Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

7:00

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-09-27

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (8)	Bullet Point b Adam Farragher · William Haggas	Adam Farragher · William Haggas	135	—	754	75	77	59	74d	—	—	-20	18.8	5/4 44%
Looks a likely improver now handicapping after a gelding operation
3 (4)	War Chant b Callum Shepherd · Rae Guest	Callum Shepherd · Rae Guest	139	—	0-3136	74	83	64	11d	—	—	-8	11.7	10/3 23%
Good record on turf and recent AW debut was promising; should be sharper today
5 (7)	Invincible Aura b P J McDonald · Marco Botti	P J McDonald · Marco Botti	135	tp	059810	75	80	72	29d	—	—	+3	17.3	15/2 12%
Looks a better horse on AW and this mark probably still in range around here
2 (1)	Harlem Nights b Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	140	p	13-858	75	81	66	12d	—	—	-2	9.6	15/2 12%
Edging down the weights and cheekpieces could give him a lift; check betting
7 (2)	Visibility b Luke Morris · Scott Dixon	Luke Morris · Scott Dixon	133	—	750494	68	86	58	8d	—	—	-2	7	9/1 10%
On a winning mark and he ran well in a stronger race at Pontefract last week; e-w shout
1 (5)	Ernie's Valentine gr Brandon Wilkie(5) · David Loughnane	Brandon Wilkie(5) · David Loughnane	141	et	959500	76	86	53	11d	—	—	+4	7.6	25/1 4%
Has to bounce back from two modest Kempton runs; new headgear; capable but risky
8 (3)	Nogradi b Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	132	—	063	72	77	-	47d	—	—	+6	9.6	25/1 4%
Unexposed and he's improved with each run; needs more switched to AW but it's possible
4 (6)	It's A Love Thing b Laura Pearson · Sam England	Laura Pearson · Sam England	137	t	1-2250	72	81	63	18d	—	—	+11	13	80/1 1%
Reportedly made a respiratory noise when tailed off here 18 days ago; now tongue tied
NR (9)	Faro Di Notte b Joey Haynes · Marcus Tregoning	Joey Haynes · Marcus Tregoning	130	—	53224	70	77	15	14d	—	—	—	11.9	—
Soft ground a valid excuse last time; promise beforehand; needs to settle better though

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bullet Point	6/5	5/4	6/5	11/10	6/5
War Chant	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Invincible Aura	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2	7/1
Harlem Nights	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Visibility	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	8/1
Ernie's Valentine	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Nogradi	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
It's A Love Thing	80/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bullet Point

18.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

Invincible Aura

17.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4

15/2

3rd

It's A Love Thing

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Faro Di Notte

11.9

OR: 5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 0

—

War Chant

11.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Harlem Nights

9.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Nogradi

9.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ernie's Valentine

7.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Visibility

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ernie's Valentine Top Rated	76	86	53
Bullet Point	75	77	59
Invincible Aura	75	80	72
Harlem Nights	75	81	66
War Chant	74	83	64
Nogradi	72	77	—
It's A Love Thing	72	81	63
Faro Di Notte	70	77	15
Visibility	68	86	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bullet Point	74d ago	Fresh
War Chant	11d ago	Quick return
Invincible Aura	29d ago	Fit
Harlem Nights	12d ago	Quick return
Visibility	8d ago	Quick return
Ernie's Valentine	11d ago	Quick return
Nogradi	47d ago	Fresh
It's A Love Thing	18d ago	Fit
Faro Di Notte	14d ago	Fit

Going: Standard

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