Racing Value At bet365 Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

7:47

Racing Value At bet365 Handicap

Date 2024-08-06

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (15)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (3)	Hombre gr J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Joseph Parr	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Joseph Parr	137	tp	501048	53	62	40	13d	—	—	-5	7.1	13/2 13%
Sole start under Silvestre De Sousa resulted in a success; interesting
5 (12)	Kondratiev Wave ch J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	137	p	412213	53	62	47	35d	—	—	+8	20.4	13/2 13%
Ran respectably, behind subsequent scorers, at Brighton last time; solid chance
2 (9)	Heerathetrack gr J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	138	v	362420	54	64	48	59d	—	—	-2	9.1	7/1 13%
Form dipped on turf last time but this return to AW is a plus; not ruled out
6 (6)	Twilight Jazz b J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	135	—	977122	51	64	-	7d	—	—	+6	16.8	13/2 13%
Front-runner who is in good form; made all in 15-runner field last summer
9 (5)	Mayo County b J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	133	hp	774336	55	63	49	78d	—	—	-3	7.9	13/2 13%
Absent since finishing lame on turf in May; has encouraging AW handicap form
11 (13)	Havana Sky br J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	131	—	589-8	53	61	-	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-6	3.3	9/1 10%
Open to improvement with Doncaster reappearance under his belt
8 (2)	Solo Solataire b J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	133	p	440638	55	63	43	14d	—	—	-2	5.3	12/1 8%
3yo maiden; last two efforts suggest this drop back to 7f will suit
7 (1)	Bold Suitor b J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	134	b	-P0350	50	60	45	15d	—	—	-4	3.1	11/1 8%
Not solid on his form for new stable; others preferred
14 (11)	Just Typical b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	123	h	090045	45	57	37	22d	—	—	-6	2.1	11/1 8%
Signs of improvement in two races at Wolverhampton last month; could go well
4 (14)	Northbound b J:Callum Shepherd T:Peter Niven	J:Callum Shepherd T:Peter Niven	137	—	7-6365	53	64	43	120d	—	—	-3	2.4	14/1 7%
Has possibilities, provided his Tapeta form is transferred back to Polytrack
13 (8)	Sheila Tequila b J:Oisin Murphy T:Adam West	J:Oisin Murphy T:Adam West	126	—	580-0	48	57	-	96d	—	—	-3	1	25/1 4%
Weak claims on form but is a possible improver on debut for new yard
12 (7)	Miss Billie b J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	129	—	899046	45	60	39	15d	—	—	-2	0.8	28/1 3%
Made the frame on penultimate start; the rest of her form is unconvincing
15 (10)	Milaikka b J:Connor Planas(3) T:Rae Guest	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Rae Guest	123	b	069	45	41	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.5	66/1 1%
Dismal chance on her 6f turf form; makes AW/handicap debut
NR (4)	Imperiousity ch J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Harris	J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Harris	138	—	RRR-90	54	-	-	15d	—	—	—	1	—
Has refused to race more than once and slowly away the last twice
NR (15)	Maverick Style b J:Tom Marquand T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Tom Marquand T:Paul & Oliver Cole	131	b	457542	53	63	49	25d	—	—	—	5.8	—
Heading back in the right direction; sole win came off this mark over C&D; respected

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hombre	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Kondratiev Wave	13/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1
Heerathetrack	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Twilight Jazz	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2
Mayo County	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Havana Sky	9/1	17/2	8/1	9/1	17/2
Solo Solataire	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Bold Suitor	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Just Typical	9/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Northbound	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Sheila Tequila	20/1	22/1	20/1	25/1	22/1
Miss Billie	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Milaikka	66/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kondratiev Wave

20.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 16 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Twilight Jazz

16.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Heerathetrack

9.1

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Mayo County

7.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Hombre

7.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Maverick Style

5.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Solo Solataire

5.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Havana Sky

3.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Bold Suitor

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.2 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Northbound

2.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Just Typical

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Sheila Tequila

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Imperiousity

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Miss Billie

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Milaikka

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mayo County Top Rated	55	63	49
Solo Solataire	55	63	43
Heerathetrack	54	64	48
Imperiousity	54	—	—
Hombre	53	62	40
Kondratiev Wave	53	62	47
Havana Sky	53	61	—
Northbound	53	64	43
Maverick Style	53	63	49
Twilight Jazz	51	64	—
Bold Suitor	50	60	45
Sheila Tequila	48	57	—
Just Typical	45	57	37
Miss Billie	45	60	39
Milaikka	45	41	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Twilight Jazz	7d ago	Quick return
Hombre	13d ago	Quick return
Solo Solataire	14d ago	Fit
Bold Suitor	15d ago	Fit
Miss Billie	15d ago	Fit
Imperiousity	15d ago	Fit
Havana Sky	17d ago	Fit
Just Typical	22d ago	Fit
Maverick Style	25d ago	Fit
Milaikka	26d ago	Fit
Kondratiev Wave	35d ago	Fit
Heerathetrack	59d ago	Fresh
Mayo County	78d ago	Fresh
Sheila Tequila	96d ago	Long break
Northbound	120d ago	Long break