Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

4:10

Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap

Date 2024-10-20

Distance 1m2f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €8,850

Runners 21

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
19 (12)	Saffronandblue b Ronan Whelan · Martin Brassil	Ronan Whelan · Martin Brassil	128	t	806-11	66	81	73	168d	—	—	-9	9.4	5/1 17%
Won last two starts in the spring; back from summer break with ground in his favour
8 (4)	Counterculture ch W J Lee · W McCreery	W J Lee · W McCreery	133	—	274210	75	88	71	14d	—	—	+7	19.1	8/1 11%
Unexposed 3yo upped in trip for handicap debut; ground no problem
4 (21)	Bear Profit b Darragh O'Sullivan(7) · Gerard O'Leary	Darragh O'Sullivan(7) · Gerard O'Leary	138	—	445821	76	80	71	7d	—	—	+14	22.5	9/1 10%
Last weekend's Naas winner a live contender given his rider's 7lb claim now
18 (9)	Gandolfo ch Colin Keane · Noel Meade	Colin Keane · Noel Meade	128	p	487291	70	85	60	18d	—	—	+11	20.2	9/1 10%
Bellewstown maiden claimer winner; first attempt at 1m2f and good chance of staying
10 (11)	Red Trail ch Wesley Joyce(5) · Andrew McNamara	Wesley Joyce(5) · Andrew McNamara	133	—	603293	71	80	73	7d	—	—	+5	14.2	17/2 11%
Likes it soft and last weekend's Naas third to Bear Profit puts her in the mix
12 (2)	Ard Na Mara b Declan McDonogh · J S Bolger	Declan McDonogh · J S Bolger	131	t	4216	73	84	72	20d	—	—	+8	17.9	10/1 9%
Didn't stay 1m5f on handicap debut; drop in trip should suit and remains capable of better
7 (16)	Master Dunraven ch Ben Coen · J P Murtagh	Ben Coen · J P Murtagh	134	—	165363	72	83	79	30d	—	—	+3	12.7	15/2 12%
Back to his winning trip; one to consider
17 (5)	Barrogstown Girl b Neve Bennett(7) · Jarlath P Fahey	Neve Bennett(7) · Jarlath P Fahey	128	—	081313	66	78	71	29d	—	—	+13	20.6	12/1 8%
Progressive on a sound surface this year but handicapper may have her measure now
11 (13)	Copie Conforme b Jack Cleary(7) · Kevin Prendergast	Jack Cleary(7) · Kevin Prendergast	132	—	712612	74	81	56	18d	—	—	+17	23.2	12/1 8%
Progressive filly at 1m although remains unproven over this far
5 (20)	Gibbs Island ch Gary Carroll · A Oliver	Gary Carroll · A Oliver	138	—	247569	80	86	74	8d	—	—	+4	8.9	16/1 6%
Trip too short last weekend; back to optimum trip here but still a bit to find
3 (18)	Livio Milo gr Chris Hayes · D K Weld	Chris Hayes · D K Weld	139	tp	207440	77	86	70	19d	—	—	+4	8	18/1 5%
Hard to win with and first attempt at this trip
14 (7)	Enough Already b Adam Caffrey(3) · Adrian McGuinness	Adam Caffrey(3) · Adrian McGuinness	130	—	659065	68	86	67	23d	—	—	+2	5.6	20/1 5%
Yet to hit form for current yard; down 11lb for the season but others still preferred
1 (17)	Complete Fiction b Dylan Browne McMonagle · Jarlath P Fahey	Dylan Browne McMonagle · Jarlath P Fahey	142	—	688136	80	82	57	14d	—	—	+12	15.7	22/1 4%
Probably came too soon at Tipperary last time, expect more patient tactics here
9 (14)	Harbour Gem b Luke McAteer · James M Barrett	Luke McAteer · James M Barrett	133	—	717599	75	87	65	27d	—	—	+6	9	33/1 3%
Too keen at Listowel; handicapper relenting but remains opposable
2 (19)	See Me Through b Jack Kearney(5) · Ross O'Sullivan	Jack Kearney(5) · Ross O'Sullivan	141	p	122577	79	86	69	13d	—	—	+8	10.5	33/1 3%
Progress seems to have stalled since a good spell of form in May/June
16 (3)	Prince Of Eyeries b James Ryan(3) · James M Barrett	James Ryan(3) · James M Barrett	130	—	45954	72	84	56	86d	—	—	+3	6.3	40/1 2%
Big step up in trip for yard debut and likely best watched
15 (1)	Out On Friday b Wayne Hassett(5) · Philip M Byrne	Wayne Hassett(5) · Philip M Byrne	130	—	013408	68	85	72	6d	—	—	+6	8.1	40/1 2%
Exposed front-runner; 1m4f in soft ground wouldn't have been ideal on latest
20 (10)	Belles Feuilles b Seamie Heffernan · Mrs C O'Leary	Seamie Heffernan · Mrs C O'Leary	123	t	007800	61	84	28	78d	—	—	-2	4.5	50/1 2%
Two poor runs for current trainer over the summer, hard to be confident in at this stage
6 (6)	Munroh ch Robbie Colgan · Mrs C O'Leary	Robbie Colgan · Mrs C O'Leary	136	t	68-900	74	78	21	40d	—	—	+5	6.5	66/1 1%
Form so far for current trainer poor so very hard to fancy
NR (8)	It'sonlyjustbegun b Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington	131	p	241904	73	84	58	7d	—	—	—	8.8	—
Still not the finished article; last weekend's Naas run encouraging and 2lb lower here
R21 (15)	Promo Queen b Jamie Powell(3) · Chris Timmons	Jamie Powell(3) · Chris Timmons	119	tp	-40000	61	82	47	13d	—	—	—	2.8	—
Nothing this term; 2lb wrong and new headgear combination here; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Saffronandblue	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	5/1
Counterculture	8/1	13/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Bear Profit	9/1	17/2	9/1	17/2	9/1
Gandolfo	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Red Trail	17/2	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
Ard Na Mara	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Master Dunraven	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Barrogstown Girl	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Copie Conforme	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gibbs Island	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Livio Milo	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Enough Already	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Complete Fiction	20/1	22/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Harbour Gem	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
See Me Through	33/1	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Prince Of Eyeries	33/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Out On Friday	40/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Belles Feuilles	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Munroh	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Copie Conforme

23.2

OR: 6 Form: 15.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

2nd

Bear Profit

22.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

3rd

Barrogstown Girl

20.6

OR: 4 Form: 14.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Gandolfo

20.2

OR: 5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Counterculture

19.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Ard Na Mara

17.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Complete Fiction

15.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Red Trail

14.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.4 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Master Dunraven

12.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

See Me Through

10.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Saffronandblue

9.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

5/1

Harbour Gem

OR: 6.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Gibbs Island

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

It'sonlyjustbegun

8.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Out On Friday

8.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Livio Milo

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Munroh

6.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Prince Of Eyeries

6.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Enough Already

5.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Belles Feuilles

4.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

50/1

Promo Queen

2.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gibbs Island Top Rated	80	86	74
Complete Fiction	80	82	57
See Me Through	79	86	69
Livio Milo	77	86	70
Bear Profit	76	80	71
Counterculture	75	88	71
Harbour Gem	75	87	65
Copie Conforme	74	81	56
Munroh	74	78	21
Ard Na Mara	73	84	72
It'sonlyjustbegun	73	84	58
Master Dunraven	72	83	79
Prince Of Eyeries	72	84	56
Red Trail	71	80	73
Gandolfo	70	85	60
Enough Already	68	86	67
Out On Friday	68	85	72
Saffronandblue	66	81	73
Barrogstown Girl	66	78	71
Belles Feuilles	61	84	28
Promo Queen	61	82	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Saffronandblue	168d ago	Long break
Counterculture	14d ago	Fit
Bear Profit	7d ago	Quick return
Gandolfo	18d ago	Fit
Red Trail	7d ago	Quick return
Ard Na Mara	20d ago	Fit
Master Dunraven	30d ago	Fit
Barrogstown Girl	29d ago	Fit
Copie Conforme	18d ago	Fit
Gibbs Island	8d ago	Quick return
Livio Milo	19d ago	Fit
Enough Already	23d ago	Fit
Complete Fiction	14d ago	Fit
Harbour Gem	27d ago	Fit
See Me Through	13d ago	Quick return
Prince Of Eyeries	86d ago	Fresh
Out On Friday	6d ago	Quick return
Belles Feuilles	78d ago	Fresh
Munroh	40d ago	Fit
It'sonlyjustbegun	7d ago	Quick return
Promo Queen	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Heavy

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