Pravha Handicap – Down Royal

Down Royal

5:00

Pravha Handicap

Date 2024-09-30

Distance 1m2f138y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners 17

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (10)	Little Lady Lucy b Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	138	—	5-853	63	60	57	29d	—	—	-11	9	4/1 20%
Similar form all starts but likeable how she stayed at it upped to 1m1f on handicap debut
13 (16)	Boomerang Bill b Shane Foley · Ross O'Sullivan	Shane Foley · Ross O'Sullivan	127	—	0-8958	47	64	56	44d	—	—	-12	5	9/2 18%
Yard had fine year; looked to be getting there with Navan fifth only to flop at Tramore
8 (8)	Tatum b Colin Keane · Noel Meade	Colin Keane · Noel Meade	133	—	85323-	58	66	42	350d	—	—	+1	13.6	13/2 13%
Been boxing hard without winning but continues to knock on the door; ground-versatile
7 (12)	Cannes Do b Chris Hayes · Philip M Byrne	Chris Hayes · Philip M Byrne	134	—	80-521	54	61	53	28d	—	—	-6	3.9	17/2 11%
Possibly telling she finally came good over extended 7f latest (soft), trip a concern
6 (7)	Barretstown b W J Lee · Conor O'Dwyer	W J Lee · Conor O'Dwyer	134	—	-37015	54	68	58	65d	—	—	+1	11.7	15/2 12%
Often gives his running and followed gutsy Cork work win (yielding) with Gowran fifth
2 (1)	Dancing Steve b Ronan Whelan · Adrian McGuinness	Ronan Whelan · Adrian McGuinness	138	v	378417	63	62	61	7d	—	—	+3	12.9	9/1 10%
Went close here 66s earlier in year and not winning out of turn at Tipperary (1m1f, good)
11 (14)	So Messi ch James Ryan(3) · Patrick Martin	James Ryan(3) · Patrick Martin	129	t	-38300	49	70	61	81d	—	—	-3	4	12/1 8%
Modest and exposed but chance at his best; yard had really quiet campaign
10 (4)	Lady Delila b Wayne Lordan · C P Donoghue	Wayne Lordan · C P Donoghue	129	p	9-0405	49	67	44	46d	—	—	-4	1.6	16/1 6%
Took the eye in fourth to Barretstown at Cork and weighted to get much closer now
4 (9)	Thefullbackline ch Tom Manley-Pender(10) · Mark Fahey	Tom Manley-Pender(10) · Mark Fahey	138	—	-33469	58	66	56	9d	—	—	-15	11.5	14/1 7%
Never a factor latest but stayed on and definite chance back up in yardage.
12 (13)	Honrado b Wayne Hassett(5) · Cian Hughes	Wayne Hassett(5) · Cian Hughes	128	b	640209	53	65	63	10d	—	—	0	4.3	25/1 4%
Thereabouts on his British form but quiet since joining rookie trainer
14 (6)	Pro Bono b Jamie Powell(3) · Patrick Joseph Hayes	Jamie Powell(3) · Patrick Joseph Hayes	127	tp	615-80	47	68	21	—	—	—	-3	1	28/1 3%
Good chance at his best but will hardly show that here and rising 10
5 (17)	Darkened b Sorcha Woods(7) · Noel C Kelly	Sorcha Woods(7) · Noel C Kelly	136	tb	315680	56	64	54	—	—	—	+2	4	40/1 2%
Yard landed gamble last week, hard to see it here (long odds and not at his best of late)
9 (11)	Chica Linda b Wesley Joyce(5) · James Andrew Fahey	Wesley Joyce(5) · James Andrew Fahey	131	p	40-900	51	64	64	44d	—	—	-1	0.8	100/1 1%
Frustrating filly struggling for form, 40s last twice
NR (2)	Redemptive Power b Gary Carroll · Gavin Cromwell	Gary Carroll · Gavin Cromwell	140	—	76072	65	67	54	10d	—	—	—	8.8	—
Maiden getting closer and seemingly better for similar trip when 6s second on AW lately
NR (15)	Simpson's Paradox b TBC · John Andrew Kinsella	· John Andrew Kinsella	140	p	075655	60	67	36	38d	—	—	—	2.5	—
First reserve; safely held on this year's form; cheekpieces replace visor
NR (3)	Naisiun b Rory Cleary · J S Bolger	Rory Cleary · J S Bolger	129	—	-10300	54	69	46	36d	—	—	—	4.5	—
Second reserve; at least has won a race but well-held last twice, 20s latest
NR (5)	Galician Girl gr TBC · Adrian McGuinness	· Adrian McGuinness	134	—	685U09	59	68	68	29d	—	—	—	2.3	—
Third reserve; 6s 2l fifth here in June much better than subsequent form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Little Lady Lucy	7/2	4/1	7/2	10/3	7/2
Boomerang Bill	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Tatum	13/2	13/2	13/2	11/2	6/1
Cannes Do	15/2	17/2	17/2	15/2	17/2
Barretstown	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Dancing Steve	9/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
So Messi	11/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Lady Delila	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	16/1
Thefullbackline	14/1	15/2	9/1	9/1	8/1
Honrado	20/1	20/1	20/1	25/1	20/1
Pro Bono	22/1	22/1	22/1	28/1	22/1
Darkened	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Chica Linda	100/1	40/1	50/1	66/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tatum

13.6

OR: 2 Form: 8 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Dancing Steve

12.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Barretstown

11.7

OR: 1 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Thefullbackline

11.5

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 8

14/1

Little Lady Lucy

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Redemptive Power

8.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Boomerang Bill

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Naisiun

4.5

OR: 1 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Honrado

4.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

So Messi

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Darkened

OR: 1.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Cannes Do

3.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Simpson's Paradox

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Galician Girl

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lady Delila

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Pro Bono

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Chica Linda

0.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Redemptive Power Top Rated	65	67	54
Little Lady Lucy	63	60	57
Dancing Steve	63	62	61
Simpson's Paradox	60	67	36
Galician Girl	59	68	68
Tatum	58	66	42
Thefullbackline	58	66	56
Darkened	56	64	54
Cannes Do	54	61	53
Barretstown	54	68	58
Naisiun	54	69	46
Honrado	53	65	63
Chica Linda	51	64	64
So Messi	49	70	61
Lady Delila	49	67	44
Boomerang Bill	47	64	56
Pro Bono	47	68	21

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Little Lady Lucy	29d ago	Fit
Boomerang Bill	44d ago	Fit
Tatum	350d ago	Long break
Cannes Do	28d ago	Fit
Barretstown	65d ago	Fresh
Dancing Steve	7d ago	Quick return
So Messi	81d ago	Fresh
Lady Delila	46d ago	Fresh
Thefullbackline	9d ago	Quick return
Honrado	10d ago	Quick return
Pro Bono	—	—
Darkened	—	—
Chica Linda	44d ago	Fit
Redemptive Power	10d ago	Quick return
Simpson's Paradox	38d ago	Fit
Naisiun	36d ago	Fit
Galician Girl	29d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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