Esme, Ellie, Myla & Harvey Allsopp Handicap Chase – Stratford

Stratford

1:30

Esme, Ellie, Myla & Harvey Allsopp Handicap Chase

Date 2024-07-14

Distance 2m3f98y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,040

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8	Conceal ch J:Kevin Brogan T:Billy Aprahamian	J:Kevin Brogan T:Billy Aprahamian	144	p	3446-4	76	110	80	33d	—	—	-6	11.7	7/2 22%
Signs of a return to form last time; sole win came off 12lb higher; in the mix
1	Mystic Man b J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Harry Derham	J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Harry Derham	168	p	1P11-0	100	108	88	40d	—	—	-1	18.2	10/3 23%
Ran badly last month; progressive otherwise over rules fences and may rebound
4	Gambie Tiep b J:Liam Harrison T:Ben Pauling	J:Liam Harrison T:Ben Pauling	161	—	4654-3	93	109	94	25d	—	—	+1	19	4/1 20%
Gradually back to form this year; respected off 1lb below last winning mark
9	Fromposttopillar b J:Adam Wedge T:Tom Gretton	J:Adam Wedge T:Tom Gretton	144	t	5/8P-6	76	95	81	23d	—	—	0	9	17/2 11%
Six-race maiden who holds weak claims on form
3	Blaze A Trail b J:Connor Brace T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Connor Brace T:John & Rhys Flint	161	p	2P2-P7	93	110	59	25d	—	—	+5	13	11/1 8%
Far from solid on 2024 form elsewhere; good record (6111322) at Stratford
7	Go Fox ch J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	144	p	225-36	76	105	76	42d	—	—	0	9	10/1 9%
Defied a 12lb higher mark at this track last summer; interesting back here
11	Invincible Wish b J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	142	—	-65426	74	104	83	7d	—	—	+5	11.1	16/1 6%
Runner-up here on penultimate start; however, he's 0-21 over jumps
6	Admiral's Sunset b J:James Davies T:David Weston	J:James Davies T:David Weston	154	v	56-44P	86	106	80	12d	—	—	+5	10.4	20/1 5%
Good chance if taking well to visor; won off 11lb higher over C&D last year
10	Buck Of Maine b J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	142	b	45P-80	74	75	-	16d	—	—	+3	7.1	20/1 5%
Eight-race maiden who has achieved nothing since handicapping
2	Who's The Guv'nor b J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	165	t	1191/P	97	105	-	30d	—	—	+10	12.5	33/1 3%
Productive in 2022; achieved nothing last month on return from long absence
12	Lonimoss Bareliere b J:Philip Armson(3) T:Rob Summers	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Rob Summers	142	tb	4PP-55	74	100	74	25d	—	—	+5	6.5	66/1 1%
Longstanding maiden who is 7lb out of weights
NR	Floating Rock b J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Gates	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Gates	161	p	56-P3P	93	109	-	25d	—	—	—	10.8	—
Ran respectably over hurdles here on penultimate start; had an excuse latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Conceal	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Mystic Man	3/1	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Gambie Tiep	4/1	4/1	10/3	7/2	4/1
Fromposttopillar	8/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Blaze A Trail	11/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Go Fox	9/1	17/2	10/1	9/1	17/2
Invincible Wish	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Admiral's Sunset	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Buck Of Maine	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Who's The Guv'nor	33/1	33/1	25/1	25/1	33/1
Lonimoss Bareliere	66/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gambie Tiep

OR: 10.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Mystic Man

18.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

Blaze A Trail

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Who's The Guv'nor

12.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Conceal

11.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Invincible Wish

11.1

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Floating Rock

10.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Admiral's Sunset

10.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Fromposttopillar

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Go Fox

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Buck Of Maine

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Lonimoss Bareliere

6.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mystic Man Top Rated	100	108	88
Who's The Guv'nor	97	105	—
Gambie Tiep	93	109	94
Blaze A Trail	93	110	59
Floating Rock	93	109	—
Admiral's Sunset	86	106	80
Conceal	76	110	80
Fromposttopillar	76	95	81
Go Fox	76	105	76
Invincible Wish	74	104	83
Buck Of Maine	74	75	—
Lonimoss Bareliere	74	100	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Invincible Wish	7d ago	Quick return
Admiral's Sunset	12d ago	Quick return
Buck Of Maine	16d ago	Fit
Fromposttopillar	23d ago	Fit
Gambie Tiep	25d ago	Fit
Blaze A Trail	25d ago	Fit
Lonimoss Bareliere	25d ago	Fit
Floating Rock	25d ago	Fit
Who's The Guv'nor	30d ago	Fit
Conceal	33d ago	Fit
Mystic Man	40d ago	Fit
Go Fox	42d ago	Fit