Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race – Navan

Navan

4:10

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

Date 2024-07-13

Distance 1m2f40y

Class

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €12,980

Runners 6

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (3)	The Equator b Declan McDonogh · A P O'Brien	Declan McDonogh · A P O'Brien	136	—	4-145	101	107	96	24d	—	—	-17	27.8	10/11 52%
Seemingly regarded as a stayer so drop back in trip may not play to his strengths
6 (2)	Sumptuary Law b Colin Keane · G M Lyons	Colin Keane · G M Lyons	131	—	231-11	89	99	65	11d	—	—	-4	15.5	10/3 23%
Filly thriving, up 14lb for two handicap wins; upped in class here but could go well
3 (4)	Naval Force b Gavin Ryan · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	Gavin Ryan · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	136	—	14-10	91	92	75	23d	—	—	+1	13.9	8/1 11%
Quick ground at Ascot probably didn't suit but potential remains
1 (6)	Going Remote b Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	136	p	-89221	87	92	85	21d	—	—	+17	28.6	7/1 13%
Progressive handicapper with ground to suit but needs to step up again here
2 (1)	Inner Success b W J Lee · K J Condon	W J Lee · K J Condon	136	—	641	87	96	52	40d	—	—	+16	20.6	18/1 5%
Front-running Gowran maiden winner with likely more to offer but needed
5 (5)	Vestigia br Robbie Colgan · Ms Sheila Lavery	Robbie Colgan · Ms Sheila Lavery	136	t	26-158	95	95	70	40d	—	—	+8	12.6	22/1 4%
Elevated rating due to Gallinule fifth (2l off The Equator) not sure he can run to that

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
The Equator	evn	10/11	10/11	10/11	evn
Sumptuary Law	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3	16/5
Naval Force	8/1	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Going Remote	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Inner Success	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Vestigia	22/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Going Remote

28.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 16 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

The Equator

27.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 15

10/11

3rd

Inner Success

20.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Sumptuary Law

15.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Naval Force

13.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Vestigia

12.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Equator Top Rated	101	107	96
Vestigia	95	95	70
Naval Force	91	92	75
Sumptuary Law	89	99	65
Going Remote	87	92	85
Inner Success	87	96	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Equator	24d ago	Fit
Sumptuary Law	11d ago	Quick return
Naval Force	23d ago	Fit
Going Remote	21d ago	Fit
Inner Success	40d ago	Fit
Vestigia	40d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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