IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D)(GBB/IRE Incent' Race) (Div I)

Chelmsford (AW)

6:47

Date 2024-08-06

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (12)	Dalmally b J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hughie Morrison	133	—	3	-	72	57	61d	—	—	-22	14.8	5/4 44%
Middle-distance pedigree but plenty of dash when 3rd over 6f here on debut; 7f can suit
2 (5)	Chesneys Charm b J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	133	—	49	-	72	-	40d	—	—	-11	4.4	11/2 15%
Promising 7f debut; found little over 6f when visored latest; headgear left off
1 (4)	Channagide b J:Billy Loughnane T:Marco Botti	J:Billy Loughnane T:Marco Botti	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	5/1 17%
25,000euros breeze-up 2yo; likely type; yard 18% (7-40) with 2yos here in last 5 years
7 (10)	Nahash ch J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	17/2 11%
May foal; 11,000gns 2yo; yard 0-1 with 2yos here; market can guide
10 (1)	Troubadour Blue br J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	12/1 8%
Handy pedigree for longer trips; likely to need the run; yard not prolific with 2yos on AW
6 (6)	Jack Andrea b J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	133	—	33	-	68	-	34d	—	—	0	7	14/1 7%
Showed promise both 7f turf starts; not out of this but ready for handicaps after today
13 (9)	Your Grace b J:Ray Dawson T:Simon Pearce	J:Ray Dawson T:Simon Pearce	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	25/1 4%
Newcomer for trainer who's not yet had a 2yo winner on AW; likely to be better for the run
9 (3)	Poke The Bear b J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Amy Murphy	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	28/1 3%
6,000gns yearling; nice enough pedigree; yard 2-24 with 2yos here in last 5 years
4 (13)	Don't Get Caught ch J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	28/1 3%
6,000euros yearling; pedigree more about longer trips; probably one for another day
11 (11)	Ceira G b J:Luke Morris T:Gay Kelleway	J:Luke Morris T:Gay Kelleway	128	—	9	-	56	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.4	50/1 2%
25-1, glimmer of promise on her 7f Newmarket debut; should know more this time
5 (2)	Irishiko b J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	200/1 0%
Late foal; dam bred several winning sprinters; this one looks likely to need time
12 (7)	Flaine b J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	128	—	00	-	-	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
Tailed off in two 6f starts, tongue tied each time; no aids today; can only watch
8 (8)	Perfect Sight b J:Callum Shepherd T:Ed Dunlop	J:Callum Shepherd T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	90	-	13	-	8d	—	—	-1	0.2	250/1 0%
Easy to back and well beaten in two 6f novice events on turf and AW

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dalmally	6/5	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4
Chesneys Charm	11/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Channagide	4/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Nahash	15/2	8/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Troubadour Blue	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Jack Andrea	10/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Your Grace	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Poke The Bear	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1
Don't Get Caught	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Ceira G	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Irishiko	200/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Flaine	100/1	200/1	150/1	200/1	200/1
Perfect Sight	100/1	250/1	150/1	250/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dalmally

14.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 11.8

5/4

2nd

Jack Andrea

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.9

14/1

3rd

Chesneys Charm

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Channagide

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Nahash

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Troubadour Blue

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Your Grace

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Poke The Bear

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Don't Get Caught

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ceira G

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Irishiko

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Flaine

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Perfect Sight

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dalmally	—	72	57
Chesneys Charm	—	72	—
Channagide	—	—	—
Nahash	—	—	—
Troubadour Blue	—	—	—
Jack Andrea	—	68	—
Your Grace	—	—	—
Poke The Bear	—	—	—
Don't Get Caught	—	—	—
Ceira G	—	56	—
Irishiko	—	—	—
Flaine	—	—	—
Perfect Sight	—	13	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Perfect Sight	8d ago	Quick return
Flaine	15d ago	Fit
Ceira G	17d ago	Fit
Jack Andrea	34d ago	Fit
Chesneys Charm	40d ago	Fit
Dalmally	61d ago	Fresh
Channagide	—	—
Nahash	—	—
Troubadour Blue	—	—
Your Grace	—	—
Poke The Bear	—	—
Don't Get Caught	—	—
Irishiko	—	—