Believe Protect Handicap – Doncaster

Doncaster

2:32

Believe Protect Handicap

Date 2024-08-17

Distance 1m2f43y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,653

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (2)	Naaey b Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	134	—	2/1-74	79	87	62	26d	—	—	+5	21.8	9/2 18%
Unexposed; AW novice winner in 2023; fair form in h'caps in 2024; may be capable of better
5 (9)	Crystal Mariner ch Kevin Stott · Sir Michael Stoute	Kevin Stott · Sir Michael Stoute	134	v	36-387	79	93	70	47d	—	—	-3	11.3	11/2 15%
AW winner in 2023; gelded and had wind op; modest form this term; visor now tried
1 (4)	Maso Bastie b Hector Crouch · Michael Bell	Hector Crouch · Michael Bell	136	p	-64024	81	93	78	14d	—	—	+3	14.6	6/1 14%
Dual novice winner for James Fanshawe; good 2nd in h'cap two runs ago; chance on that form
7 (7)	Lady Of Arabia b Callum Shepherd · Eve Johnson Houghton	Callum Shepherd · Eve Johnson Houghton	131	—	130536	76	93	83	23d	—	—	0	12.8	11/2 15%
Fours wins, including over 1m2f on fast ground; good 3rd at Newbury two runs back; chance
2 (5)	Ala Kaifi ch Marco Ghiani · Ismail Mohammed	Marco Ghiani · Ismail Mohammed	135	tv	184-14	80	86	63	177d	—	—	-1	10.8	7/1 13%
Won C&D h'cap on soft last September; also won over 1m4f in Abu Dhabi; back from a break
3 (3)	Sudden Ambush b Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	135	t	100476	80	95	67	7d	—	—	0	10.4	8/1 11%
Four-time winner for Andrew Balding; close sixth in 1m h'cap last week; 1m2f is a concern
8 (8)	Eeetee b Mark Winn(3) · John Wainwright	Mark Winn(3) · John Wainwright	130	—	-68344	75	91	84	7d	—	—	0	10.8	7/1 13%
Dual winner over 1m2f for David O'Meara last term; fair form in 2024; each-way chance
9 (1)	Tobetso b Zak Wheatley(3) · Declan Carroll	Zak Wheatley(3) · Declan Carroll	122	—	573084	67	91	87	13d	—	—	0	7.1	11/1 8%
Dual winner last term (7f/ 1m); close fourth on first go at 1m2f last time; interesting
NR (6)	Arcadian Nights b Ray Dawson · Mark Loughnane	Ray Dawson · Mark Loughnane	134	—	214509	79	93	40	16d	—	—	—	9.3	—
Nine-time winner (seven on AW): well beaten after a break last time; fast ground a worry

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Naaey	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Crystal Mariner	5/1	5/1	9/2	11/2	5/1
Maso Bastie	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Lady Of Arabia	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Ala Kaifi	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Sudden Ambush	8/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Eeetee	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Tobetso	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Naaey

21.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Maso Bastie

14.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

6/1

3rd

Lady Of Arabia

12.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Crystal Mariner

11.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Ala Kaifi

10.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Eeetee

10.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Sudden Ambush

10.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Arcadian Nights

9.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Tobetso

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Maso Bastie Top Rated	81	93	78
Ala Kaifi	80	86	63
Sudden Ambush	80	95	67
Naaey	79	87	62
Crystal Mariner	79	93	70
Arcadian Nights	79	93	40
Lady Of Arabia	76	93	83
Eeetee	75	91	84
Tobetso	67	91	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Naaey	26d ago	Fit
Crystal Mariner	47d ago	Fresh
Maso Bastie	14d ago	Fit
Lady Of Arabia	23d ago	Fit
Ala Kaifi	177d ago	Long break
Sudden Ambush	7d ago	Quick return
Eeetee	7d ago	Quick return
Tobetso	13d ago	Quick return
Arcadian Nights	16d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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