Betfred Farewell Tom Sammes Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

4:40

Betfred Farewell Tom Sammes Handicap

Date 2024-09-29

Distance 1m113y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,804

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (7)	Arkhalia Flynn b J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	134	h	213112	84	97	88	22d	—	—	+14	34.6	3/1 25%
Two soft-ground wins last month before close second at Haydock latest; very solid claims
2 (4)	Condor Pasa ch J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	135	h	33216	85	96	73	79d	—	—	+5	25.9	3/1 25%
Soft-ground maiden winner; could benefit from drop back in trip on second handicap start
4 (5)	Into Battle ch J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	131	—	-15393	81	98	83	32d	—	—	+3	18.7	9/2 18%
Third last time (1m3f, AW); surplus stamina may be no bad thing on the testing ground
6 (1)	Glam Squad gr J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	127	—	081183	77	95	75	31d	—	—	+9	21.4	13/2 13%
Two wins this summer; could be thereabouts if the ground is okay (unraced on soft/heavy)
8 (3)	Escape Act b J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Simcock	J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Simcock	121	—	87614	71	96	68	59d	—	—	+4	15.3	8/1 11%
Won on handicap debut at Doncaster (soft) two runs ago and could still have more to offer
1 (6)	Marcella b J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	135	h	-25906	85	98	48	21d	—	—	+5	11.5	12/1 8%
Hasn't shone in handicaps the last twice but the deep ground could be a positive
5 (2)	Mallavelly b J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jonny Peate T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	-23484	78	94	84	37d	—	—	+3	11.1	14/1 7%
0-7; fair 4th at Goodwood latest; the greater emphasis on stamina is a likely help today
7 (8)	Foreseen b J:Jack Mitchell T:Adam West	J:Jack Mitchell T:Adam West	124	t	1895	74	94	92	16d	—	—	+7	9.8	33/1 3%
Won on debut in heavy ground in France but well beaten on both British starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Arkhalia Flynn	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Condor Pasa	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Into Battle	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Glam Squad	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Escape Act	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Marcella	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Mallavelly	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Foreseen	28/1	25/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arkhalia Flynn

34.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 19.9 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Condor Pasa

25.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 11 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Glam Squad

21.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 11 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Into Battle

18.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Escape Act

15.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Marcella

11.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Mallavelly

11.1

OR: 7 Form: 1.9 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Foreseen

9.8

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Condor Pasa Top Rated	85	96	73
Marcella	85	98	48
Arkhalia Flynn	84	97	88
Into Battle	81	98	83
Mallavelly	78	94	84
Glam Squad	77	95	75
Foreseen	74	94	92
Escape Act	71	96	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Foreseen	16d ago	Fit
Marcella	21d ago	Fit
Arkhalia Flynn	22d ago	Fit
Glam Squad	31d ago	Fit
Into Battle	32d ago	Fit
Mallavelly	37d ago	Fit
Escape Act	59d ago	Fresh
Condor Pasa	79d ago	Fresh