Sky Sports Racing Virgin 519 Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

3:40

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 519 Handicap

Date 2024-09-29

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (5)	Petra Celera b J:Billy Loughnane T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Billy Loughnane T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	136	—	714142	73	79	71	10d	—	—	+4	23.5	10/3 23%
In-form 3yo who has won over C&D; ran creditably in higher grade on turf most recently
6 (8)	King David gr J:Harry Davies T:Marco Botti	J:Harry Davies T:Marco Botti	134	—	43771	71	78	56	25d	—	—	+4	21.2	4/1 20%
Suited by the return to AW at Kempton this month; open to further progress in this sphere
4 (4)	Shalaa Asker b J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Paul Keatley	135	tp	007034	69	84	68	25d	—	—	-5	11.9	7/2 22%
Made the frame here the last twice; attractively weighted, 10lb below last winning mark
1 (2)	Airshow ch J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	136	hp	464312	70	82	69	13d	—	—	+9	22.5	11/2 15%
In-form 9yo; beaten only a whisker at Kempton last time; three-time winner at Southwell
9 (6)	No Nay Nicki ch J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	131	—	660608	65	82	-	23d	—	—	-3	6.3	10/1 9%
Inconsistent this year; well handicapped on best form but isn't sure to reproduce it
10 (1)	Embarked b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	129	b	562339	63	84	75	3d	—	—	+2	10.9	10/1 9%
Placed three times off this mark in August, including over C&D; possibilities
5 (11)	Travis b J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Sam James T:Geoffrey Harker	135	v	128450	72	86	-	21d	—	—	+2	8.2	12/1 8%
May prove suited by change of headgear but has seemed best at 6f
7 (9)	Biplane b J:Mark Winn T:John Wainwright	J:Mark Winn T:John Wainwright	133	p	024218	67	83	-	43d	—	—	+10	16.5	20/1 5%
Has placed form in this grade but recorded all wins in Class 6
8 (7)	Vecchio b J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	131	—	47-870	65	78	49	167d	—	—	+2	4.5	33/1 3%
Maiden; far from solid on 2024 form for new yard
12 (3)	Heavenly Fire br J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	119	h	693300	56	83	63	17d	—	—	+3	4.4	150/1 1%
Maiden whose form has dipped markedly this month
11 (10)	Theotherside br J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	123	—	0-5484	57	81	55	170d	—	—	0	2.5	200/1 0%
0-15 for current stable and lacks recent match practice
NR (12)	Flowstate b J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	—	12267	72	87	-	12d	—	—	—	11.5	—
Solid record has not been sustained since handicapping; switches to a new scenario

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Petra Celera	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
King David	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Shalaa Asker	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Airshow	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
No Nay Nicki	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Embarked	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	8/1
Travis	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Biplane	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Vecchio	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Heavenly Fire	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	50/1
Theotherside	200/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Petra Celera

23.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Airshow

22.5

OR: 5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

King David

21.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 10.9 Odds: 5

4/1

Biplane

16.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 1.7

20/1

Shalaa Asker

11.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

7/2

Flowstate

11.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 6 Odds: 0

—

Embarked

10.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Travis

8.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

No Nay Nicki

6.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Vecchio

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Heavenly Fire

4.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Theotherside

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Petra Celera Top Rated	73	79	71
Travis	72	86	—
Flowstate	72	87	—
King David	71	78	56
Airshow	70	82	69
Shalaa Asker	69	84	68
Biplane	67	83	—
No Nay Nicki	65	82	—
Vecchio	65	78	49
Embarked	63	84	75
Theotherside	57	81	55
Heavenly Fire	56	83	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Embarked	3d ago	Quick return
Petra Celera	10d ago	Quick return
Flowstate	12d ago	Quick return
Airshow	13d ago	Quick return
Heavenly Fire	17d ago	Fit
Travis	21d ago	Fit
No Nay Nicki	23d ago	Fit
King David	25d ago	Fit
Shalaa Asker	25d ago	Fit
Biplane	43d ago	Fit
Vecchio	167d ago	Long break
Theotherside	170d ago	Long break