Floyds Turfcare & Weed Solutions Ltd Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

4:40

Floyds Turfcare & Weed Solutions Ltd Handicap

Date 2024-07-18

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (4)	Niloufar b J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	134	h	771142	59	69	44	23d	—	—	-2	22.9	9/4 31%
Won first 2 handicaps, at 1m on AW; excuses for 1m2f turf defeats; solid chance
7 (1)	Little Venice ch J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	334212	57	70	64	12d	—	—	+3	22.6	4/1 20%
Suited by 1m2f on good to firm/good; in form and likely to be involved again
6 (9)	Givitawhirl b J:Jack Gilligan T:B F Brookhouse	J:Jack Gilligan T:B F Brookhouse	132	h	675-6	57	64	47	58d	—	—	-8	5.8	11/2 15%
Below market expectations when well held on 1m2f handicap debut but still early days
2 (5)	Penalty Shootout b J:David Probert T:Rod Millman	J:David Probert T:Rod Millman	134	—	077-30	59	68	61	38d	—	—	-6	5.6	13/2 13%
Tried to make all in two 1m2f handicaps this year; not ruled out if getting easier lead
9 (6)	Lady Birdie b J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	121	t	977-04	46	64	53	15d	—	—	-6	2.4	11/1 8%
More promise when strong-finishing 4th over 1m2f latest; can do better
4 (3)	Snooker McCrew ch J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	133	—	745-05	58	67	34	23d	—	—	-4	4.4	10/1 9%
Late promise on 2nd handicap start (7f) at Newbury; bred to stay 1m2f; may well improve
1 (7)	Magna Vega b J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	136	p	405366	61	69	64	12d	—	—	+1	5.3	20/1 5%
Ran well from the front on yard debut (1m); hasn't sustained effort since, at 1m2f latest
5 (8)	Pop Noodle b J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	057-57	58	68	-	169d	—	—	-1	3.1	22/1 4%
Can improve on handicap debut on AW (about 1m1f); lesser run next time; gelded since
8 (2)	Run Joy Run b J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Adam West	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Adam West	124	p	213369	49	66	30	9d	—	—	+3	4.9	40/1 2%
AW winner at 1m; off day last week and stamina to prove over a stiff 1m2f on turf

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Niloufar	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Little Venice	7/2	4/1	10/3	3/1	10/3
Givitawhirl	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Penalty Shootout	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Lady Birdie	10/1	11/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Snooker McCrew	10/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	9/1
Magna Vega	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Pop Noodle	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Run Joy Run	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Niloufar

22.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 13 Odds: 7.6

9/4

2nd

Little Venice

22.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 15.1 Odds: 5.7

4/1

3rd

Givitawhirl

5.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Penalty Shootout

5.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Magna Vega

5.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Run Joy Run

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 4.4 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Snooker McCrew

4.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Pop Noodle

3.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Lady Birdie

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Magna Vega Top Rated	61	69	64
Niloufar	59	69	44
Penalty Shootout	59	68	61
Snooker McCrew	58	67	34
Pop Noodle	58	68	—
Little Venice	57	70	64
Givitawhirl	57	64	47
Run Joy Run	49	66	30
Lady Birdie	46	64	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Run Joy Run	9d ago	Quick return
Little Venice	12d ago	Quick return
Magna Vega	12d ago	Quick return
Lady Birdie	15d ago	Fit
Niloufar	23d ago	Fit
Snooker McCrew	23d ago	Fit
Penalty Shootout	38d ago	Fit
Givitawhirl	58d ago	Fresh
Pop Noodle	169d ago	Long break