Kilbeggan Racecourse Handicap Hurdle – Kilbeggan

Kilbeggan

7:20

Kilbeggan Racecourse Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-07-12

Distance 3m180y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners 17

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Western Model b Sean O'Keeffe · Paul Nolan	Sean O'Keeffe · Paul Nolan	168	—	/659-1	102	105	60	52d	—	—	+11	28	9/2 18%
Revelled on sound surface when winning at Punchestown last time; up 12lb but a big player
2	Ceanndana b Keith Donoghue · Ross O'Sullivan	Keith Donoghue · Ross O'Sullivan	168	p	13P-21	102	110	-	42d	—	—	-4	20.3	7/2 22%
Won over 2m4f here last year; off the mark over fences last time; 6lb lower over hurdles
9	Rising Dust b Danny Mullins · Michael Hourigan	Danny Mullins · Michael Hourigan	162	—	50-721	96	100	25	41d	—	—	+2	15.5	13/2 13%
Comfortable Listowel winner is 9lb higher today but improving sort is respected
12	Safran Et Bleu b/br Evan Dwan(7) · P M J Doyle	Evan Dwan(7) · P M J Doyle	161	p	99-541	95	104	62	25d	—	—	0	15.7	6/1 14%
Got off the mark when winning over C&D last time; can go well off 6lb higher
3	Cerberus ch Mr R W Barron(5) · John G Hayes	Mr R W Barron(5) · John G Hayes	168	—	65654-	102	108	108	—	—	—	+7	15.2	10/1 9%
Soundly beaten when last seen over hurdles and also on the Flat recently
14	Inthenickoftime gr Simon Torrens · E Bolger	Simon Torrens · E Bolger	154	h	478-06	95	98	90	40d	—	—	+6	13.4	9/1 10%
Beaten a long way in a 2m handicap at this track last time; has to improve for this trip
8	Reserve Judgement b Aidan Kelly(5) · Leanne Breen	Aidan Kelly(5) · Leanne Breen	162	—	4F6P-1	96	103	94	40d	—	—	+16	23.7	10/1 9%
Won second hurdle race when winning over C&D on return; respected off 6lb higher
5	Dinoland b Alex Harvey(7) · John C McConnell	Alex Harvey(7) · John C McConnell	166	tv	P7P-2P	100	109	92	52d	—	—	+8	14.4	14/1 7%
Maiden has been placed a few times over hurdles; a chance if rebounding from a poor run
6	Dr Val b Danny Gilligan(3) · E Sheehy	Danny Gilligan(3) · E Sheehy	164	b	6U5-PP	98	99	-	34d	—	—	+9	13.1	22/1 4%
Pulled up twice over fences lately and was out of form when last seen over hurdles
11	Hurricane Darwin b Philip Donovan(5) · C W J Farrell	Philip Donovan(5) · C W J Farrell	161	—	234/7-	95	108	46	387d	—	—	+9	12.1	33/1 3%
Veteran 7-time winner has been dropped in the weights for first run for a year
13	Yenillik b Sean Flanagan · H Rogers	Sean Flanagan · H Rogers	161	—	37304/	95	99	-	—	—	—	+11	14.2	33/1 3%
Is 1-10 over hurdles; Flat maiden was beaten a long way in that sphere last time
10	Sea Road Fill b P J O'Hanlon · Darren Collins	P J O'Hanlon · Darren Collins	162	—	05549-	96	109	68	84d	—	—	+9	12.3	33/1 3%
Not a bad run over fences at Cork but a lesser effort over hurdles at Ballinrobe since
1	Balkito b Mr P J O'Neill(7) · John F O'Neill	Mr P J O'Neill(7) · John F O'Neill	168	—	4/RP4-	102	100	72	113d	—	—	+11	13.7	40/1 2%
Dual chase winner ran well enough over hurdles when last seen; has to do more
7	I Am Rocco br Mr E Mahon(7) · Brian M McMahon	Mr E Mahon(7) · Brian M McMahon	164	t	/57P-F	98	106	-	10d	—	—	+11	12.5	50/1 2%
Maiden was well beaten when falling over fences on comeback and not easy to fancy
NR	Townhill Penny b Sam Ewing · Gordon Elliott	Sam Ewing · Gordon Elliott	159	b	P6-773	93	98	49	27d	—	—	—	10.8	—
Just 1-19 over hurdles; has run well at this track; has to better recent efforts; reserve
NR	Falvio b Shane Fitzgerald · C A McBratney	Shane Fitzgerald · C A McBratney	158	t	0097-6	92	91	82	49d	—	—	—	10.5	—
Flat winner is a maiden under NH rules; over fences lately; this trip a questions; reserve
NR	Warmer Days Ahead b Phillip Enright · Oliver McKiernan	Phillip Enright · Oliver McKiernan	158	tp	084-23	92	101	63	34d	—	—	—	10.5	—
Has run well in Punchestown handicaps last twice over shorter; chance if staying; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Western Model	9/2	9/2	4/1	7/2	9/2
Ceanndana	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Rising Dust	6/1	6/1	13/2	11/2	6/1
Safran Et Bleu	6/1	5/1	11/2	4/1	11/2
Cerberus	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Inthenickoftime	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Reserve Judgement	10/1	10/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Dinoland	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Dr Val	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Hurricane Darwin	28/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Yenillik	28/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Sea Road Fill	28/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Balkito	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
I Am Rocco	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Western Model

OR: 13 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Reserve Judgement

23.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

10/1

3rd

Ceanndana

20.3

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

7/2

Safran Et Bleu

15.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Rising Dust

15.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Cerberus

15.2

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Dinoland

14.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Yenillik

14.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Balkito

13.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Inthenickoftime

13.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Dr Val

13.1

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

I Am Rocco

12.5

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Sea Road Fill

12.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Hurricane Darwin

12.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Townhill Penny

10.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Falvio

10.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Warmer Days Ahead

10.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Western Model Top Rated	102	105	60
Ceanndana	102	110	—
Cerberus	102	108	108
Balkito	102	100	72
Dinoland	100	109	92
Dr Val	98	99	—
I Am Rocco	98	106	—
Rising Dust	96	100	25
Reserve Judgement	96	103	94
Sea Road Fill	96	109	68
Safran Et Bleu	95	104	62
Inthenickoftime	95	98	90
Hurricane Darwin	95	108	46
Yenillik	95	99	—
Townhill Penny	93	98	49
Falvio	92	91	82
Warmer Days Ahead	92	101	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Western Model	52d ago	Fresh
Ceanndana	42d ago	Fit
Rising Dust	41d ago	Fit
Safran Et Bleu	25d ago	Fit
Cerberus	—	—
Inthenickoftime	40d ago	Fit
Reserve Judgement	40d ago	Fit
Dinoland	52d ago	Fresh
Dr Val	34d ago	Fit
Hurricane Darwin	387d ago	Long break
Yenillik	—	—
Sea Road Fill	84d ago	Fresh
Balkito	113d ago	Long break
I Am Rocco	10d ago	Quick return
Townhill Penny	27d ago	Fit
Falvio	49d ago	Fresh
Warmer Days Ahead	34d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Yielding

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