County Hotel Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

2:35

County Hotel Handicap

Date 2024-07-27

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (2)	Baltic b Callum Rodriguez · Harry Charlton	Callum Rodriguez · Harry Charlton	136	p	01-111	78	90	36	28d	—	—	-18	18.8	6/4 40%
Highly progressive since handicapping; 8lb rise demands more but he may well be up to it
7 (7)	Tryfan b Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	124	—	3-5216	77	86	80	21d	—	—	-10	17.3	9/4 31%
May not have seen out 1m6f latest having won over C&D off 4lb lower; remains lightly raced
3 (6)	Thundering b Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	137	—	-70030	79	88	39	14d	—	—	+1	12.7	13/2 13%
Very inconsistent; the handicapper's proving slow to relent and he'd be a surprise winner
1 (4)	Appier b Dylan Hogan · S Woods	Dylan Hogan · S Woods	142	—	941225	84	85	76	8d	—	—	+9	20.8	8/1 11%
Serial slow starter who's 5-12 on the AW and 2-2 over C&D; may not get this run to suit
2 (1)	Met Office b Hayley Turner · John Butler	Hayley Turner · John Butler	138	—	0015-8	80	89	81	23d	—	—	+4	8.7	25/1 4%
Didn't offer a lot on his return from eight months off recently but is entitled to improve
6 (5)	Fox Flame b Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	130	v	591458	72	89	69	28d	—	—	+6	9.6	28/1 3%
9lb better off with Baltic than when behind him latest but do well to turn things round
4 (3)	Galahad Threepwood b David Nolan · Ewan Whillans	David Nolan · Ewan Whillans	137	—	40344/	79	-	-	—	—	—	+7	9.3	66/1 1%
Over two years since he ran on the Flat; surprise were he still up to his current mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Baltic	5/4	6/5	6/5	6/4	5/4
Tryfan	9/4	9/4	15/8	15/8	11/5
Thundering	11/2	13/2	6/1	11/2	6/1
Appier	8/1	7/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Met Office	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Fox Flame	25/1	22/1	25/1	28/1	22/1
Galahad Threepwood	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Appier

20.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 9 Odds: 3.3

8/1

2nd

Baltic

18.8

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

6/4

3rd

Tryfan

17.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Thundering

12.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Fox Flame

9.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Galahad Threepwood

9.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Met Office

8.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Appier Top Rated	84	85	76
Met Office	80	89	81
Thundering	79	88	39
Galahad Threepwood	79	—	—
Baltic	78	90	36
Tryfan	77	86	80
Fox Flame	72	89	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baltic	28d ago	Fit
Tryfan	21d ago	Fit
Thundering	14d ago	Fit
Appier	8d ago	Quick return
Met Office	23d ago	Fit
Fox Flame	28d ago	Fit
Galahad Threepwood	—	—

Going: Standard

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