Betfred 'Triple Crown Bonus' Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

17:15

Betfred 'Triple Crown Bonus' Handicap

Date 2024-09-29

Distance 7f3y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,804

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
11 (4)	Come On You Spurs Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Spencer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Spencer	122	h	213521	67	88	83	16d	—	—	-1	30.7	7/4 36%
Two soft-ground wins this season and this 3yo is open to further progress
2 (9)	Hodler Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:Jim Boyle	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Jim Boyle	138	—	387751	80	92	78	17d	—	—	+3	23.7	7/2 22%
Convincing win over C&D on soft ground this month and he's a key player
8 (1)	Marlay Park b/br J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Jim Boyle	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Jim Boyle	134	—	878259	76	92	81	17d	—	—	0	12.6	9/1 10%
Soundly beaten over C&D last time but this four-time course winner is not ruled out
5 (3)	Tanmawwy Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	137	h	040410	79	89	82	23d	—	—	+6	17.3	8/1 11%
Well beaten at Haydock last time but won over C&D two starts ago and not discounted
4 (7)	Legal Reform Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Herrington	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Herrington	137	p	-71647	79	90	68	15d	—	—	+5	12.4	10/1 9%
Heavy-ground winner who runs off last winning mark; could improve for recent stable debut
9 (11)	Redredrobin Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Malcolm Saunders	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Malcolm Saunders	130	—	051262	72	89	82	17d	—	—	+8	19.1	10/1 9%
Two-time C&D winner who was runner-up over C&D (soft) last time; could be in the mix
1 (6)	Society Lion Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	139	t	071164	81	88	47	40d	—	—	+13	17	20/1 5%
Won two in a row earlier in the season; solid fourth last time; might not be far away
3 (10)	Little Boy Blue Grey J:William Carson T:Bill Turner	J:William Carson T:Bill Turner	137	p	8-1437	79	89	78	26d	—	—	+5	8.1	33/1 3%
Won over C&D in July but has to produce more than he's managed on his three runs since
7 (5)	Autumn Festival Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:Ed de Giles	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Ed de Giles	135	p	080000	77	86	54	12d	—	—	+4	7.6	33/1 3%
Has tumbled down the weights but for good reason; a major turnaround is required
10 (8)	Good Karma Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	128	h	848590	70	84	84	17d	—	—	+1	6.6	33/1 3%
Well treated on C&D form as recent as July but has struggled on his four runs since
NR (2)	Miguel Chestnut J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	135	—	905271	80	89	75	15d	—	—	—	20	—
Authoritative win at Musselburgh recently; hasn't shone previously on soft/heavy ground

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Come On You Spurs	7/4	7/4	13/8	13/8	7/4
Hodler	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Marlay Park	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	9/1
Tanmawwy	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Legal Reform	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Redredrobin	10/1	9/1	10/1	17/2	6/1
Society Lion	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Little Boy Blue	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Autumn Festival	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Good Karma	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Come On You Spurs

30.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 16.4 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Hodler

23.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Miguel

OR: 7.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0

—

Redredrobin

19.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Tanmawwy

17.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Society Lion

OR: 7.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Marlay Park

12.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

9/1

Legal Reform

12.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Little Boy Blue

8.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Autumn Festival

7.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Good Karma

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Society Lion	81	88	47
Hodler	80	92	78
Miguel	80	89	75
Tanmawwy	79	89	82
Legal Reform	79	90	68
Little Boy Blue	79	89	78
Autumn Festival	77	86	54
Marlay Park	76	92	81
Redredrobin	72	89	82
Good Karma	70	84	84
Come On You Spurs	67	88	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Autumn Festival	12d ago	Quick return
Legal Reform	15d ago	Fit
Miguel	15d ago	Fit
Come On You Spurs	16d ago	Fit
Hodler	17d ago	Fit
Marlay Park	17d ago	Fit
Redredrobin	17d ago	Fit
Good Karma	17d ago	Fit
Tanmawwy	23d ago	Fit
Little Boy Blue	26d ago	Fit
Society Lion	40d ago	Fit