Newgrange Hotel Handicap – Navan

Navan

3:37

Newgrange Hotel Handicap

Date 2024-07-13

Distance 5f

Class

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners 17

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (10)	Fair Taxes b Shane Foley · Ross O'Sullivan	Shane Foley · Ross O'Sullivan	139	—	35-81	79	75	38	29d	—	—	-5	12.3	11/2 15%
20-1 winner over 6f at Fairyhouse in his first handicap, further progress on the cards
1 (7)	Rathbranchurch ch Wesley Joyce(5) · Michael Mulvany	Wesley Joyce(5) · Michael Mulvany	143	—	832551	78	78	67	9d	—	—	+8	23.5	11/2 15%
Doubled his winning tally to 2-28 with recent Bellewstown success, dependable at present
2 (16)	Only Spoofing b Gary Carroll · Kevin Thomas Coleman	Gary Carroll · Kevin Thomas Coleman	142	—	4-0083	77	88	67	9d	—	—	-1	9.8	15/2 12%
Good record at this track, definite chance after third to Rathbranchurch at Bellewstown
6 (4)	Blanc De Noir b Shane B Kelly · J P Murtagh	Shane B Kelly · J P Murtagh	136	p	-57546	71	81	73	6d	—	—	-2	8.1	8/1 11%
Only win came over an extended 6f last season, may find this trip a bit sharp
8 (17)	Distillate ch Adam Caffrey(3) · Adrian McGuinness	Adam Caffrey(3) · Adrian McGuinness	132	t	016934	67	87	76	9d	—	—	+1	11.2	9/1 10%
Could go well but needs to reverse Bellewstown form with Rathbranchurch and Only Spoofing
14 (6)	Reinforce ch Ronan Whelan · Miss Katy Brown	Ronan Whelan · Miss Katy Brown	122	—	064270	57	91	73	13d	—	—	-1	6.4	10/1 9%
Had no chance from a long way out of the handicap on latest, this is more realistic
13 (1)	Run Forrest Run b Seamie Heffernan · Micky Fenton	Seamie Heffernan · Micky Fenton	127	p	795880	62	90	72	7d	—	—	-3	5.4	12/1 8%
Eighth behind Distillate at Cork in May, again down the field on two most recent starts
17 (8)	American In Paris b Wayne Hassett(5) · Denis Gerard Hogan	Wayne Hassett(5) · Denis Gerard Hogan	119	t	067035	54	90	65	7d	—	—	-2	5.2	10/1 9%
Penultimate Naas start was eyecatching, 5lb wrong but has a good claimer aboard
11 (9)	Tai Sing Yeh b Colin Keane · Ian Patrick Donoghue	Colin Keane · Ian Patrick Donoghue	130	tb	035043	65	84	63	8d	—	—	+2	9.3	14/1 7%
Heavily raced 12-time winner, can seldom be ruled out but others are more appealing
16 (15)	Step Back In Time ch Rory Cleary · Chris Timmons	Rory Cleary · Chris Timmons	119	tp	430-68	54	85	65	67d	—	—	-4	2.7	16/1 6%
Fair sixth over C&D on seasonal debut, failed to reproduce that form here last time
9 (5)	Run The Jewels b/br Scott McCullagh(3) · Daniel McLoughlin	Scott McCullagh(3) · Daniel McLoughlin	132	—	-80508	67	85	50	30d	—	—	+1	5.6	20/1 5%
Wins have been gained up to 1m, has never run over this trip, up against it
7 (3)	Charming Lady b James Ryan(5) · T G McCourt	James Ryan(5) · T G McCourt	134	—	80-086	69	85	59	9d	—	—	+2	5.8	22/1 4%
Need to find improvement from recent run behind Rathbranchurch at Bellewstown
5 (2)	Devil's Angel gr Sean Davis · Kevin Thomas Coleman	Sean Davis · Kevin Thomas Coleman	137	—	30023-	72	82	72	302d	—	—	+9	13.8	25/1 4%
Winner of eight races in Britain, lacks a recent run, trainer also has Only Spoofing here
12 (14)	Smart Impression b Gavin Ryan · Daniel James Murphy	Gavin Ryan · Daniel James Murphy	129	—	48-450	69	74	65	77d	—	—	+3	5.2	40/1 2%
Needs to provide some reassurance after a poor run at this venue in April
4 (13)	Scot's Grace b Luke McAteer · Leanne Breen	Luke McAteer · Leanne Breen	139	—	/968-8	74	81	42	22d	—	—	+4	6.6	50/1 2%
Totally out of form in Britain last season, big price when in rear on Irish debut
NR (11)	Sunday Sovereign b Chris Hayes · G A Kingston	Chris Hayes · G A Kingston	130	—	-09045	65	90	66	9d	—	—	—	3.8	—
Missed the break at Bellewstown, three of these rivals finished in front of him then
NR (12)	Spirit Of Eagles b Keithen Kennedy(7) · Thomas Dowling	Keithen Kennedy(7) · Thomas Dowling	119	tp	000387	54	88	65	8d	—	—	—	2.5	—
Sole win came on goods ground over this trip last summer, placed over 6f three starts ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Fair Taxes	5/1	9/2	9/2	11/2	5/1
Rathbranchurch	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2	11/2
Only Spoofing	15/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Blanc De Noir	7/1	7/1	8/1	13/2	8/1
Distillate	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Reinforce	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Run Forrest Run	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
American In Paris	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Tai Sing Yeh	14/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Step Back In Time	16/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	14/1
Run The Jewels	20/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Charming Lady	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Devil's Angel	22/1	25/1	25/1	20/1	25/1
Smart Impression	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Scot's Grace	50/1	50/1	50/1	33/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rathbranchurch

23.5

OR: 7 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4.4

11/2

2nd

Devil's Angel

13.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.2

25/1

3rd

Fair Taxes

12.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

Distillate

11.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Only Spoofing

9.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Tai Sing Yeh

9.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Blanc De Noir

8.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Scot's Grace

6.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Reinforce

6.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Charming Lady

5.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Run The Jewels

5.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Run Forrest Run

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

American In Paris

5.2

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Smart Impression

5.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Sunday Sovereign

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Step Back In Time

2.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Spirit Of Eagles

2.5

OR: 1 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fair Taxes Top Rated	79	75	38
Rathbranchurch	78	78	67
Only Spoofing	77	88	67
Scot's Grace	74	81	42
Devil's Angel	72	82	72
Blanc De Noir	71	81	73
Charming Lady	69	85	59
Smart Impression	69	74	65
Distillate	67	87	76
Run The Jewels	67	85	50
Tai Sing Yeh	65	84	63
Sunday Sovereign	65	90	66
Run Forrest Run	62	90	72
Reinforce	57	91	73
American In Paris	54	90	65
Step Back In Time	54	85	65
Spirit Of Eagles	54	88	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fair Taxes	29d ago	Fit
Rathbranchurch	9d ago	Quick return
Only Spoofing	9d ago	Quick return
Blanc De Noir	6d ago	Quick return
Distillate	9d ago	Quick return
Reinforce	13d ago	Quick return
Run Forrest Run	7d ago	Quick return
American In Paris	7d ago	Quick return
Tai Sing Yeh	8d ago	Quick return
Step Back In Time	67d ago	Fresh
Run The Jewels	30d ago	Fit
Charming Lady	9d ago	Quick return
Devil's Angel	302d ago	Long break
Smart Impression	77d ago	Fresh
Scot's Grace	22d ago	Fit
Sunday Sovereign	9d ago	Quick return
Spirit Of Eagles	8d ago	Quick return

Going: Good To Firm

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