbertiebassett

9.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Zain Blue

9.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Magnum Opus Top Rated	90	99	71
Apiarist	88	97	76
Ebt's Guard	87	99	80
T'Challa	86	98	76
Respectful	86	97	81
Cerulean Bay	85	97	79
Global Asset	79	100	91
Zain Blue	79	100	86
Bigbertiebassett	77	98	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Global Asset	6d ago	Quick return
Ebt's Guard	14d ago	Fit
Cerulean Bay	14d ago	Fit
T'Challa	32d ago	Fit
Apiarist	48d ago	Fresh
Bigbertiebassett	34d ago	Fit
Magnum Opus	11d ago	Quick return
Zain Blue	34d ago	Fit
Respectful	58d ago	Fresh

Going: Soft

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