racingtv.com Handicap – Hamilton

Hamilton

4:12

racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-09-22

Distance 1m1f35y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,926

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (5)	Tilsitt b Rhys Elliott(7) · R Mike Smith	Rhys Elliott(7) · R Mike Smith	131	tp	538340	61	77	71	2d	—	—	-8	10.3	7/2 22%
Last won in July 2022 but often thereabouts and can't be ruled out from place calculations
6 (8)	Shine On Brendan b Kaiya Fraser(5) · Jim Goldie	Kaiya Fraser(5) · Jim Goldie	132	b	346244	62	81	70	29d	—	—	-7	10.7	4/1 20%
No joy since August 2023 but he's regularly finished close up in recent outings
2 (9)	Epidavros b P J McDonald · Katie Scott	P J McDonald · Katie Scott	136	—	237331	71	74	58	11d	—	—	+9	23.5	5/1 17%
Off the mark at Carlisle (1m, soft) 11 days ago, reeling in She's Got Bottle in final 1f
1 (2)	She's Got Bottle b Tom Eaves · Lizzie Quinlan	Tom Eaves · Lizzie Quinlan	139	—	113762	69	77	69	11d	—	—	+6	15.3	15/2 12%
Can front-run; won twice in May and second to Epidavros at Carlisle 11 days ago
7 (1)	Shahnaz b Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	132	p	7-5115	62	76	55	50d	—	—	-4	5.7	8/1 11%
All five wins have been at either Hamilton or Carlisle, including two this summer
4 (7)	Naturalia b Shay Farmer(7) · Donald Whillans	Shay Farmer(7) · Donald Whillans	133	—	-31225	68	74	62	57d	—	—	+7	17	15/2 12%
Won at Carlisle (1m1f, soft) in May; runner-up on next two starts and hampered on latest
3 (4)	Leap Year Lad gr/ro Oisin McSweeney(3) · Kevin Ryan	Oisin McSweeney(3) · Kevin Ryan	134	p	863978	64	78	73	26d	—	—	-1	6.5	11/1 8%
Has shown his form only once (third attempt) from six starts this season
9 (3)	Wadacre Tivoli gr Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	130	—	3393	65	71	62	54d	—	—	+5	10.9	12/1 8%
Needs to improve but she's 3yo, far less exposed than most of these, so it may be possible
5 (6)	Izzari b Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	133	—	636	68	71	49	30d	—	—	+4	7.7	28/1 3%
Sold out of Joseph O'Brien's after second start; needs improvement on this handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tilsitt	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Shine On Brendan	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Epidavros	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
She's Got Bottle	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Shahnaz	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Naturalia	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Leap Year Lad	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Wadacre Tivoli	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Izzari	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Epidavros

23.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 14.2 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Naturalia

OR: 4.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

She's Got Bottle

15.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Wadacre Tivoli

10.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 5.4 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Shine On Brendan

10.7

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Tilsitt

10.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Izzari

7.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Leap Year Lad

6.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Shahnaz

5.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Epidavros Top Rated	71	74	58
She's Got Bottle	69	77	69
Naturalia	68	74	62
Izzari	68	71	49
Wadacre Tivoli	65	71	62
Leap Year Lad	64	78	73
Shine On Brendan	62	81	70
Shahnaz	62	76	55
Tilsitt	61	77	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tilsitt	2d ago	Quick return
Shine On Brendan	29d ago	Fit
Epidavros	11d ago	Quick return
She's Got Bottle	11d ago	Quick return
Shahnaz	50d ago	Fresh
Naturalia	57d ago	Fresh
Leap Year Lad	26d ago	Fit
Wadacre Tivoli	54d ago	Fresh
Izzari	30d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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