New Vickers Bet App Coming Soon! Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Thirsk

4:58

Date 2024-08-16

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,860

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (2)	Native Instinct b Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	133	—	5	-	77	47	21d	—	—	-19	8.4	2/1 33%
Promising fifth of 11 over C&D on debut (green); 7f should suit; worth considering
3 (6)	Olympus Point ch Dougie Costello · Charlie Appleby	Dougie Costello · Charlie Appleby	133	—	23	-	88	79	27d	—	—	-16	16.5	15/8 35%
Favourite when placed in two 7f novices at Haydock, latest when third at 1-2; contender
8 (10)	Thunder Wonder ch Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	133	—	36	-	82	69	35d	—	—	-12	7.8	9/2 18%
Fine debut over 7f at Newmarket; 6th over same C&D next time (form looking sound); chance
6 (3)	Springbok b Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	133	—	5	-	72	52	36d	—	—	-8	3.3	15/2 12%
By Too Darn Hot; fair debut run at Doncaster last month (6f); 7f should suit; a possible
1 (1)	Arbitration b Sam James · K R Burke	Sam James · K R Burke	133	—	5	-	68	47	32d	—	—	-5	1.9	12/1 8%
Promising Ayr debut over 6f; the step up in trip should suit; interesting contender
7 (9)	Tarlac b Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	133	—	04	-	77	64	40d	—	—	-3	1.1	20/1 5%
Disappointing on York debut but better effort at Ayr last time; may do better again at 7f
10 (4)	Westcombe br Paul Mulrennan · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	Paul Mulrennan · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	33/1 3%
52,000gns yearling; half-brother to 6f winner; will stay 1m2f but worth a market check
9 (5)	Vesperado b Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	133	—	05	-	71	45	44d	—	—	-1	0.3	80/1 1%
Bettered debut run when 4l fifth over 6f here last time; likely to do better in handicaps
4 (7)	Raysham b Zak Wheatley(3) · Declan Carroll	Zak Wheatley(3) · Declan Carroll	133	—	06	-	67	37	61d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Improved on debut when sixth over 7f at Doncaster last time (66-1); more needed
5 (8)	Sidney Stratton b Aiden Brookes(3) · Micky Hammond	Aiden Brookes(3) · Micky Hammond	133	—	8	-	39	15	26d	—	—	0	0.2	150/1 1%
Beaten 15l on Redcar debut last month and not an obvious contender

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Native Instinct	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Olympus Point	15/8	15/8	13/8	13/8	15/8
Thunder Wonder	4/1	4/1	9/2	3/1	4/1
Springbok	7/1	7/1	15/2	6/1	7/1
Arbitration	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Tarlac	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Westcombe	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Vesperado	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1
Raysham	150/1	125/1	100/1	125/1	125/1
Sidney Stratton	150/1	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Olympus Point

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Native Instinct

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

Thunder Wonder

7.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Springbok

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Arbitration

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Tarlac

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Westcombe

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Vesperado

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Raysham

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Sidney Stratton

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Native Instinct	—	77	47
Olympus Point	—	88	79
Thunder Wonder	—	82	69
Springbok	—	72	52
Arbitration	—	68	47
Tarlac	—	77	64
Westcombe	—	—	—
Vesperado	—	71	45
Raysham	—	67	37
Sidney Stratton	—	39	15

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Native Instinct	21d ago	Fit
Olympus Point	27d ago	Fit
Thunder Wonder	35d ago	Fit
Springbok	36d ago	Fit
Arbitration	32d ago	Fit
Tarlac	40d ago	Fit
Westcombe	—	—
Vesperado	44d ago	Fit
Raysham	61d ago	Fresh
Sidney Stratton	26d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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