Mary Rogers Memorial Handicap (Div I) – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

4:45

Mary Rogers Memorial Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-10-03

Distance 1m4f37y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (2)	Slieve Bearnagh b Ronan Whelan · M Halford & T Collins	Ronan Whelan · M Halford & T Collins	127	t	1309-4	49	69	61	26d	—	—	-18	8	5/2 29%
Two wins over hurdles in July, decent return to Flat latest, has C&D form, each-way claims
2 (1)	Grann's Boy b Adam Caffrey(3) · H Rogers	Adam Caffrey(3) · H Rogers	140	b	31-735	62	70	54	47d	—	—	-12	9.5	3/1 25%
Won over this trip off 4lb lower last October, blinkers go on, ground will suit, chance
1 (3)	Numidia b Patrick McGettigan(10) · Peter Lawlor	Patrick McGettigan(10) · Peter Lawlor	142	v	271309	64	67	56	44d	—	—	+2	10.2	9/1 10%
Won at Fairyhouse in June, 11lb higher now, may be on a tough mark, soft ground a worry
7 (6)	Lord Park b Donagh O'Connor · John C McConnell	Donagh O'Connor · John C McConnell	128	t	0-0556	50	67	53	27d	—	—	-6	2.2	10/1 9%
Decent effort latest, slight drop in trip and soft ground a worry, others more likely
10 (13)	Arcland b Nathan Crosse · H Rogers	Nathan Crosse · H Rogers	125	p	/07/5-	47	68	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	9/1 10%
Back from a spell over hurdles, no Flat win since 2020, 7lb wrong but worth a market check
12 (9)	Mater Matuta ch Wayne Lordan · E D Delany	Wayne Lordan · E D Delany	125	tp	4300-9	47	67	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	10/1 9%
Locally trained, back from spell chasing, wants good ground, chance if track dries out
13 (8)	Ballinahulla b Robert Whearty(3) · Conor David Maxwell	Robert Whearty(3) · Conor David Maxwell	122	p	990208	50	65	40	6d	—	—	-3	4.4	16/1 6%
Beaten a short head at Down Royal, no show since, soft ground a worry, look elsewhere
5 (11)	Preparations b Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	136	—	748026	64	69	38	10d	—	—	+2	8.7	14/1 7%
Good effort at Navan in August, cheekpieces worn latest discarded, not discounted
4 (5)	Vierson b Shane Foley · Ciaran Murphy	Shane Foley · Ciaran Murphy	137	—	47-9U	65	65	36	37d	—	—	0	5.1	20/1 5%
Mild promise in maidens, keeping on when unseating over 1m here latest, watch up in trip
8 (12)	Noble Andy b Gavin Ryan · Mark Fahey	Gavin Ryan · Mark Fahey	127	p	00058	55	61	28	32d	—	—	-2	2.6	20/1 5%
Better on handicap bow, longer trip a plus, related to soft ground winners, interesting
11 (10)	Final Endeavour b Siobhan Rutledge(3) · H Rogers	Siobhan Rutledge(3) · H Rogers	125	—	7000-7	47	64	44	—	—	—	-2	0.8	40/1 2%
Dual-purpose, well-handicapped, likes soft ground, yard won this last year, check market
NR (7)	Jawhary b Jamie Powell(3) · Adrian McGuinness	Jamie Powell(3) · Adrian McGuinness	138	v	996070	60	67	47	5d	—	—	—	2.5	—
Ran well at Navan in May, hasn't backed that up, 6lb lower but may need better ground
NR (4)	Tastyee b Darragh O'Sullivan(7) · David Kenneth Budds	Darragh O'Sullivan(7) · David Kenneth Budds	129	t	2030-8	51	67	56	57d	—	—	—	0.3	—
Won off 48 at Tipperary last year, 3lb higher now, strip fitter for latest, don't dismiss

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Slieve Bearnagh	5/2	5/2	5/2	2/1	5/2
Grann's Boy	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Numidia	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Lord Park	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Arcland	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	11/2
Mater Matuta	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Ballinahulla	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Preparations	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Vierson	20/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Noble Andy	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Final Endeavour	40/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Numidia

10.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.2

9/1

2nd

Grann's Boy

9.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.5

3/1

3rd

Preparations

8.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Slieve Bearnagh

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Vierson

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ballinahulla

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Arcland

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

9/1

Noble Andy

2.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Jawhary

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lord Park

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Mater Matuta

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Final Endeavour

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Tastyee

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vierson Top Rated	65	65	36
Numidia	64	67	56
Preparations	64	69	38
Grann's Boy	62	70	54
Jawhary	60	67	47
Noble Andy	55	61	28
Tastyee	51	67	56
Lord Park	50	67	53
Ballinahulla	50	65	40
Slieve Bearnagh	49	69	61
Arcland	47	68	—
Mater Matuta	47	67	—
Final Endeavour	47	64	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Slieve Bearnagh	26d ago	Fit
Grann's Boy	47d ago	Fresh
Numidia	44d ago	Fit
Lord Park	27d ago	Fit
Arcland	—	—
Mater Matuta	—	—
Ballinahulla	6d ago	Quick return
Preparations	10d ago	Quick return
Vierson	37d ago	Fit
Noble Andy	32d ago	Fit
Final Endeavour	—	—
Jawhary	5d ago	Quick return
Tastyee	57d ago	Fresh

Going: Yielding

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