Believe Loans Handicap (Div I) – Doncaster

Doncaster

3:07

Believe Loans Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-08-17

Distance 7f6y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (6)	Great Max b Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	138	—	674771	78	91	80	8d	—	—	+4	22.2	4/1 20%
Not the force of old but first win since 2yo days at Haydock last week; major chance
2 (10)	Albeseeingyer b Robert Havlin · Steph Hollinshead	Robert Havlin · Steph Hollinshead	137	—	-36451	77	84	77	8d	—	—	+5	22.4	9/2 18%
Off the mark for 2024 with 5l win last week; has to overcome a 9lb higher mark; contender
3 (12)	Thapa Vc b Jack Mitchell · Mark Rimell	Jack Mitchell · Mark Rimell	135	tb	175312	75	87	80	8d	—	—	+11	23.4	6/1 14%
Two wins (one over C&D) this term; close second to Great Max last time; a possible
9 (7)	Wreck It Ryley gr Dale Swift · Alan Brown	Dale Swift · Alan Brown	127	—	322372	67	88	71	23d	—	—	+1	18.5	9/2 18%
Several good runs for this year this season, including last time; each-way chance
4 (9)	Hectic b Hector Crouch · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Hector Crouch · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	—	643569	75	91	70	36d	—	—	-3	11.2	6/1 14%
Hasn't won since his debut and not at his best in recent starts; others appeal more
11 (4)	Onemorenomore b Adam Farragher · Philip McBride	Adam Farragher · Philip McBride	124	—	678846	64	88	80	23d	—	—	-2	5.4	11/1 8%
C&D winner in April (soft); hasn't run as well since; best form on softer ground
5 (3)	Guy Fawkes ro Callum Shepherd · George Scott	Callum Shepherd · George Scott	133	h	12-048	73	85	-	160d	—	—	+2	7.4	14/1 7%
Won AW novice on debut but mainly disappointing since; stable/turf debut career-low mark
12 (2)	Create b Mikkel Mortensen(5) · Scott Dixon	Mikkel Mortensen(5) · Scott Dixon	122	p	085319	62	89	80	14d	—	—	+8	12.7	18/1 5%
Off the mark over C&D two runs back (good); lesser effort on fast ground last time
6 (5)	Cliffcake b Ray Dawson · Roy Bowring	Ray Dawson · Roy Bowring	132	—	171070	72	83	58	26d	—	—	+6	9.3	33/1 3%
10-39, latest win over 6f on AW in March; out of form since; bit to prove
10 (1)	Torfrida b Anna Gibson(7) · Pam Sly	Anna Gibson(7) · Pam Sly	127	—	1234-7	67	87	71	112d	—	—	+2	5	40/1 2%
Won 6f maiden here in 2023; also ran well in 7f h'cap on good to firm; back from a break
8 (11)	Captain Cuddles b Paul Mulrennan · Fionn McSharry	Paul Mulrennan · Fionn McSharry	128	—	80-808	68	83	58	29d	—	—	+3	5.2	40/1 2%
6f novice winner in July 2022; has not shown a great deal lately; career-low mark
7 (8)	Raven's Applause b Daniel Muscutt · Ed Dunlop	Daniel Muscutt · Ed Dunlop	128	v	760-0P	68	86	-	29d	—	—	+3	5	100/1 1%
6f winner last term; patchy form since and others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Great Max	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1	7/2
Albeseeingyer	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2	4/1
Thapa Vc	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2	6/1
Wreck It Ryley	9/2	7/2	9/2	10/3	9/2
Hectic	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Onemorenomore	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Guy Fawkes	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Create	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Cliffcake	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Torfrida	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Captain Cuddles	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Raven's Applause	100/1	100/1	80/1	66/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thapa Vc

23.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Albeseeingyer

22.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Great Max

22.2

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Wreck It Ryley

18.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 9 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Create

12.7

OR: 3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Hectic

11.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4

6/1

Cliffcake

9.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Guy Fawkes

7.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Onemorenomore

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Captain Cuddles

5.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Torfrida

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Raven's Applause

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Great Max Top Rated	78	91	80
Albeseeingyer	77	84	77
Thapa Vc	75	87	80
Hectic	75	91	70
Guy Fawkes	73	85	—
Cliffcake	72	83	58
Captain Cuddles	68	83	58
Raven's Applause	68	86	—
Wreck It Ryley	67	88	71
Torfrida	67	87	71
Onemorenomore	64	88	80
Create	62	89	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Great Max	8d ago	Quick return
Albeseeingyer	8d ago	Quick return
Thapa Vc	8d ago	Quick return
Wreck It Ryley	23d ago	Fit
Hectic	36d ago	Fit
Onemorenomore	23d ago	Fit
Guy Fawkes	160d ago	Long break
Create	14d ago	Fit
Cliffcake	26d ago	Fit
Torfrida	112d ago	Long break
Captain Cuddles	29d ago	Fit
Raven's Applause	29d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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